Caleb Wurster — OGILVIE

Caleb Wurster P Beloit Sky Carp

Age 27 LHP 5'11" / 182 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 131

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%21.9%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%7.9%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	8	0	11	47	16	3	0	0%	1.4	34.0%	6.4%	27.7%	0.0%	2.38	1.03	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	8	0	11	47	16	3	0	0%	1.4	34.0%	6.4%	27.7%	0.0%	2.38	1.07	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	40	178	54	22	1	0%	1.2	22.2%	13.4%	8.8%	0.9%	3.12	3.42	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	40	178	54	22	1	0%	1.2	30.3%	12.4%	18.0%	0.6%	3.12	2.38	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	63	266	77	40	3	0%	1.5	25.0%	16.1%	8.9%	2.1%	2.27	4.16	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	63	266	77	40	3	0%	1.5	25.0%	16.1%	8.9%	2.1%	2.27	4.16	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	63	266	77	40	3	0%	1.5	28.9%	15.0%	13.9%	1.1%	2.27	3.18	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	1	15	85	14	14	5	7%	1.1	13.9%	18.9%	-5.0%	11.0%	12.91	10.33	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	1	15	85	14	14	5	7%	1.1	13.9%	18.9%	-5.0%	11.0%	12.91	10.33	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	1	15	85	14	14	5	7%	1.1	16.5%	16.5%	0.0%	5.9%	12.91	8.25	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	MIA	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	21.9%	14.0%	7.9%	3.2%	5.14	5.14	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIA	19	0	20	84	18	12	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	13.6%	8.3%	3.3%	5.11	5.14	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIA	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	13.6%	8.3%	3.3%	5.11	5.14	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	13.6%	8.3%	3.3%	5.11	4.76	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	109	27	0%	1.1	21.9%	13.6%	8.3%	3.3%	5.11	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		97	1	130	576	134	86	16	1%	1.3	23.2%	14.9%	8.4%	2.9%	3.80	4.59	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		149	2	200	884	205	131	25	1%	1.3	23.2%	14.9%	8.4%	2.9%	3.80	4.59	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Caleb Wurster (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	21.9%	14.0%	3.2%	—	5.14	21.9%	8.3%	20	+0.00	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	85
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	83
Hunter Cervenka L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	27	SU	5.91	18.9%	15.0%	4.6%	.282	3.10	25.9%	15.0%	81	-2.81	3.08	194	79
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	79
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	79
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	79
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	79
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	78
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	77
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	77
Braulio Lara L 2016 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	17.7%	11.0%	2.5%	.289	5.80	19.8%	2.0%	40	+1.45	3.96	118	77
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.90	18.7%	4.0%	103	+0.49	3.16	199	76
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	76
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	76
Tony Cingrani L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	18.1%	13.3%	1.7%	.271	3.50	32.4%	26.1%	65	-0.69	1.68	186	76
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	76
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	76
Cody Reed L 2020 · 5.15 FIP	27	SU	5.15	21.8%	14.5%	3.7%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	2.90	572	75
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	75
Zac Rosscup L 2015 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	24.6%	11.0%	4.4%	.296	2.85	29.5%	21.7%	40	-1.99	2.56	160	75