Caleb Wurster
P
Beloit Sky Carp
Age 27
LHP
5'11" / 182 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105114vR 123
ERA4.59
FIP4.59
K%23.0%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 8 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 34.0% | 6.4% | 27.7% | 0.0% | 2.38 | 1.03 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 8 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 34.0% | 6.4% | 27.7% | 0.0% | 2.38 | 1.07 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 40 | 178 | 54 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.2% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 0.9% | 3.12 | 3.44 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 40 | 178 | 54 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.3% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 0.6% | 3.12 | 2.38 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 77 | 40 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.0% | 16.1% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 2.27 | 4.49 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 77 | 40 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.9% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 1.1% | 2.27 | 3.18 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 1 | 15 | 85 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 7% | 1.1 | 13.9% | 18.9% | -5.0% | 11.8% | 12.91 | 10.79 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 1 | 15 | 85 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 7% | 1.1 | 16.5% | 16.5% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 12.91 | 8.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 12 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.27 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 97 | 1 | 130 | 576 | 134 | 86 | 19 | 1% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 3.80 | 4.81 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 149 | 2 | 200 | 884 | 205 | 131 | 29 | 1% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 3.80 | 4.81 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Caleb Wurster (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 3.2% | — | 4.65 | 22.9% | 12.6% | 20 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .259 | 5.31 | 16.5% | -3.3% | 54 | +1.85 | 3.46 | 154 | 81 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 80 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 80 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 80 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .197 | 4.72 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.75 | 3.97 | 133 | 77 |
| Jake Diekman L 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.21 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.19 | 2.33 | 455 | 77 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 27.4% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .284 | 3.06 | 23.4% | 16.7% | 53 | -0.80 | 3.06 | 145 | 77 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 77 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2025 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 128 | 77 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 76 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.65 | 20.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 308 | 76 |
| Haylen Green L 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 76 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 76 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 23.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 76 |
| Edward Paredes L 2028 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 76 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 3.2% | .336 | 3.63 | 25.2% | 16.4% | 44 | -0.50 | 1.84 | 238 | 75 |
| Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 75 |
| Daniel Gibson L 2025 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 18.6% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 159 | 75 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 2.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 141 | 75 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.88 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 160 | 75 |