Caleb Wurster
P
Beloit Sky Carp
+0.1
WAR
Age 27
LHP
5'11" / 182 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.57
FIP4.57
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.0%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.8%
IP18
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 8 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 16 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.38 | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 34 | 0 | 40 | 178 | 54 | 22 | 1 | 22.2% | 13.4% | 0.9% | 3.12 | 3.42 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 41 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 77 | 40 | 3 | 25.0% | 16.1% | 2.1% | 2.27 | 4.15 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 14 | 1 | 15 | 85 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 13.9% | 18.9% | 10.8% | 12.91 | 10.23 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 18 | — | 18 | 78 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 97 | 1 | 130 | 576 | 134 | 86 | 16 | 23.2% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 3.80 | 4.57 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 149 | 2 | 200 | 884 | 206 | 132 | 25 | 23.2% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 3.80 | 4.57 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Caleb Wurster (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 3.2% | — | 4.57 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 20 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Zac Rosscup L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 3.9% | .296 | 2.82 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -1.75 | 2.58 | 160 | 83 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.42 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .259 | 5.26 | 16.5% | -3.3% | 54 | +1.84 | 3.42 | 154 | 80 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 80 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.84 | 27.4% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .284 | 3.09 | 23.4% | 16.7% | 53 | -0.75 | 3.09 | 145 | 79 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .197 | 4.65 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.46 | 4.19 | 133 | 79 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .267 | 3.20 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 124 | 79 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.07 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .336 | 3.58 | 25.2% | 16.4% | 44 | -0.49 | 1.84 | 238 | 78 |
| Edward Paredes L 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.47 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.55 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.08 | 2.37 | 130 | 77 |
| Haylen Green L 2024 · 4.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.09 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 77 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 128 | 77 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 2.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 141 | 77 |
| Jake Diekman L 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.25 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.15 | 2.32 | 455 | 76 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 76 |
| Jerry Vasto L 2025 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.51 | 24.0% | 11.5% | 1.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 206 | 76 |
| David Rollins L 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.50 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 4.3% | .260 | 5.70 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.20 | 3.60 | 132 | 76 |
| Daniel Gibson L 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 18.6% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 159 | 75 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.36 | 17.7% | 11.0% | 2.5% | .289 | 5.80 | 19.8% | 2.0% | 40 | +1.44 | 3.98 | 118 | 75 |
| Reagan Todd L 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 25.6% | 12.0% | 2.5% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 122 | 75 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 271 | 75 |
| Peyton Alford L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.82 | 22.9% | 12.1% | 3.9% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 229 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.