Kevin Villavicencio

SS Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 172 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ANYM	318	.219/.300/.309	3	19	49	—	.203/.265/.287
2025	21	INTLYaquis de Obr…	194	.250/.304/.286	0	14	58	—
2026	22	AANYM	109	.206/.243/.284	2	3	32	—	.204/.234/.282
2026	22	A+NYM	73	.186/.208/.386	3	5	16	—	.141/.153/.282
2027PROJ2% MLB	23	MLBNYM	5	.178/.213/.256	0	0	33	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	24	MLBNYM	104	.184/.222/.273	2	3	40	-0.4
2029PROJ45% MLB	25	MLBNYM	173	.188/.228/.284	3	5	45	-0.6

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Z-Con%78

Whiff%73

K%59

Speed24

ISO13

Chase%10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsClaudio Finol (age 23) · Fabian Pertuz (age 23) · Franklin Rollin (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†33

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .213 / .256

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%3

BABIP226

ISO73

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	169	152	46	12	1	1	15	17	2	14	3	303	373	414	787	112	336	10	9	355	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	89	88	21	7	0	1	1	26	0	1	2	239	247	352	599	114	328	29	1	264	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	166	140	35	7	0	1	21	30	5	7	4	250	367	321	689	71	312	18	13	324	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	380	350	84	11	3	2	24	67	4	23	7	240	296	306	602	66	290	18	6	275	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	48	44	9	1	1	0	1	14	0	2	0	205	222	273	495	68	300	29	2	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	112	106	18	4	1	0	3	27	1	5	2	170	200	226	426	57	225	24	3	191	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	230	209	45	6	3	1	17	48	3	14	3	215	284	287	571	72	273	21	7	262	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	120	107	23	3	2	0	7	24	0	2	1	215	263	280	544	65	277	20	6	235	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	318	278	61	12	2	3	27	46	5	19	9	219	300	309	609	90	248	14	8	274	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	194	168	42	4	1	0	11	31	2	14	2	250	304	286	590	36	307	16	6	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	109	102	21	2	0	2	4	25	1	3	2	206	243	284	527	78	247	23	4	235	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	73	70	13	3	1	3	2	16	0	5	0	186	208	386	594	200	196	22	3	254	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	54	52	6	0	0	0	2	11	0	2	1	115	148	115	264		146	20	4	126	-48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	28	27	8	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	1	296	321	370	692	74	333	11	4	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	169	157	31	7	1	1	10	22	2	14	3	197	254	274	528	76	218	13	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	89	88	16	5	0	1	1	37	0	1	2	182	191	273	464	91	296	42	1	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	166	148	28	5	0	1	13	45	5	7	4	189	277	243	520	54	253	27	8	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	380	357	70	9	2	1	17	96	4	23	7	196	241	241	482	45	261	25	4	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	112	107	15	3	1	0	2	36	1	5	2	140	164	187	351	47	198	32	2	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	230	214	41	5	2	1	12	66	3	14	3	192	245	248	492	56	266	29	5	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	318	286	58	11	2	3	19	59	5	19	9	203	265	287	551	84	230	19	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	109	103	21	2	0	2	3	31	1	3	2	204	234	282	515	78	251	28	3	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	73	71	10	2	1	2	1	21	0	5	0	141	153	282	434	141	161	29	1	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	54	53	5	0	0	0	1	15	0	2	1	94	111	94	205		130	28	2	97	-48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	169	157	31	7	1	1	10	22	2	14	3	197	254	274	528	76	224	13	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 1	—	169	152	46	12	1	1	15	17	2	14	3	303	373	414	787	112	336	10	9	355	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	255	236	43	10	0	1	14	82	5	8	6	182	243	237	480	55	275	32	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	255	228	56	14	0	2	22	56	5	8	6	246	325	333	659	88	318	22	9	303	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	428	399	79	10	3	1	20	108	4	25	7	198	243	246	489	48	267	25	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	428	394	93	12	4	2	25	81	4	25	7	236	288	302	590	66	291	19	6	267	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	462	431	75	11	4	1	18	138	4	21	6	174	214	225	439	51	252	30	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	462	422	86	13	6	1	27	99	4	21	6	204	258	270	528	66	262	21	6	238	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	512	453	93	18	3	5	31	95	7	33	11	205	267	291	558	86	246	19	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	512	446	103	16	3	3	38	77	7	33	11	231	301	300	602	70	270	15	7	267	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	4 teams	—	264	254	40	4	1	5	6	74	1	11	4	157	180	240	420	83	198	28	2	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	4 teams	—	264	251	48	7	1	5	9	55	1	11	4	191	222	287	509	96	223	21	3	226	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	169	155	31	7	1	1	10	22	2	14	3	200	254	277	532	77	218	13	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	255	234	43	10	0	1	14	82	5	8	6	184	243	239	482	56	268	32	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	428	401	79	10	3	1	20	108	4	25	7	197	243	244	488	47	261	25	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	462	437	75	11	4	1	18	138	4	21	6	172	214	222	436	50	244	30	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	512	469	93	18	3	5	31	95	7	33	11	198	267	281	548	83	230	19	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	4 teams	—	264	255	40	4	1	5	6	74	1	11	4	157	180	239	419	82	195	28	2	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	462	437	75	11	4	1	18	138	4	21	6	172	214	222	436	50	244	30	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	512	469	93	18	3	5	31	95	7	33	11	198	267	281	548	83	230	19	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	4 teams	—	264	255	40	4	1	5	6	74	1	11	4	157	180	239	419	82	195	28	2	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	NYM	2%	346	329	60	10	2	4	12	87	2	9	3	184	218	264	482	80	234	25	3	217	33	-28	+1	+0	+4	+7	-1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	NYM	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	178	213	256	469	78	226	20	0	211	33	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYM	31%	335	317	60	10	2	5	13	83	2	9	3	190	227	281	508	91	237	25	4	228	40	-24	+1	+0	+4	+7	-1.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	NYM	45%	388	366	71	12	2	7	16	95	3	10	3	193	233	292	525	98	240	24	4	235	45	-25	+1	+0	+4	+8	-1.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	NYM	51%	422	397	78	13	2	8	19	103	3	11	4	196	238	299	536	102	242	24	5	240	49	-26	+1	+0	+5	+9	-1.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	NYM	56%	434	408	80	14	2	8	20	106	3	11	4	198	241	301	543	104	244	24	5	243	51	-25	+1	+0	+5	+9	-1.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYM	31%	104	98	18	3	0	2	4	26	1	3	1	184	222	273	495	89	230	25	4	222	40	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
2029	25	MLB CTX	NYM	45%	173	163	31	5	1	3	7	43	1	5	2	188	228	284	512	96	233	25	4	229	45	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
2030	26	MLB CTX	NYM	51%	215	202	38	6	1	4	9	53	2	5	2	191	233	290	523	100	235	25	4	235	49	-13	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
2031	27	MLB CTX	NYM	56%	244	229	44	7	1	5	11	60	2	6	2	192	236	293	529	101	237	25	5	237	51	-14	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	736	692	131	21	3	14	31	182	6	19	7	189	230	289	519	100	234	25	4	233	37	-46	+1	+0	+8	+16	-2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	611	116	19	3	12	27	161	5	17	6	190	230	290	520	100	235	25	4	233	37	-41	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3941	3677	697	117	21	45	176	974	36	160	53	190	234	270	503	80	243	25	4	224	37	-122	+3	+0	+20	+40	-6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	606	114	19	3	7	29	161	6	26	9	188	232	264	496	76	243	25	4	224	37	-43	+1	+0	+7	+14	-2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
#3Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#4Bobby Wine'60-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,467 PA	5.2	3,467	30	7	214*	266*	308*	+35	+19	-2.5	-0.7
/162	664	6	1	+6.7	+3.6	-0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.1	741	13	19	196	234	296	+8	+6	-1.7	-0.8
/162	664	12	17	+7.1	+5.4	-1.5	pk7: 0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Villavicencio (OGILVIE)	23	40	25	55	35	182/216/262	80	234	3	7	25%	3%	33	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→30	50→45	40	185/239/261	76	255	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	210/271/302	92	296	8	10	30%	7%	63	-1.4	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Fabian Pertuz 2024 · AA	23	35→36	40	51→55	36	179/227/266	87	258	7	13	33%	5%	38	-3.2	186/239/281	95	297	9	11	38%	6%	46	-2.6	156/208/244	89	265	10	7	43%	5%	24	-2.2
✕Franklin Rollin 2019 · AAA	23	42	40	50→55	41	207/252/298	91	255	7	18	22%	5%	54	-2.0	200/252/284	84	267	7	13	27%	5%	51	-2.2	145/193/180	35	204	3	13	29%	4%	3	-1.4
✕Andrew Sohn 2016 · A	23	45	38→30	52→55	40	214/265/290	76	279	6	18	25%	5%	58	-1.7	204/275/282	78	280	7	15	27%	7%	60	-1.6	171/262/224	52	238	5	18	28%	9%	41	-1.4
✕Kelvin Melean 2022 · AA	23	41	38→40	47→45	42	197/251/276	79	251	6	9	23%	5%	49	-2.4	212/277/298	86	278	6	7	24%	7%	64	-1.3	207/279/280	73	274	5	3	25%	8%	58	-0.9
✕Luis Marté 2017 · AA	23	45→49	39→40	49→50	34	219/237/300	82	276	7	13	24%	2%	48	-2.5	219/236/304	85	275	8	11	23%	2%	49	-2.4	216/233/293	77	272	7	10	23%	2%	42	-1.8
✕Gionti Turner 2024 · AA	23	40	36→30	49→55	38	190/253/253	62	277	5	15	32%	6%	45	-2.7	193/252/276	83	308	7	15	37%	6%	50	-2.3	127/187/191	64	225	6	21	44%	5%	4	-1.3
✕Omar Hernandez 2024 · AA	22	38	37→30	50→55	42	186/243/252	66	254	5	17	28%	6%	40	-3.0	203/247/266	63	270	5	18	25%	5%	45	-2.7	208/245/263	55	275	4	21	25%	4%	40	-1.5
✕Cristian Paulino 2015 · A	23	42	39→40	56→60	38	203/243/290	87	263	6	20	25%	4%	49	-2.4	212/250/307	95	288	7	27	28%	4%	55	-1.9	211/248/303	91	289	8	37	29%	4%	50	-1.0
✕Jonathan Guzmán 2023 · AA	23	32→42	37→30	50	36	165/205/235	71	236	5	12	32%	4%	22	-4.3	185/238/255	70	276	6	10	33%	6%	40	-3.1	171/236/211	40	265	4	9	35%	7%	26	-1.0
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2023 · A	24	44	39→30	54→50	44	211/263/291	80	254	6	17	20%	5%	57	-1.8	209/267/282	73	262	5	14	21%	6%	57	-1.8	203/264/251	48	253	3	15	20%	6%	48	-1.3
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Narciso Mesa 2015 · A	23	46	38→40	52→55	38	221/254/298	76	280	5	17	23%	3%	55	-2.0	208/238/282	74	277	5	17	26%	3%	45	-2.7	199/226/262	63	265	4	18	26%	2%	33	-2.0
✕Jack Winkler 2022 · A	23	40→41	38→40	48→55	40	193/248/273	79	268	4	10	28%	6%	47	-2.5	205/268/294	89	269	7	14	25%	6%	60	-1.6	190/257/276	86	252	7	18	26%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Greg Hopkins 2012 · A	23	40→44	39→40	49→45	38	199/233/282	84	250	7	9	24%	4%	43	-2.8	204/240/292	88	263	8	8	25%	4%	48	-2.5	199/240/284	85	254	8	7	24%	4%	44	-1.9
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	41→36	42→40	49→50	39	203/253/300	97	265	10	15	27%	5%	56	-1.9	210/256/331	121	304	12	11	34%	5%	64	-1.3	185/218/329	144	263	16	11	36%	3%	49	-0.6
✕DJ Jenkins 2017 · A	23	45	34→30	50→55	43	212/260/262	51	273	2	17	23%	6%	49	-2.4	211/260/256	45	299	2	14	28%	6%	47	-2.5	207/255/236	30	295	1	15	29%	5%	38	-1.5
✕Cristo Arnal 2009 · A	23	43	37→30	46→50	43	204/246/270	67	253	4	10	21%	5%	45	-2.7	228/275/276	48	272	3	16	16%	6%	57	-1.8	226/273/256	30	267	1	18	15%	5%	49	-1.2
✕Matt Wessinger 2014 · A	23	44→45	37→30	49→50	44	212/263/285	72	272	5	16	23%	6%	55	-1.9	200/250/275	75	272	6	9	27%	5%	49	-2.4	172/221/232	60	240	5	4	29%	4%	26	-2.7
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	190/248/269	79	262	6	11	29%	7%	47	-2.6	198/262/281	83	345	5	9	41%	6%	55	-1.9	143/230/226	84	291	4	14	47%	8%	31	-0.7

Kevin Villavicencio

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps