Kevin Villavicencio

Kevin VillavicencioSS Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 172 lbs A+ H +5%HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.5 · 2030

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .257 / .279

PA314

HR3

SB9

K%25

BB%6

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

25→25

SPD

55→55

EYE

41↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.4	$2M	+$1.0M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.2	$1.0M	+$0.6M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$9M		$6M	-$3M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	169	158	36	7	1	1	9	27	2	14	3	.228	.278	.304	.582	.076	.269	16	5	.252	51	-9	+2	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	255	237	42	10	0	1	13	84	5	8	6	.177	.235	.232	.467	.055	.270	33	5	.212	20	-23	-1	+0	+3	+7	-1.4
2023	19	A	2 teams	428	398	75	11	2	1	21	114	4	25	7	.188	.236	.234	.470	.045	.260	27	5	.211	20	-39	+2	+0	+5	+12	-2.0
2024	20	A	3 teams	462	430	72	12	3	1	19	141	4	21	6	.167	.210	.216	.426	.049	.245	31	4	.192	5	-49	+2	+0	+5	+13	-3.0
2025	21	A	2 teams	512	450	94	21	2	5	34	98	7	33	11	.209	.275	.298	.573	.089	.253	19	7	.252	51	-28	+2	+0	+5	+15	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	39	38	5	1	1	1	1	15	0	1	0	.132	.154	.289	.443	.158	.182	38	3	.162	-18	-5	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.4
ROS	22	MLB	NYM	275	255	51	10	2	3	15	72	3	8	3	.200	.253	.290	.543	.090	.260	26	5	.240	42	-18	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.7
TOT	22	MLB	NYM	314	293	56	11	3	4	16	87	3	9	3	.191	.240	.290	.530	.099	.256	28	5	.231	35	-23	+1	+0	+3	+9	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	NYM	353	325	67	13	2	5	21	79	4	10	3	.206	.263	.305	.567	.098	.256	22	6	.259	57	-17	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.3
2028	24	MLB 26%	NYM	421	385	83	15	3	8	28	93	5	12	4	.216	.278	.332	.610	.117	.259	22	7	.270	65	-17	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.0
2029	25	MLB 44%	NYM	459	420	91	17	3	9	31	100	5	12	4	.217	.279	.336	.614	.119	.261	22	7	.276	70	-16	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.3
2030	26	MLB 59%	NYM	481	439	96	18	3	10	34	105	5	13	4	.219	.282	.342	.624	.123	.262	22	7	.279	72	-15	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.5
2031	27	MLB 76%	NYM	490	447	97	18	3	10	35	108	5	12	4	.217	.281	.338	.619	.121	.262	22	7	.279	72	-16	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.5
2032	28	MLB 84%	NYM	490	446	97	18	3	10	36	109	5	12	3	.217	.283	.339	.622	.121	.262	22	7	.278	71	-16	+1	-1	+5	+14	0.4
2033	29	MLB 90%	NYM	484	441	94	17	3	9	35	109	5	10	3	.213	.279	.327	.605	.113	.261	23	7	.276	70	-17	+1	-1	+5	+14	0.2
2034	30	MLB	NYM	476	433	92	17	3	9	35	108	5	9	2	.212	.279	.328	.607	.115	.260	23	7	.273	67	-18	+1	-2	+5	+13	-0.0
2035	31	MLB	NYM	463	421	88	16	3	8	34	107	5	7	2	.209	.276	.318	.594	.109	.258	23	7	.269	64	-19	+1	-3	+5	+13	-0.3
2036	32	MLB	NYM	446	405	83	15	2	8	33	106	5	6	1	.205	.273	.311	.584	.106	.257	24	7	.265	61	-20	+1	-4	+5	+13	-0.5
2037	33	MLB	NYM	416	379	77	14	2	7	30	101	4	5	0	.203	.269	.306	.575	.103	.255	24	7	.259	57	-20	+1	-4	+4	+12	-0.7
2038	34	MLB	NYM	371	337	66	12	2	5	27	94	4	4	0	.196	.264	.288	.551	.092	.253	25	7	.253	52	-20	+1	-5	+4	+11	-1.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7451	6806	1401	261	42	110	490	1755	82	221	66	.206	.267	.305	.572	.099	.259	24	7	.257	55	-377	+18	-20	+80	+211	-8.9
/ 162G	—			650	594	123	23	4	10	43	153	7	19	6	.207	.269	.310	.578	.103	.260	24	7	.257	55	-33	+1	-2	+7	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	169	152	46	12	1	1	15	17	2	14	3	.303	.373	.414	.787	.112	.336	10	9	.355	130	+6	+2	—	—	+5	1.2
2022	18	A	St. Lucie Mets	89	88	21	7	0	1	1	26	0	1	2	.239	.247	.352	.599	.114	.328	29	1	.264	61	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2022	18	ROK	FCL Mets	166	140	35	7	0	1	21	30	5	7	4	.250	.367	.321	.689	.071	.312	18	13	.324	106	+1	-0	—	—	+5	0.6
2023	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	380	350	84	11	3	2	24	67	4	23	7	.240	.296	.306	.602	.066	.290	18	6	.275	68	-14	+2	—	—	+11	-0.1
2023	19	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	48	44	9	1	1	0	1	14	0	2	0	.205	.222	.273	.495	.068	.300	29	2	.207	17	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	112	106	18	4	1	0	3	27	1	5	2	.170	.200	.226	.426	.057	.225	24	3	.191	4	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2024	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	230	209	45	6	3	1	17	48	3	14	3	.215	.284	.287	.571	.072	.273	21	7	.262	59	-11	+2	—	—	+7	-0.3
2024	20	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	120	107	23	3	2	0	7	24	0	2	1	.215	.263	.280	.544	.065	.277	20	6	.235	38	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	318	278	61	12	2	3	27	46	5	19	9	.219	.300	.309	.609	.090	.248	14	8	.274	68	-11	+0	—	—	+9	-0.2
2025	21	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	194	168	42	4	1	0	11	31	2	14	2	.250	.304	.286	.590	.036	.307	16	6	.255	53	-10	+2	—	—	+5	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Villavicencio (OGILVIE)	22	40	25	55	35	.202/.257/.279	.077	.267	3	9	25%	6%	47	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	40→45	37→45	50→60	41	.194/.243/.261	.068	.252	6	15	25%	5%	36	-2.7	.204/.262/.299	.095	.274	8	19	27%	6%	53	-1.5	.227/.288/.355	.128	.309	13	42	29%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Joe Munoz 2008 · A	22	44	36→30	52→55	45	.204/.278/.271	.068	.260	2	17	21%	6%	54	-1.4	.202/.253/.265	.063	.268	3	9	24%	4%	41	-2.3	.193/.226/.221	.028	.258	0	9	24%	2%	14	-1.2
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	43	.207/.263/.285	.078	.260	5	17	22%	5%	50	-1.7	.207/.257/.291	.084	.292	7	11	30%	5%	50	-1.8	.194/.239/.274	.079	.290	9	9	35%	3%	34	-0.7
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	35→30	50→55	45	.193/.257/.255	.062	.261	3	15	26%	7%	40	-2.4	.210/.292/.281	.071	.312	3	15	30%	10%	62	-0.9	.210/.320/.274	.064	.324	2	21	31%	13%	69	-0.2
✕Mikey Edie 2019 · A	22	47	35→30	51→50	35	.214/.264/.277	.063	.323	2	15	33%	4%	48	-1.9	.207/.258/.278	.071	.287	4	8	28%	4%	46	-2.0	.193/.240/.251	.058	.266	3	7	27%	3%	27	-1.7
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	39→40	49→40	40	.198/.263/.282	.084	.277	6	7	29%	6%	50	-1.7	.218/.296/.304	.086	.283	8	4	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.219/.302/.289	.070	.280	7	1	22%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A	22	44	39→40	53→60	40	.210/.265/.300	.090	.306	6	14	32%	6%	54	-1.4	.187/.266/.264	.077	.308	6	22	38%	8%	47	-1.9	.145/.239/.202	.057	.243	5	33	39%	9%	19	-1.1
✕Nick Allen 2021 · A	22	45→55	37→40	52→50	44	.212/.262/.290	.077	.267	3	14	21%	5%	50	-1.7	.224/.275/.318	.094	.282	8	14	22%	6%	63	-0.8	.243/.303/.319	.076	.291	6	16	17%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Kristopher Negrón 2008 · A	22	41→50	37→45	54→55	42	.198/.259/.269	.070	.263	5	17	26%	6%	44	-2.1	.219/.279/.315	.096	.280	7	20	23%	6%	65	-0.7	.225/.289/.349	.123	.323	14	14	32%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Derrik Gibson 2012 · A	22	43→53	35→40	53→55	44	.202/.258/.259	.056	.269	2	19	24%	6%	40	-2.4	.216/.275/.278	.062	.294	2	15	25%	7%	53	-1.5	.249/.312/.317	.069	.316	3	11	20%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Errol Robinson 2017 · A	22	45→48	38→40	54→55	40	.214/.258/.296	.082	.285	4	14	26%	5%	50	-1.8	.218/.267/.306	.088	.299	7	16	28%	6%	56	-1.3	.201/.275/.251	.051	.314	3	26	34%	9%	44	-0.7
✕Guillermo Granadillo 2019 · A	22	49	35→30	51→55	46	.230/.287/.288	.058	.290	3	20	21%	6%	60	-1.0	.206/.254/.270	.064	.276	3	11	25%	5%	42	-2.3	.146/.160/.201	.055	.193	0	0	24%	1%	-19	-1.2
✕Erlin Cerda 2016 · A	22	45	35→40	52→55	48	.208/.279/.281	.073	.262	1	14	20%	7%	56	-1.3	.200/.251/.270	.070	.291	2	9	30%	5%	41	-2.3	.166/.201/.211	.044	.261	0	8	35%	4%	-1	-1.2
✕Lolo Sanchez 2021 · A	22	42	39→45	53→55	44	.203/.262/.291	.088	.247	6	21	20%	5%	52	-1.6	.212/.286/.323	.111	.255	12	18	21%	8%	71	-0.3	.202/.280/.300	.098	.239	12	17	21%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Gregori Gonzalez 2011 · A	22	45	35→30	50→55	42	.208/.254/.268	.060	.259	1	15	20%	4%	41	-2.3	.219/.260/.308	.089	.276	5	11	22%	4%	54	-1.4	.235/.255/.369	.134	.291	7	9	22%	2%	69	-0.1
✕Johnni Turbo 2011 · A	22	43→49	38→40	54→55	35	.206/.242/.283	.077	.298	5	17	32%	4%	40	-2.4	.225/.259/.309	.084	.303	6	17	27%	4%	53	-1.5	.238/.275/.302	.064	.295	3	18	19%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	38→40	55→60	41	.214/.268/.296	.082	.300	4	13	29%	6%	55	-1.4	.238/.294/.344	.106	.336	10	29	30%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.298/.334	.089	.343	8	39	29%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Tyreace House 2010 · A	22	46	36→30	53→55	46	.214/.282/.276	.061	.301	3	14	28%	8%	56	-1.3	.202/.292/.246	.044	.274	1	19	24%	10%	53	-1.5	.191/.284/.221	.030	.260	1	22	24%	10%	42	-1.8
✕Franklin Rollin 2018 · A	22	47	39→45	53→55	41	.225/.265/.318	.093	.274	6	18	20%	4%	59	-1.1	.201/.247/.286	.085	.257	7	15	24%	5%	43	-2.2	.183/.235/.254	.072	.232	7	17	23%	5%	28	-1.4
✕Jose Cardona 2016 · A	22	44→48	39→40	50	42	.213/.253/.298	.085	.258	6	15	20%	5%	49	-1.8	.225/.268/.321	.096	.269	10	14	20%	5%	61	-1.0	.226/.270/.314	.088	.267	10	14	19%	5%	58	-0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)