Ronny Chalas — OGILVIE

Ronny Chalas P Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 24 RHP 5'10" / 162 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 67 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.90

FIP5.90

K%13.9%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%-1.7%

ROS IP67

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers	15	2	22	116	29	18	1	13%	1.5	17.0%	19.4%	-2.4%	1.3%	6.95	4.81	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers	15	2	22	116	29	18	1	13%	1.5	25.0%	15.5%	9.5%	0.9%	6.95	3.51	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	22	0	33	132	35	11	1	0%	1.5	18.0%	10.4%	7.6%	1.1%	2.20	3.48	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	22	0	33	132	35	11	1	0%	1.5	26.5%	8.3%	18.2%	0.8%	2.20	2.37	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	18	0	27	105	40	5	1	0%	1.5	25.9%	6.0%	20.0%	1.5%	2.33	2.52	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	18	0	27	105	40	5	1	0%	1.5	38.1%	4.8%	33.3%	1.0%	2.33	1.17	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	1	34	148	32	16	3	4%	1.5	13.5%	15.8%	-2.3%	4.0%	3.67	6.14	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	1	34	148	32	16	3	4%	1.5	13.5%	15.8%	-2.3%	4.0%	3.67	6.14	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	1	34	148	32	16	3	4%	1.5	21.6%	10.8%	10.8%	2.0%	3.67	3.77	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	32	0	55	230	44	26	3	0%	1.7	14.2%	13.3%	0.8%	2.0%	3.13	4.67	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	32	0	55	230	44	26	3	0%	1.7	14.2%	13.3%	0.8%	2.0%	3.13	4.67	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	32	0	55	230	44	26	3	0%	1.7	19.1%	11.3%	7.8%	1.3%	3.13	3.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	DET	64	0	67	283	39	44	8	0%	1.0	13.9%	15.6%	-1.7%	2.9%	5.90	5.90	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	DET	65	0	68	287	45	41	8	0%	1.0	15.8%	14.2%	1.6%	2.9%	5.63	5.56	-0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	DET	65	0	68	287	48	40	8	0%	1.0	16.9%	13.8%	3.1%	2.9%	5.46	5.42	-0.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	DET	64	0	67	283	49	39	8	0%	1.0	17.2%	13.6%	3.5%	3.0%	5.40	5.40	-0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	DET	62	0	65	274	47	38	8	0%	1.0	17.2%	13.7%	3.5%	3.1%	5.42	5.46	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	DET	28	0	29	122	19	17	4	0%	1.0	15.8%	14.2%	1.6%	2.9%	5.63	5.56	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	DET	43	0	45	190	32	26	6	0%	1.0	16.9%	13.8%	3.1%	2.9%	5.46	5.42	-0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	DET	50	0	52	220	38	30	7	0%	1.0	17.2%	13.6%	3.5%	3.0%	5.40	5.40	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	DET	52	0	55	232	40	32	7	0%	1.1	17.2%	13.7%	3.5%	3.1%	5.42	5.46	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	762	129	105	23	0%	1.0	16.9%	13.8%	3.1%	3.0%	5.46	5.07	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	143	116	25	0%	1.1	16.9%	13.8%	3.1%	3.0%	5.46	5.07	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		110	3	171	731	123	97	15	3%	1.6	16.9%	13.2%	3.7%	2.0%	3.43	4.47	-2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		129	4	200	857	144	113	17	3%	1.6	16.9%	13.2%	3.7%	2.0%	3.43	4.47	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ronny Chalas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.90	13.9%	15.6%	2.9%	—	5.46	16.6%	2.7%	203	-0.44	—	—	—
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	90
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	88
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	87
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	87
Johendí Jiminian R 2017 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	11.5%	14.0%	3.3%	.300	4.77	13.9%	3.6%	164	-0.93	4.01	419	87
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	87
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	86
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	86
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	86
Chay Yeager R 2024 · 5.60 FIP	21	SU	5.60	13.1%	15.7%	2.9%	.261	4.20	22.8%	12.5%	56	-1.40	4.20	110	85
Austin Pettibone R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	23	SU	5.11	14.6%	16.2%	2.2%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	142	84
Rafael Dolis R 2012 · 5.19 FIP	24	SU	5.19	13.9%	12.7%	3.0%	.287	4.02	15.8%	1.5%	66	-1.17	2.80	200	84
Michael Mertz R 2018 · 5.18 FIP	24	SU	5.18	16.1%	13.9%	3.0%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	133	83
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	83
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	83
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	82
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	82
Miguel Nunez R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	24	SU	5.12	13.2%	13.7%	2.6%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	154	82
Jared Southard R 2024 · 4.94 FIP	23	SU	4.94	15.8%	13.2%	2.7%	.252	3.90	19.3%	11.2%	140	-1.04	3.82	252	81
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	16.2%	14.2%	1.15	5.56
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12