Luis Mendez

3B Fresno Grizzlies

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 157 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ACOL	25	.130/.200/.174	0	0	-41	—	.083/.120/.125
2025	22	ROKCOL	162	.266/.354/.424	1	9	42	—	.189/.241/.297
2026	23	ACOL	261	.224/.327/.296	2	9	43	—	.197/.272/.262
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBCOL	311	.197/.260/.272	2	6	51	-0.5
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBCOL	77	.213/.276/.314	1	2	57	-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBCOL	144	.216/.281/.327	2	3	61	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Z-Con%71

K%69

Whiff%69

Speed57

BB%50

Chase%38

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAlvaro Rondon (age 24) · Carlos Sepulveda (age 24) · Patrick Biondi (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 208 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .258 / .269

PA208

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	224	194	51	10	4	5	22	48	6	12	6	263	356	433	789	170	322	21	10	350	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	221	197	50	9	3	6	18	57	4	8	4	254	329	421	750	168	324	26	8	332	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	223	183	38	6	1	0	36	51	3	7	4	208	347	251	598	44	288	23	16	290	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	102	93	21	2	2	2	9	28	0	4	2	226	294	355	649	129	302	27	9	292	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	342	297	69	10	4	5	34	67	3	14	5	232	317	343	661	111	281	20	10	295	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	25	23	3	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	1	130	200	174	374	43	231	40	8	180	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	162	139	37	7	6	1	19	22	0	9	1	266	354	424	779	158	305	14	12	338	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	261	223	50	8	1	2	32	54	2	9	4	224	327	296	623	72	286	21	12	288	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	224	202	33	6	2	2	14	58	6	12	6	163	239	243	481	79	209	26	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	221	204	35	6	2	4	11	84	4	8	4	172	228	279	508	108	250	38	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	223	192	35	5	1	0	27	70	3	7	4	182	293	219	512	36	280	31	12	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	102	96	13	1	1	1	6	40	0	4	2	135	186	198	384	62	230	39	6	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	342	309	62	8	4	4	22	90	3	14	5	201	260	291	552	91	256	26	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	25	24	2	1	0	0	1	14	0	0	1	83	120	125	245	42	197	56	4	108	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	162	148	28	5	4	1	10	32	0	9	1	189	241	297	538	108	221	20	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	261	233	46	7	1	2	22	73	2	9	4	197	272	262	534	64	265	28	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	224	202	33	6	2	2	14	58	6	12	6	163	239	243	481	79	215	26	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	224	194	51	10	4	5	22	48	6	12	6	263	356	433	789	170	322	21	10	350	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	221	204	35	6	2	4	11	84	4	8	4	172	228	279	508	108	263	38	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	221	197	50	9	3	6	18	57	4	8	4	254	329	421	750	168	324	26	8	332	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	325	289	48	6	2	1	32	111	3	11	6	166	256	211	467	45	266	34	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	325	276	59	8	3	2	45	79	3	11	6	214	330	286	616	72	292	24	14	291	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	342	309	62	8	4	4	22	90	3	14	5	201	260	291	552	91	266	26	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	342	297	69	10	4	5	34	67	3	14	5	232	317	343	661	111	281	20	10	295	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	187	171	30	6	4	1	12	46	0	9	2	175	230	275	504	99	230	25	6	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	187	162	40	8	6	1	21	32	0	9	2	247	333	389	722	142	298	17	11	317	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	261	233	46	7	1	2	22	73	2	9	4	197	272	262	534	64	277	28	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	261	223	50	8	1	2	32	54	2	9	4	224	327	296	623	72	286	21	12	288	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	224	202	33	6	2	2	14	58	6	12	6	163	239	243	481	79	209	26	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	221	204	35	6	2	4	11	84	4	8	4	172	228	279	508	108	250	38	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	325	287	48	6	2	1	32	111	3	11	6	167	256	213	469	45	264	34	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	342	314	62	8	4	4	22	90	3	14	5	197	260	287	547	89	256	26	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	187	173	30	6	4	1	12	46	0	9	2	173	230	272	501	98	218	25	6	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	261	235	46	7	1	2	22	73	2	9	4	196	272	260	532	64	265	28	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	342	314	62	8	4	4	22	90	3	14	5	197	260	287	547	89	256	26	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	187	173	30	6	4	1	12	46	0	9	2	173	230	272	501	98	218	25	6	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	261	235	46	7	1	2	22	73	2	9	4	196	272	260	532	64	265	28	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	0%	311	283	56	10	3	2	23	85	2	6	2	197	260	272	532	75	269	27	7	243	51	-18	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	30%	256	234	47	8	2	3	19	69	1	5	2	202	266	289	555	88	271	27	7	253	57	-13	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	44%	327	297	61	10	3	4	25	88	2	6	2	205	270	301	571	96	272	27	8	259	61	-15	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	30%	77	71	16	3	1	1	6	21	0	2	1	213	276	314	590	101	285	27	8	267	57	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	44%	144	131	29	5	2	2	11	39	1	3	1	216	281	327	607	110	286	27	8	273	61	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	221	202	45	8	3	3	17	60	1	5	2	223	286	337	623	114	300	27	8	271	45	-11	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	133	24	9	9	50	176	3	15	6	224	287	340	628	116	301	27	8	271	45	-31	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2351	2129	399	63	22	22	172	676	22	78	32	187	255	269	524	81	261	29	7	235	45	-40	+1	+0	+3	+17	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	110	17	6	6	48	187	6	22	9	187	255	267	522	80	260	29	7	235	45	-33	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.6	429	4	9	201	262	286	+2	+1	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	7	13	+2.4	+1.5	-1.3	pk7: 0
#2Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#3Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#4Bob Smith'23-'37 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,793 PA	2.7	1,793	5	16	215*	248*	315*	+17	+9	-4.0	-2.0
/162	664	2	6	+6.2	+3.2	-1.5	pk7: 0
#5Clyde Beck'26-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	12	9	204*	292*	307*	+10	-6	-2.3	-2.3
/162	664	5	3	+3.7	-2.4	-0.9	pk7: -2
#6Skeeter Webb'38-'48 * career totals — 11 seasons, 2,453 PA	3.7	2,453	3	33	210*	251*	293*	+18	+0	-7.6	-5.7
/162	664	1	9	+5.0	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Mendez (OGILVIE)	24	45	30	55	45	195/258/269	74	269	1	4	27%	7%	51	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alvaro Rondon 2015 · A	24	44	36→30	53→55	40	211/252/282	71	282	3	10	26%	5%	50	-2.3	219/263/286	67	285	2	16	22%	5%	55	-1.9	230/269/283	53	289	0	27	19%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Carlos Sepulveda 2021 · A	24	45	34→30	49→45	47	210/273/263	53	280	2	12	24%	8%	55	-2.0	210/278/281	71	273	4	7	23%	8%	61	-1.5	191/263/253	62	247	4	3	23%	8%	46	-1.3
✕Patrick Biondi 2015 · A	24	44	36→30	50→60	45	210/268/277	67	279	3	15	25%	7%	55	-1.9	229/282/293	64	305	3	25	24%	6%	64	-1.3	235/292/289	54	313	2	32	24%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Tyler Sullivan 2017 · A	24	46→47	35→30	51→50	45	217/268/279	62	270	2	15	20%	6%	55	-1.9	213/264/281	68	283	4	12	24%	6%	55	-2.0	194/242/217	23	270	0	10	26%	5%	30	-1.1
✕Brennan Gowens 2014 · A	24	44→49	35→30	47→50	44	207/261/268	61	279	2	11	26%	6%	51	-2.3	210/267/285	75	287	3	13	26%	7%	57	-1.8	176/232/236	61	241	0	20	25%	6%	30	-0.8
✕Branden Cogswell 2017 · A	24	46	35→30	48→45	46	213/278/274	61	295	3	7	27%	8%	59	-1.7	225/282/291	66	300	2	8	24%	7%	63	-1.3	232/287/280	47	306	0	5	22%	7%	60	-1.0
✕Mickey McDonald 2019 · A	24	48→53	37→30	57→50	45	229/279/298	69	292	4	15	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/272/272	60	308	2	15	29%	7%	56	-1.9	219/289/276	57	317	2	17	29%	7%	62	-1.0
✕Andrew Moritz 2021 · A	24	45	34→30	49→50	41	210/247/262	51	267	2	12	22%	4%	43	-2.8	229/280/291	62	304	3	11	24%	6%	63	-1.4	232/288/288	56	309	3	11	24%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Matt Smith 2007 · A	24	46→48	35→30	46→50	47	218/278/273	55	284	3	12	23%	8%	58	-1.7	209/265/277	68	288	5	8	27%	7%	55	-2.0	189/245/226	37	274	1	4	30%	6%	33	-2.4
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	44	209/274/269	60	285	4	14	27%	7%	57	-1.8	226/276/298	72	285	4	18	21%	5%	63	-1.3	236/281/294	58	290	2	27	18%	5%	61	-0.8
✕Garrett Brown 2017 · A	24	43	36→30	53→55	36	204/242/266	62	280	3	9	28%	4%	42	-2.9	216/252/272	56	296	3	15	27%	4%	48	-2.5	225/254/261	36	304	1	22	25%	3%	42	-0.8
✕Mike Rozema 2006 · A	24	45→46	37→40	51→50	44	211/266/292	81	275	2	14	23%	6%	58	-1.7	222/264/309	87	286	6	10	24%	5%	61	-1.5	225/262/308	83	286	7	9	23%	4%	58	-1.1
✕Angel Zarate 2024 · A	25	45	37→40	53→50	44	214/279/292	78	292	4	14	27%	7%	63	-1.3	207/276/289	82	269	6	14	23%	8%	62	-1.4	159/247/204	45	192	3	19	18%	9%	34	-0.8
✕Norberto Obeso 2019 · A	24	44→41	37→30	47→45	49	207/272/274	67	251	4	8	19%	8%	57	-1.8	208/268/284	76	277	4	8	24%	7%	57	-1.8	198/261/265	67	271	1	5	25%	8%	48	-1.3
✕Trace Loehr 2019 · A	24	46→49	37→40	49→50	40	217/253/296	78	285	4	10	25%	4%	53	-2.1	223/264/304	81	301	5	9	26%	5%	60	-1.6	225/265/300	75	305	4	8	26%	4%	56	-0.9
✕Joseph Daris 2016 · A	24	46	38→40	55→50	39	218/261/298	81	293	4	15	26%	5%	57	-1.8	203/252/286	83	297	5	11	31%	5%	52	-2.2	170/222/234	64	265	3	7	35%	5%	26	-1.8
✕Miguel Arrendell 2011 · A	23	42	38→30	50	50	199/280/273	74	267	5	13	26%	10%	60	-1.6	220/276/314	94	278	8	8	22%	7%	68	-1.0	232/284/329	96	269	9	2	17%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Julio Gonzalez 2018 · A	23	47	35→30	55→50	50	219/284/285	66	281	2	12	22%	8%	63	-1.4	204/265/272	68	265	2	8	22%	7%	53	-2.1	167/231/221	54	210	0	5	19%	7%	27	-1.1
✕Trent Farquhar 2024 · A	23	46	38→30	53→55	49	217/292/300	83	277	4	12	22%	8%	71	-0.8	213/307/285	72	283	3	21	23%	10%	74	-0.6	195/296/260	65	261	2	23	23%	10%	62	-0.7
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	216/296/292	76	302	5	18	28%	8%	71	-0.8	204/300/252	48	293	2	28	28%	9%	61	-0.6

Luis Mendez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps