Juan Garcia — OGILVIE

Juan GarciaC ACL Reds

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 94 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .263 / .292

PA8

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	75	61	11	3	0	1	11	23	3	1	0	180	333	279	612	98	270	31	15	295	86	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	30	24	8	1	0	1	3	6	2	0	0	333	448	500	948	167	389	20	10	412	165	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	50	47	3	0	0	0	1	18	1	0	0	64	102	64	166		100	36	2	83	-58	-9	+0	—	—	+1	-0.8
2023	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	94	78	19	6	0	3	13	19	1	2	0	244	359	436	795	192	276	20	14	349	122	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	138	120	26	8	0	0	13	37	3	0	1	217	309	283	592	67	306	27	9	274	72	-5	-0	—	—	+3	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	75	65	8	2	0	1	7	33	3	1	0	123	240	200	440	77	213	44	9	190	15	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	30	25	7	1	0	1	2	9	2	0	0	280	379	440	819	160	303	30	7	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	50	47	2	0	0	0	1	25	1	0	0	43	82	43	124		88	50	2	62	-72	-10	+0	—	—	+1	-0.9
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	94	83	14	4	0	2	8	27	1	2	0	169	250	289	539	120	210	29	9	246	53	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	138	125	18	4	0	0	8	54	3	0	1	144	213	176	389	32	238	39	6	181	9	-15	-0	—	—	+3	-1.3
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	75	65	8	2	0	1	7	33	3	1	0	123	240	200	440	77	226	44	9	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	75	61	11	3	0	1	11	23	3	1	0	180	333	279	612	98	270	31	15	295	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	30	25	7	1	0	1	2	9	2	0	0	280	379	440	819	160	375	30	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	30	24	8	1	0	1	3	6	2	0	0	333	448	500	948	167	389	20	10	412	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	144	131	16	4	0	2	8	52	2	2	0	122	184	198	383	76	175	36	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	144	125	22	6	0	3	14	37	2	2	0	176	270	296	566	120	216	26	10	257	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	138	125	18	4	0	0	8	54	3	0	1	144	213	176	389	32	247	39	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	138	120	26	8	0	0	13	37	3	0	1	217	309	283	592	67	306	27	9	274	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	75	65	8	2	0	1	7	33	3	1	0	123	240	200	440	77	213	44	9	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	30	26	7	1	0	1	2	9	2	0	0	269	379	423	802	154	303	30	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	144	133	16	4	0	2	8	52	2	2	0	120	184	195	380	75	168	36	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	138	126	18	4	0	0	8	54	3	0	1	143	213	175	388	32	238	39	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	144	133	16	4	0	2	8	52	2	2	0	120	184	195	380	75	168	36	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	138	126	18	4	0	0	8	54	3	0	1	143	213	175	388	32	238	39	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		285	25	12	254	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CIN	30%	148	135	28	5	1	2	10	43	2	2	1	207	272	304	576	96	287	29	7	265	66	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	CIN	44%	254	231	49	9	1	5	18	73	3	3	1	212	278	325	602	113	288	29	7	273	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	CIN	51%	328	298	65	12	2	7	23	93	4	4	1	218	283	342	625	124	288	28	7	277	74	-10	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	369	335	72	14	2	7	27	105	4	4	1	215	281	331	613	116	288	28	7	279	75	-11	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	393	357	76	14	2	8	29	112	4	4	1	213	279	331	610	118	287	28	7	278	74	-12	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	401	364	78	15	2	8	30	115	4	4	1	214	281	332	614	118	287	29	7	276	73	-13	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	403	366	78	15	2	8	30	117	4	4	1	213	280	331	611	117	285	29	7	273	71	-14	+0	-2	+7	+9	0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	CIN	30%	45	42	9	2	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	214	267	333	600	119	290	29	7	262	66	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	CIN	44%	112	102	22	4	1	2	8	32	1	1	0	216	279	333	613	118	291	29	7	269	71	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CIN	51%	166	151	33	6	1	4	12	47	2	2	1	219	285	351	636	132	291	28	7	274	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	193	175	38	7	1	4	14	55	2	2	1	217	283	337	620	120	291	28	7	275	75	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	209	190	41	8	1	4	15	60	2	2	1	216	280	332	612	116	291	29	7	274	74	-6	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	211	191	41	8	1	4	16	61	2	2	1	215	282	330	612	115	290	29	8	272	73	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	210	190	41	8	1	4	16	61	2	2	1	216	284	332	615	116	288	29	8	270	71	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1146	1041	225	43	6	23	84	329	11	12	5	216	282	335	617	119	291	29	7	272	64	-37	+0	-2	+20	+25	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	127	24	3	13	48	187	6	7	3	215	281	332	613	117	290	29	7	272	64	-21	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2691	2439	496	95	12	49	193	808	35	28	8	203	271	312	584	109	279	30	7	263	64	-76	+2	-4	+41	+50	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	120	23	3	12	47	195	8	7	2	204	271	314	585	110	280	30	7	263	64	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,240	23	13	214	277	329	+22	+16	1.5	1.5
/162	664	12	7	+11.9	+8.6	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Garcia (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	201/263/292	91	285	1	1	30%	7%	58	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	181/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	211/265/312	101	293	9	3	29%	6%	63	-1.4	217/276/324	107	289	10	0	27%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Luis De Los Santos 2021 · A	23	41→48	40→45	48→45	37	199/248/295	96	286	8	8	32%	5%	52	-2.2	218/265/337	119	297	12	6	29%	5%	69	-0.9	216/280/325	109	289	11	7	28%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Martin Cervenka 2016 · A	23	38→48	37→45	47→40	39	185/228/255	70	254	4	4	29%	5%	35	-3.4	217/262/314	97	295	9	3	28%	6%	61	-1.5	221/267/330	109	291	11	1	27%	6%	66	-0.8
✕Travis Mattair 2012 · A	23	40→47	41→45	49→45	38	196/248/293	97	288	8	7	33%	6%	52	-2.2	214/266/331	117	286	12	4	28%	6%	68	-1.0	211/264/326	114	277	12	2	28%	6%	63	-1.2
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	36	186/240/271	86	298	6	9	38%	6%	44	-2.8	182/266/288	106	256	11	5	31%	9%	59	-1.6	164/257/264	101	226	11	3	30%	10%	49	-1.3
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	49	-2.4	199/265/283	84	347	5	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	146/235/232	85	299	4	14	47%	8%	34	-0.6
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Jose Sibrian 2022 · A	23	41	36→50	48→30	37	195/240/258	63	274	3	5	29%	4%	41	-3.0	209/269/304	95	272	8	3	25%	5%	63	-1.4	211/275/320	108	261	11	0	23%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	42	40→55	49→40	39	208/248/301	93	281	8	6	28%	5%	53	-2.1	203/258/334	131	317	14	3	39%	5%	66	-1.1	194/261/373	179	295	22	1	40%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Jack Winkler 2022 · A	23	40→41	38→40	48→55	40	194/249/274	80	270	4	10	28%	6%	48	-2.5	206/268/296	90	274	7	14	26%	6%	61	-1.5	192/259/279	87	258	7	18	27%	6%	51	-1.6
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	35	38→50	49→40	35	174/226/251	77	275	5	7	37%	5%	34	-3.5	188/272/333	145	263	18	6	34%	9%	72	-0.7	166/252/300	134	233	18	4	36%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Brian Ruggiano 2009 · A	23	40→43	38→45	54→55	38	190/244/275	85	291	5	10	35%	6%	47	-2.6	214/268/322	108	306	8	14	31%	6%	66	-1.1	216/270/330	114	301	9	15	30%	5%	67	-0.7
✕D' Vontrey Richardson 2011 · A	23	41→39	40	45→50	36	194/252/290	96	313	6	10	38%	6%	53	-2.1	231/276/322	91	331	5	11	30%	5%	68	-1.0	250/289/337	87	326	4	16	24%	4%	74	-0.3
✕Welfrin Mateo 2019 · A	23	43	40	46→50	37	209/248/299	90	287	8	9	30%	5%	53	-2.1	204/250/307	103	278	9	8	29%	5%	56	-1.9	184/230/287	103	245	8	6	28%	5%	42	-1.5
✕Zane Gurwitz 2019 · A	24	41	39→45	48→45	39	199/243/290	92	268	6	7	28%	5%	49	-2.4	205/261/308	103	296	9	6	32%	6%	61	-1.5	197/258/298	101	284	11	4	33%	7%	55	-1.3
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	36→43	42→45	42→50	40	181/251/288	108	274	9	8	35%	7%	53	-2.1	202/278/297	95	279	9	12	29%	8%	65	-1.2	198/280/282	84	265	10	14	27%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Skye Bolt 2017 · A	23	40→41	40→50	47→50	41	194/255/287	93	273	7	9	30%	6%	54	-2.0	201/262/330	129	290	12	10	33%	7%	66	-1.1	238/305/370	133	314	14	12	28%	8%	89	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps