Juan Garcia — OGILVIE

Juan GarciaC ACL Reds

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 94 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .259 / .286

PA94

HR1

K%32

BB%7

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	75	65	8	2	0	1	7	33	3	1	0	123	240	200	440	77	226	44	9	190	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	75	61	11	3	0	1	11	23	3	1	0	180	333	279	612	98	270	31	15	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	30	25	7	1	0	1	2	9	2	0	0	280	379	440	819	160	375	30	7	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	30	24	8	1	0	1	3	6	2	0	0	333	448	500	948	167	389	20	10	412	173	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	2 teams	—	144	131	16	4	0	2	8	51	2	2	0	122	184	198	383	76	173	35	6	179	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	2 teams	—	144	125	22	6	0	3	14	37	2	2	0	176	270	296	566	120	216	26	10	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	138	125	18	4	0	0	8	55	3	0	1	144	213	176	389	32	250	40	6	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	138	120	26	8	0	0	13	37	3	0	1	217	309	283	592	67	306	27	9	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	CIN	—	94	87	17	3	1	1	6	30	1	1	0	195	255	287	543	92	286	32	6	250	50	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CIN	30%	148	135	27	5	1	2	10	45	2	2	1	200	265	296	562	96	288	30	7	262	58	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	CIN	44%	254	231	49	9	1	5	18	76	3	3	1	212	278	325	602	113	288	30	7	269	64	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2029	26	MLB	CIN	51%	328	298	64	12	2	7	23	97	4	4	1	215	280	339	619	124	289	30	7	274	68	-12	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.4
2030	27	MLB	CIN	52%	369	335	71	13	2	7	27	109	4	4	1	212	279	325	604	113	289	30	7	275	69	-13	+0	+0	+7	+10	0.5
2027	24	MLB	CIN	30%	45	42	9	2	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	214	267	333	600	119	290	31	7	256	54	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	CIN	44%	112	102	22	4	1	2	8	34	1	1	0	216	279	333	613	118	291	30	7	264	60	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	26	MLB	CIN	51%	166	151	32	6	1	3	12	49	2	2	1	212	279	325	603	113	291	30	7	269	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	27	MLB	CIN	52%	193	175	38	7	1	4	14	57	2	2	1	217	283	337	620	120	291	30	7	270	65	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	516	470	101	19	3	10	37	154	5	6	2	215	279	332	611	117	294	30	7	267	62	-22	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	128	24	4	13	47	194	6	8	3	216	281	336	617	120	296	30	7	267	62	-28	+0	+0	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	1580	1432	277	53	7	26	109	505	24	17	5	193	262	295	557	101	275	32	7	251	50	-89	+1	+0	+28	+45	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	115	22	3	11	45	208	10	7	2	195	264	299	563	104	277	32	7	251	50	-37	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	75	61	11	3	1	11	23	3	1	0	180	333	279	612	98	270	31	15	295	84	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	30	24	8	1	1	3	6	2	0	0	333	448	500	948	167	389	20	10	412	173	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	50	47	3	0	0	1	18	1	0	0	64	102	64	166		100	36	2	83	-78	-10	+0	—	—	+1	-0.9
2023	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	94	78	19	6	3	13	19	1	2	0	244	359	436	795	192	276	20	14	349	125	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	138	120	26	8	0	13	37	3	0	1	217	309	283	592	67	306	27	9	274	68	-5	-0	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	610	11	7	211	273	322	+11	+12	0.4	0.5
	/162	664	12	8	211	273	322	+11.9	+13.1	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Garcia (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	197/259/286	88	286	1	1	32%	7%	50	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	35	180/230/254	74	285	6	3	38%	6%	28	-3.2	209/261/311	102	295	9	3	31%	6%	56	-1.3	214/272/324	110	288	10	0	28%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	4	5	33%	4%	22	-3.7	205/260/281	76	311	5	6	33%	6%	48	-1.9	198/265/228	30	313	0	0	34%	8%	37	-0.5
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	39	38→50	48→40	40	191/244/271	79	266	5	4	29%	6%	38	-2.6	209/257/321	112	282	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.2	201/247/350	149	258	12	3	27%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A	23	34	42→50	43→30	38	172/234/280	108	274	10	6	39%	7%	37	-2.6	197/267/331	134	321	13	4	39%	8%	65	-0.7	191/266/336	145	314	15	1	41%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41→40	36→50	47→50	41	197/258/265	68	279	4	7	29%	6%	43	-2.2	211/270/330	119	289	13	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	213/262/352	139	271	17	12	28%	4%	64	-0.4
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A	23	38	41→45	48→30	31	189/228/283	93	291	9	6	37%	4%	34	-2.8	198/249/283	85	295	6	6	33%	4%	43	-2.2	156/203/205	49	241	0	0	33%	2%	1	-1.2
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→36	42→50	49→45	42	208/284/314	106	306	8	7	33%	7%	68	-0.5	195/290/334	139	313	15	5	39%	10%	76	+0.1	179/286/335	156	287	19	4	41%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	38	41→40	46→40	41	184/265/285	101	288	8	8	36%	8%	53	-1.5	205/278/297	92	316	7	5	34%	7%	60	-1.0	204/278/288	84	318	5	2	34%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A	23	38	37→40	48→45	42	185/247/254	69	274	5	6	33%	8%	36	-2.7	220/269/285	65	296	4	7	25%	6%	52	-1.6	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	173/222/254	81	276	7	4	39%	5%	24	-3.5	183/241/264	81	308	8	5	40%	6%	36	-2.7	115/169/126	12	224	0	0	46%	5%	-33	-1.4
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	49→30	38	187/245/270	83	282	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	194/251/308	114	284	11	4	34%	4%	52	-1.6	181/239/309	128	257	14	1	34%	4%	46	-1.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Matt Winn 2016 · A	23	40→34	40→50	50→30	37	196/246/288	92	293	7	7	34%	6%	43	-2.2	190/247/324	134	306	16	2	41%	7%	54	-1.4	173/233/309	136	290	16	0	44%	7%	41	-1.5
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	44→55	46→45	37	202/247/323	121	282	12	7	32%	5%	53	-1.5	194/256/297	103	298	10	10	36%	7%	50	-1.7	163/228/254	91	247	10	10	36%	8%	25	-0.9
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	34	41→50	42→40	41	176/240/273	97	255	9	4	33%	7%	38	-2.6	207/260/304	97	277	8	3	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/281/340	119	284	13	0	26%	7%	70	-0.2