Arol Vera — OGILVIE

Arol VeraSS Salt Lake Bees

Age 23 S/R 6'2" / 230 lbs AAA K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION123 act + 18 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†28

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%6

BABIP249

ISO59

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	90	82	23	0	0	0	6	20	2	9	2	280	344	280	625		371	22	7	294	85	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	18	ROK	ACL Angels	—	164	145	46	16	3	0	12	39	5	2	2	317	389	469	858	152	426	24	7	377	141	+8	-0	—	—	+4	1.1
2022	19	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	551	487	101	16	4	4	53	149	6	19	7	207	293	281	574	74	287	27	10	266	66	-22	+1	—	—	+12	-1.0
2023	20	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	60	56	16	1	0	2	1	10	1	2	0	286	310	411	721	125	304	17	2	311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	20	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	491	438	101	16	2	3	34	128	4	10	5	231	292	297	589	66	311	26	7	263	64	-21	+0	—	—	+11	-1.1
2024	21	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	277	251	43	10	0	1	19	84	2	1	5	171	235	223	458	52	250	30	7	212	29	-23	-2	—	—	+6	-1.9
2024	21	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	122	109	22	3	0	1	12	31	1	2	0	202	287	257	544	55	273	25	10	257	60	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	22	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	95	84	14	4	0	1	3	27	3	0	0	167	222	250	472	83	224	28	3	207	26	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	22	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	230	200	46	10	2	5	27	47	3	2	0	230	330	375	705	145	277	20	12	321	103	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	90	84	20	0	0	0	4	28	2	9	2	238	289	238	527		356	31	4	240	49	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	164	149	33	10	2	0	8	56	5	2	2	221	284	315	599	94	338	34	5	262	63	-7	-0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2022	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	551	502	81	12	3	4	38	202	6	19	7	161	229	221	450	60	251	37	7	203	24	-50	+1	—	—	+12	-3.8
2023	20	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	60	56	16	1	0	2	1	12	1	2	0	286	310	411	721	125	303	20	2	297	87	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	20	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	491	451	88	13	1	2	21	170	4	10	5	195	237	242	479	47	287	35	4	214	31	-40	+0	—	—	+11	-3.0
2024	21	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	277	256	37	8	0	1	14	105	2	1	5	145	195	188	382	43	224	38	5	167	-1	-33	-2	—	—	+6	-3.0
2024	21	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	122	114	19	2	0	1	7	43	1	2	0	167	221	211	432	44	252	35	6	194	17	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2025	22	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	95	85	13	4	0	1	2	33	3	0	0	153	200	235	435	82	198	35	2	177	6	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2025	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	230	210	38	8	2	4	17	65	3	2	0	181	252	295	547	114	233	28	7	237	47	-15	+0	—	—	+5	-0.9
2021	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	254	233	53	10	2	0	12	84	7	11	4	227	286	288	573	60	351	33	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	254	227	69	16	3	0	18	59	7	11	4	304	373	401	774	97	406	23	7	348	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	551	502	81	12	3	4	38	202	6	19	7	161	229	221	450	60	257	37	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	—	551	487	101	16	4	4	53	149	6	19	7	207	293	281	574	74	287	27	10	266	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	551	508	105	15	1	4	21	182	5	12	5	207	245	264	509	57	304	33	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	551	494	117	17	2	5	35	138	5	12	5	237	294	310	604	73	310	25	6	268	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	371	55	10	0	2	20	148	3	3	5	148	198	191	389	43	238	37	5	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	399	360	65	13	0	2	31	115	3	3	5	181	251	233	485	53	257	29	8	225	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	325	295	50	11	2	5	19	97	6	2	0	169	234	271	506	102	231	30	6	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	325	284	60	14	2	6	30	74	6	2	0	211	300	338	638	127	262	23	9	287	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	254	233	53	10	2	0	12	84	7	11	4	227	286	288	573	60	344	33	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	551	502	81	12	3	4	38	202	6	19	7	161	229	221	450	60	251	37	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	551	520	105	15	1	4	21	182	5	12	5	202	245	258	503	56	289	33	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	373	55	10	0	2	20	148	3	3	5	147	198	190	388	43	233	37	5	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	325	297	50	11	2	5	19	97	6	2	0	168	234	269	504	101	223	30	6	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	551	520	105	15	1	4	21	182	5	12	5	202	245	258	503	56	289	33	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	373	55	10	0	2	20	148	3	3	5	147	198	190	388	43	233	37	5	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	325	297	50	11	2	5	19	97	6	2	0	168	234	269	504	101	223	30	6	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	LAA	—	123	114	15	2	1	0	6	45	2	1	1	132	189	167	355	35	217	37	5	163	-4	-15	-0	+0	+1	+3	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AAA RAW	LAA	—	123	112	18	3	1	0	8	35	2	1	1	161	230	205	435	45	234	28	7	205	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AAA MLE	LAA	10%	18	17	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	176	222	235	458	59	250	33	6	209	28	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	23	MLB CTX	LAA	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						249	50	0	200	28	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	LAA	—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							50	0	200	0	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AAA MLE	LAA	—	141	131	18	3	1	0	7	51	2	1	1	137	193	176	368	38	225	36	5	169	0	-17	-0	+0	+2	+3	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAA	35%	416	385	70	13	2	5	23	132	5	4	2	182	237	265	502	83	257	32	6	228	41	-29	+0	+0	+4	+9	-1.6
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAA	46%	448	414	77	14	2	7	26	138	5	4	2	186	243	280	523	94	260	31	6	240	49	-27	+0	+0	+5	+10	-1.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	467	431	82	15	2	8	28	142	5	4	2	190	248	290	538	100	262	30	6	246	53	-26	+0	+0	+5	+10	-1.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	LAA	35%	145	134	24	4	1	2	8	46	2	1	1	179	236	269	505	90	256	32	6	220	41	-10	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAA	46%	208	192	36	7	1	3	12	64	2	2	1	188	243	281	524	94	259	31	6	231	49	-13	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	242	222	42	8	1	4	15	74	3	2	1	189	250	288	538	99	261	31	6	238	53	-14	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	597	550	102	19	3	9	35	185	7	5	3	185	243	280	523	95	259	31	6	231	37	-37	-0	+0	+6	+13	-1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	111	21	3	10	38	201	8	5	3	185	243	280	524	95	258	31	6	231	37	-40	-0	+0	+7	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3429	3156	576	101	14	35	188	1131	42	59	27	183	238	257	495	74	268	33	5	222	37	-85	+0	+0	+14	+29	-4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	110	19	3	7	36	214	8	11	5	184	240	261	501	77	270	33	6	222	37	-41	+0	+0	+7	+14	-2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.9	626	10	5	188	242	283	+7	+3	-1.5	-0.7
/162	664	10	6	+7.1	+3.2	-1.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Arol Vera (OGILVIE)	23	40	40	40	50	168/220/232	64	250	2	3	33%	5%	28	-2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David García 2023 · AA	23	42	41→40	43→30	38	206/254/299	93	289	9	3	31%	5%	56	-1.9	200/289/274	74	296	5	5	31%	9%	65	-1.2	178/280/235	57	268	4	3	31%	10%	51	-0.8
✕Rey Bruguera 2015 · A	23	42	38→40	43→50	40	202/254/274	73	290	5	6	31%	6%	49	-2.4	192/257/261	69	297	5	5	34%	8%	49	-2.4	153/233/192	40	244	2	0	35%	9%	22	-1.8
✕Drew Lee 2011 · A	23	42	41→45	43→45	37	208/235/309	101	272	8	6	27%	4%	50	-2.3	213/245/305	92	294	7	5	29%	4%	53	-2.1	212/238/302	90	291	7	3	29%	3%	48	-1.4
✕Franklin Navarro 2018 · A	23	43	38→40	45→40	41	209/252/286	77	281	5	4	27%	5%	51	-2.2	208/245/298	90	334	7	6	38%	5%	51	-2.2	179/191/250	71	313	7	0	45%	2%	17	-1.1
✕Edgar Duran 2014 · AA	23	43→45	38→40	45→50	39	208/249/284	76	268	5	11	24%	4%	50	-2.3	198/241/265	67	250	4	8	21%	4%	42	-2.9	194/239/246	52	243	3	4	21%	4%	35	-1.3
✕Jerome Pena 2012 · A	23	43→34	36→40	42→45	45	203/268/275	72	283	3	6	28%	7%	55	-1.9	200/257/285	85	301	6	8	33%	7%	53	-2.1	189/252/304	115	318	10	7	41%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Jose Martinez 2019 · AA	22	43	36→30	42→45	44	203/257/265	62	273	3	5	26%	6%	49	-2.4	205/262/283	78	267	6	8	24%	7%	55	-2.0	195/252/261	67	245	5	8	22%	7%	44	-1.6
✕Nick Ciuffo 2018 · AA	23	44→43	38→40	44→40	40	213/251/296	83	284	5	4	26%	5%	53	-2.1	208/253/308	100	293	9	4	30%	6%	57	-1.8	199/240/286	87	290	9	1	33%	5%	44	-0.9
✕Stephen Perez 2014 · A	23	41→48	38→30	40→50	39	197/244/276	79	280	5	6	31%	5%	46	-2.6	207/269/276	69	279	4	14	25%	8%	56	-1.9	201/276/258	56	272	5	15	26%	8%	53	-0.9
✕Logan Wade 2015 · A	23	38	41→40	44→45	35	189/223/286	97	266	8	6	32%	4%	40	-3.0	203/236/294	91	282	5	6	29%	4%	47	-2.5	203/233/291	89	278	3	5	28%	4%	43	-1.4
✕Santiago Nessy 2016 · AA	23	40	41→40	43→45	38	198/249/295	97	277	8	3	31%	5%	53	-2.1	201/258/293	92	280	7	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	161/225/216	55	223	4	0	28%	8%	23	-1.0
✕Logan Moore 2015 · AA	24	38	38→40	40→30	41	187/240/268	82	260	5	3	29%	6%	43	-2.8	201/249/290	89	278	8	3	29%	6%	51	-2.2	191/238/275	84	266	9	0	30%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Frandy De La Rosa 2018 · A	22	40→43	41→40	40→50	38	197/249/292	95	288	8	9	34%	6%	53	-2.1	204/255/318	114	323	12	6	38%	6%	61	-1.5	182/231/297	115	288	16	0	41%	5%	42	-1.0
✕David Rodríguez 2019 · AA	23	44→43	39→40	43→40	41	212/263/297	85	284	6	4	27%	5%	59	-1.7	213/269/322	109	288	10	6	28%	6%	67	-1.1	199/257/313	114	270	13	4	30%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Vicente Conde 2017 · AA	23	40→35	39→40	46→45	44	193/259/279	85	278	5	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	176/250/260	84	258	6	6	31%	9%	46	-2.6	104/202/173	69	167	5	2	38%	10%	8	-1.6
✕David Lyon 2013 · A	23	41	36→45	46→30	43	195/258/265	70	278	3	5	29%	7%	50	-2.3	177/236/286	109	293	10	3	40%	6%	47	-2.6	143/217/271	128	240	15	2	45%	8%	35	-1.3
✕Gabriel Lino 2016 · AAA	23	40	39→40	35→30	36	196/239/277	80	286	6	3	33%	5%	45	-2.7	207/259/301	94	299	8	3	32%	5%	58	-1.7	203/261/298	94	294	7	0	31%	5%	57	-0.8
✕Chuck Moorman 2017 · A	23	37	37→40	39→30	36	184/216/253	69	253	4	4	29%	4%	30	-3.8	195/239/282	87	280	7	3	31%	5%	46	-2.6	187/232/269	82	271	7	0	32%	5%	38	-1.5
✕Jose Bonilla 2012 · A	23	40	39→40	43→40	43	196/259/275	79	271	6	4	29%	7%	52	-2.2	200/268/291	91	297	9	7	33%	8%	60	-1.6	165/246/240	75	258	9	6	37%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Sal Giardina 2016 · A	24	40	36→40	42→30	34	194/240/255	61	287	4	5	33%	4%	40	-3.0	208/262/275	67	303	4	5	31%	4%	53	-2.1	207/265/262	55	306	4	2	31%	3%	49	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps