Julio Bonilla — OGILVIE

Julio Bonilla P Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.69

FIP4.69

K%22.7%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%11.0%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	11	2	25	106	25	12	1	18%	2.3	16.0%	14.2%	1.9%	1.3%	3.20	4.26	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	11	2	25	106	25	12	1	18%	2.3	23.6%	11.3%	12.3%	0.9%	3.20	3.06	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	14	0	24	120	24	16	0	0%	1.7	13.6%	16.7%	-3.1%	0.0%	7.50	4.06	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	14	0	24	120	24	16	0	0%	1.7	20.0%	13.3%	6.7%	0.0%	7.50	3.10	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	9	2	25	109	24	7	5	22%	2.8	15.0%	8.0%	6.9%	6.2%	3.91	6.27	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	9	2	25	109	24	7	5	22%	2.8	22.0%	6.4%	15.6%	4.6%	3.91	4.60	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	8	0	13	72	11	15	1	0%	1.7	10.4%	26.0%	-15.7%	2.1%	8.78	6.69	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	8	0	13	72	11	15	1	0%	1.7	15.3%	20.8%	-5.6%	1.4%	8.78	5.80	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	19	0	23	112	27	17	3	0%	1.2	17.8%	17.9%	-0.1%	3.6%	7.83	5.85	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	19	0	23	112	27	17	3	0%	1.2	17.8%	17.9%	-0.1%	3.6%	7.83	5.85	—
2024	23	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	19	0	23	112	27	17	3	0%	1.2	24.1%	15.2%	8.9%	2.7%	7.83	4.67	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	0	22	100	29	13	2	0%	1.2	29.0%	13.0%	16.0%	2.0%	4.84	3.40	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	0	22	100	29	13	2	0%	1.2	29.0%	13.0%	16.0%	2.0%	4.84	3.40	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	0	22	100	29	13	2	0%	1.2	29.0%	13.0%	16.0%	2.0%	4.84	3.41	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	MIN	13	0	14	59	13	7	2	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.7%	11.0%	3.0%	4.69	4.69	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.5%	11.3%	3.1%	4.68	4.69	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIN	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	11.5%	11.3%	3.1%	4.68	4.69	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	11.5%	11.3%	3.1%	4.68	4.31	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	110	28	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.5%	11.3%	3.1%	4.68	4.31	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		80	4	133	619	106	96	16	5%	1.7	17.1%	15.4%	1.7%	2.5%	5.74	5.01	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	6	200	929	159	143	24	5%	1.7	17.1%	15.4%	1.7%	2.5%	5.74	5.01	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Julio Bonilla (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	22.7%	11.7%	3.0%	—	4.69	22.7%	11.3%	20	+0.00	—	—	—
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	86
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	85
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	85
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	85
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	83
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	83
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	82
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	82
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	82
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	82
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	82
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	82
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	82
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.36	21.4%	10.8%	92	+0.05	3.89	168	82
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	81
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	81
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	81
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	81
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	81
Brian Sanches R 2006 · 5.30 FIP	27	SU	5.30	22.4%	10.2%	5.1%	.295	4.52	19.0%	10.1%	82	-0.78	3.39	229	81