Trey McGough
P
Charlotte Knights
Age 28
LHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.49
FIP4.49
K%22.0%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%10.5%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 19 | 113 | 457 | 90 | 25 | 8 | 79% | 4.7 | 15.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 3.19 | 3.76 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 19 | 113 | 457 | 90 | 25 | 8 | 79% | 4.7 | 19.7% | 5.5% | 14.2% | 1.8% | 3.19 | 3.09 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 8 | 5 | 18 | 70 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 62% | 2.2 | 16.3% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 3.06 | 5.84 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 8 | 5 | 18 | 70 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 62% | 2.2 | 18.6% | 5.7% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 3.06 | 5.25 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 7 | 4 | 21 | 82 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 57% | 3.0 | 26.8% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 3.05 | 3.87 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 7 | 4 | 21 | 82 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 57% | 3.0 | 26.8% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 3.05 | 3.83 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 1 | 82 | 323 | 88 | 29 | 3 | 2% | 1.9 | 23.5% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 1.0% | 1.98 | 2.87 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 1 | 82 | 323 | 88 | 29 | 3 | 2% | 1.9 | 27.2% | 9.0% | 18.3% | 0.9% | 1.98 | 2.49 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 7 | 1 | 15 | 75 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 14% | 2.1 | 15.3% | 21.0% | -5.7% | 2.7% | 9.00 | 5.95 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 7 | 1 | 15 | 75 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 14% | 2.1 | 17.3% | 20.0% | -2.7% | 4.0% | 9.00 | 6.97 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.22 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 104 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 88 | 30 | 248 | 1007 | 193 | 89 | 22 | 34% | 2.8 | 19.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 3.12 | 3.79 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 24 | 200 | 812 | 156 | 72 | 18 | 34% | 2.8 | 19.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 3.12 | 3.79 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trey McGough (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 2.6% | — | 4.60 | 21.9% | 10.4% | 21 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Hector Hernandez L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 78 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 75 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 71 |
| Jack Dashwood L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.80 | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 309 | 70 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 69 |
| Edgar Olmos L 2025 · 3.56 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.56 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 203 | 67 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 67 |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 67 |
| Tommy Vail L 2024 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 19.7% | 16.4% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 151 | 66 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .321 | 7.40 | 16.6% | 2.7% | 21 | +2.96 | 4.08 | 165 | 66 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.56 | 16.9% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 491 | 65 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 64 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 64 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 64 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 64 |
| Will Lamb L 2024 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 64 |
| A.J. Block L 2025 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 64 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 63 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2024 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 63 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 63 |