Trey McGough — OGILVIE

Trey McGough P Charlotte Knights

Age 28 LHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 121

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%20.1%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%9.0%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	19	113	457	90	25	8	79%	4.7	15.8%	6.1%	9.8%	2.2%	3.19	3.72	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	19	113	457	90	25	8	79%	4.7	19.7%	5.5%	14.2%	1.8%	3.19	3.09	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	8	5	18	70	13	4	4	62%	2.2	16.3%	6.0%	10.3%	6.2%	3.06	5.89	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	8	5	18	70	13	4	4	62%	2.2	18.6%	5.7%	12.9%	5.7%	3.06	5.25	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	7	4	21	82	22	11	2	57%	3.0	26.8%	13.4%	13.4%	2.4%	3.05	3.87	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	7	4	21	82	22	11	2	57%	3.0	26.8%	13.4%	13.4%	2.4%	3.05	3.87	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	7	4	21	82	22	11	2	57%	3.0	26.8%	13.4%	13.4%	2.4%	3.05	3.83	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	1	82	323	88	29	3	2%	1.9	22.5%	8.5%	14.0%	1.0%	1.98	2.83	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	1	82	323	88	29	3	2%	1.9	22.5%	8.5%	14.0%	1.0%	1.98	2.83	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	1	82	323	88	29	3	2%	1.9	27.2%	9.0%	18.3%	0.9%	1.98	2.49	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	7	1	15	75	13	15	3	14%	2.1	14.4%	18.0%	-3.6%	3.3%	9.00	6.00	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	7	1	15	75	13	15	3	14%	2.1	14.4%	18.0%	-3.6%	3.3%	9.00	6.00	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	7	1	15	75	13	15	3	14%	2.1	17.3%	20.0%	-2.7%	4.0%	9.00	6.97	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CWS	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	20.1%	11.1%	9.0%	2.6%	4.64	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CWS	20	0	21	88	18	10	2	0%	1.0	20.2%	11.1%	9.0%	2.8%	4.69	4.74	-0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	CWS	8	0	8	34	7	4	1	0%	1.0	20.2%	11.1%	9.0%	2.8%	4.69	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	7	4	1	0%	1.1	20.2%	11.1%	9.0%	2.8%	4.69	4.36	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	104	26	0%	1.1	20.2%	11.1%	9.0%	2.8%	4.69	4.36	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		88	30	248	1007	189	84	22	34%	2.8	18.8%	8.3%	10.5%	2.2%	3.12	3.76	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	24	200	812	153	68	18	34%	2.8	18.8%	8.3%	10.5%	2.2%	3.12	3.76	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trey McGough (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	20.1%	11.1%	2.6%	—	4.74	20.2%	9.0%	21	+0.10	—	—	—
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	76
Jordan Carr L 2023 · 3.49 FIP	26	SW	3.49	17.2%	8.5%	1.4%	.270	5.16	12.7%	2.3%	137	+1.67	3.49	269	73
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	72
Chad Bell L 2017 · 4.57 FIP	28	SW	4.57	19.4%	8.9%	3.6%	.341	4.38	18.8%	11.4%	57	-0.19	3.39	393	70
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	68
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	68
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	68
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	68
Brendan Nail L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	18.9%	10.5%	2.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	165	67
Austin Warner L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.9%	9.0%	3.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	491	66
Andy Oliver L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	28	SP-	3.93	19.9%	9.9%	2.3%	.321	7.12	16.6%	2.7%	21	+3.19	3.93	165	66
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	66
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	66
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	65
Ross Detwiler L 2015 · 5.50 FIP	29	SW	5.50	14.2%	12.2%	3.8%	.356	4.80	14.1%	5.9%	242	-0.70	3.49	512	65
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	64
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	64
Reid Love L 2018 · 3.98 FIP	26	SW	3.98	19.6%	7.2%	3.0%	.373	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	280	63
Hayden Deal L 2023 · 4.01 FIP	28	SW	4.01	15.7%	11.4%	1.4%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	420	63
Carson Teel L 2022 · 4.26 FIP	26	SU	4.26	17.7%	7.1%	3.2%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	248	63