Tyler Eckberg — OGILVIE

Tyler Eckberg P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.41

FIP4.41

K%19.7%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%11.7%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	5	0	8	36	12	0	0	0%	1.6	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	6.75	0.29	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	5	0	8	36	12	0	0	0%	1.6	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	6.75	0.10	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	0	60	254	71	10	2	0%	1.8	21.2%	4.4%	16.8%	1.1%	2.55	2.50	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	0	60	254	71	10	2	0%	1.8	28.0%	3.9%	24.0%	0.8%	2.55	1.67	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	39	0	64	276	60	8	6	0%	1.6	16.7%	3.3%	13.4%	3.3%	3.53	3.93	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	39	0	64	276	60	8	6	0%	1.6	16.7%	3.3%	13.4%	3.3%	3.53	3.93	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	39	0	64	276	60	8	6	0%	1.6	21.7%	2.9%	18.8%	2.2%	3.53	2.82	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	52	213	51	18	3	0%	1.4	19.0%	9.5%	9.5%	1.6%	2.77	3.57	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	52	213	51	18	3	0%	1.4	19.0%	9.5%	9.5%	1.6%	2.77	3.57	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	52	213	51	18	3	0%	1.4	23.9%	8.5%	15.5%	1.4%	2.77	2.93	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	MIA	3	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.7%	8.0%	11.7%	2.9%	4.41	4.41	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIA	35	0	36	154	31	13	5	0%	1.0	19.9%	8.3%	11.5%	3.0%	4.48	4.53	+0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIA	10	0	11	46	9	4	1	0%	1.1	19.9%	8.3%	11.5%	3.0%	4.48	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	10	4	1	0%	1.0	19.9%	8.3%	11.5%	3.0%	4.48	4.15	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	70	18	0%	1.1	19.9%	8.3%	11.5%	3.0%	4.48	4.15	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		114	0	184	779	152	40	15	0%	1.6	19.6%	5.2%	14.4%	2.0%	3.14	3.20	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		124	0	200	848	166	44	17	0%	1.6	19.6%	5.2%	14.4%	2.0%	3.14	3.20	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Eckberg (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.41	19.7%	8.0%	2.9%	—	4.53	19.9%	11.5%	36	+0.12	—	—	—
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	88
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	86
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	86
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	85
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	85
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	84
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	84
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	84
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	84
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	84
Chris Martin R 2015 · 3.24 FIP	29	SU	3.24	18.1%	7.0%	1.4%	.319	3.04	20.9%	19.2%	42	-0.20	1.76	416	84
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	84
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	83
A.J. Schugel R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	28	SU	4.01	20.1%	8.1%	2.9%	.307	6.37	17.6%	10.6%	13	+2.36	2.80	299	83
Pedro Beato R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	17.4%	7.5%	1.6%	.276	3.93	19.0%	11.2%	192	+0.46	3.47	295	83
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	83
Michael Mariot R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	22.6%	9.0%	2.1%	.327	4.79	20.9%	11.8%	74	+1.28	2.40	676	82
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	82
Cory Gearrin R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.5%	.283	3.54	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.02	3.15	272	82
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	19.8%	8.2%	1.15	4.44
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19