Bernie Martinez — OGILVIE

Bernie Martinez P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.43

FIP4.43

K%20.6%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%12.5%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	MIX MLE	4 levels	14	1	36	143	43	4	4	7%	2.6	27.0%	1.5%	25.5%	0.0%	3.72	1.01	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	4 levels	14	1	36	143	43	4	4	7%	2.6	30.1%	2.8%	27.3%	2.8%	3.72	2.49	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	6	57	259	52	23	15	21%	2.0	15.4%	11.0%	4.4%	6.9%	7.31	6.95	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	6	57	259	52	23	15	21%	2.0	20.1%	8.9%	11.2%	5.8%	7.31	5.92	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	7	0	9	36	14	0	1	0%	1.3	38.9%	0.0%	38.9%	2.8%	5.00	1.34	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	7	0	9	36	14	0	1	0%	1.3	38.9%	0.0%	38.9%	2.8%	5.00	1.43	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	9	59	262	50	18	9	30%	2.0	14.8%	6.7%	8.1%	4.1%	6.75	4.96	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	9	59	262	50	18	9	30%	2.0	14.8%	6.7%	8.1%	4.1%	6.75	4.96	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	9	59	262	50	18	9	30%	2.0	19.1%	6.9%	12.2%	3.4%	6.75	4.31	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	1	0	2	6	2	2	0	0%	1.7	33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.51	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	1	0	2	6	2	2	0	0%	1.7	33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.51	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	1	0	2	6	2	2	0	0%	1.7	33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.30	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	SEA	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	20.6%	8.1%	12.5%	3.0%	4.43	4.43	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	SEA	33	0	35	148	30	13	5	0%	1.1	20.5%	8.5%	12.1%	3.2%	4.52	4.59	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	SEA	12	0	13	55	11	5	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	8.5%	12.1%	3.2%	4.52	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	11	5	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	8.5%	12.1%	3.2%	4.52	4.21	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	77	31	0%	1.1	20.5%	8.5%	12.1%	3.2%	4.52	4.21	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		80	16	162	706	133	50	30	20%	2.0	18.9%	7.1%	11.8%	4.2%	6.10	4.70	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		99	20	200	870	164	62	36	20%	2.0	18.9%	7.1%	11.8%	4.2%	6.10	4.70	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bernie Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.43	20.6%	8.1%	3.0%	—	4.59	20.5%	12.1%	35	+0.16	—	—	—
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	85
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	81
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	80
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	79
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	79
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	77
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	77
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	77
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	77
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	76
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	76
Cory Gearrin R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.5%	.283	3.54	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.02	3.15	272	76
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	76
Michael Mariot R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	29	SU	4.62	21.8%	7.5%	4.4%	.328	4.65	17.7%	9.5%	136	+0.03	2.40	676	76
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	76
Dalier Hinojosa R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	29	SU	3.41	20.4%	9.8%	1.4%	.283	4.30	18.7%	6.1%	24	+0.89	3.41	104	76
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	75
Chris Martin R 2015 · 3.24 FIP	29	SU	3.24	18.1%	7.0%	1.4%	.319	3.04	20.9%	19.2%	42	-0.20	1.76	416	75
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	75
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	20.6%	8.3%	1.21	4.47
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47