Bernie Martinez
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 29
RHP
6'0" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%22.8%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 14 | 1 | 36 | 143 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 7% | 2.6 | 27.0% | 1.5% | 25.5% | 0.0% | 3.72 | 1.01 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 14 | 1 | 36 | 143 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 7% | 2.6 | 30.1% | 2.8% | 27.3% | 2.8% | 3.72 | 2.49 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 6 | 57 | 259 | 52 | 23 | 15 | 21% | 2.0 | 15.4% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.31 | 6.70 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 6 | 57 | 259 | 52 | 23 | 15 | 21% | 2.0 | 20.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 7.31 | 5.92 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 7 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 38.9% | 0.0% | 38.9% | 2.8% | 5.00 | 1.34 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 7 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 38.9% | 0.0% | 38.9% | 2.8% | 5.00 | 1.43 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 9 | 59 | 262 | 50 | 18 | 9 | 30% | 2.0 | 14.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 6.75 | 4.94 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 9 | 59 | 262 | 50 | 18 | 9 | 30% | 2.0 | 19.1% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 6.75 | 4.31 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.51 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.30 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 36 | 0 | 37 | 157 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 31 | 0 | 33 | 138 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 4.61 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 29 | 0 | 30 | 128 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 4.79 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 4.61 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 4.79 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 49 | 0 | 51 | 217 | 48 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 4.65 | 4.38 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 82 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 4.65 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 80 | 16 | 162 | 706 | 133 | 50 | 28 | 20% | 2.0 | 18.9% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 6.10 | 4.60 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 99 | 20 | 200 | 870 | 164 | 62 | 35 | 20% | 2.0 | 18.9% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 6.10 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bernie Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 22.8% | 9.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.72 | 22.1% | 12.5% | 98 | +0.36 | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 84 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 79 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 78 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 77 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 77 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.42 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | .328 | 4.58 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 136 | +0.16 | 2.32 | 676 | 77 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 76 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 76 |
| Blake Smith R 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 76 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 76 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 76 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 76 |
| Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 76 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 75 |
| Alex Powers R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.01 | 25.0% | 10.3% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 264 | 75 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 75 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 75 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 75 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 75 |
| Peyton Gray R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 4.0% | .358 | 2.87 | 25.2% | 19.1% | 34 | -1.69 | 2.87 | 138 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 34 | 22.3% | 9.5% | 1.29 | 4.54 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |