Luke Taggart — OGILVIE

Luke Taggart P Erie SeaWolves

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 228 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.59

FIP4.59

K%21.3%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%11.3%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	2	0	3	9	6	0	0	0%	1.5	66.7%	0.0%	66.7%	0.0%	0.00	-2.53	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	2	0	3	9	6	0	0	0%	1.5	66.7%	0.0%	66.7%	0.0%	0.00	-0.90	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	22	0	32	131	44	8	1	0%	1.5	25.9%	7.0%	18.8%	0.7%	2.53	2.20	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	22	0	32	131	44	8	1	0%	1.5	33.6%	6.1%	27.5%	0.8%	2.53	1.51	—
2024	26	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	2	4	14	2	2	0	50%	0.9	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	2.45	3.70	—
2024	26	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	2	4	14	2	2	0	50%	0.9	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	2.45	3.70	—
2024	26	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	4	2	4	14	2	2	0	50%	0.9	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	2.45	3.65	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	26	106	29	8	2	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.5%	8.8%	2.8%	5.19	4.36	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	26	106	29	8	2	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.5%	8.8%	2.8%	5.19	4.36	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	26	106	29	8	2	0%	1.0	27.4%	7.5%	19.8%	1.9%	5.19	2.79	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	38	3	57	235	58	24	3	8%	1.5	20.1%	10.3%	9.8%	1.4%	2.84	3.50	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	38	3	57	235	58	24	3	8%	1.5	20.1%	10.3%	9.8%	1.4%	2.84	3.50	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	DET	24	2	34	139	45	13	1	8%	1.4	32.4%	9.4%	23.0%	0.7%	1.31	1.95	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	DET	14	1	23	96	13	11	2	7%	1.6	13.5%	11.5%	2.1%	2.1%	5.16	4.55	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	DET	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.2%	11.1%	3.1%	4.64	4.70	-0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	DET	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	10.2%	11.1%	3.1%	4.64	4.70	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	10.2%	11.1%	3.1%	4.64	4.31	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.2%	11.1%	3.1%	4.64	4.31	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		91	5	122	495	110	46	7	5%	1.3	22.1%	9.4%	12.7%	1.5%	3.18	3.24	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	8	200	814	180	76	12	5%	1.3	22.1%	9.4%	12.7%	1.5%	3.18	3.24	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luke Taggart (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.59	21.3%	10.0%	3.0%	—	4.70	21.2%	11.1%	20	+0.11	—	—	—
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	84
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	84
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	83
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	83
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	83
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	82
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	81
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	81
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	80
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	80
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	80
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	80
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	80
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	79
Brad Deppermann R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	22.7%	9.4%	3.4%	.417	2.87	19.5%	13.2%	71	-1.38	1.94	143	79
Michael Mariot R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	22.6%	9.0%	2.1%	.327	4.79	20.9%	11.8%	74	+1.28	2.40	676	79
Al Alburquerque R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	29	SU	3.54	21.4%	11.1%	1.5%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.31	2.84	228	78
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	78
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	78
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	78