Liam Hicks

C Tampa Bay Rays

Age 28 L/R 5'9" / 185 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	25	AADET	494	.264/.385/.357	6	3	84	—	.242/.331/.317
2025	26	MLBMIA	390	.247/.349/.346	6	2	106	2.0
2026	27	MLBTB	554	.284/.372/.434	18	3	125	4.1
2027PROJ	28	MLBTB	520	.259/.346/.397	14	4	112	2.7
2028PROJ	29	MLBTB	520	.256/.343/.390	14	2	109	2.3
2029PROJ	30	MLBTB	520	.253/.339/.381	13	0	106	2.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 6.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 7.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$4M2030Arb-2$6M2031Arb-3$6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

xwOBA58

Bat Spd18

Barrel%14

Speed13

Form.253/.330/.378 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .257/.341/.397

CompsJ.P. Crawford (age 29) · Adam Frazier (age 29) · Steve Clevenger (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 92112vR 119

AVG/OBP/SLG.259 / .346 / .397

PA520

HR14

K%12

BB%10

BABIP270

ISO139

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$62M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

902.0%

xAVG

530.254

POWER40

Barrel%

143.6

Avg EV

1084.6

Bat Spd

1867.9

EYE60

Chase%

908.3%

SPEED40

Sprint

1325.7

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%13%▼13% over 85 PA (60d) · proj 12%

BB%9%▼7% over 85 PA (60d) · proj 10%

ISO.125▼.091 over 77 AB (60d) · proj .141

HR/BB2.9%▼1.5% over 67 BBE (60d) · proj 3.7%

BABIP.271·.318 over 66 BIP (60d) · proj .267

SLASH.253/.330/.378▼proj .257/.341/.397

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 463 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

397

—

wRC+

117

▶▶R

wOBA

275

342

▶▶R

ISO

039

142

▶▶R

BABIP

238

289

▶▶R

15.2%

13.1%

▶R

BB%

12.1%

9.8%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.9	$26M	+$25M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$17M	+$16M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$14M	+$11M
2030	Arb-2	$6M	+1.6	$10M	+$6M
2031	Arb-3	$6M	+1.1	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$17M		$73M	+$61M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	32	24	3	0	0	0	7	4	1	0	0	125	344	125	469		150	12	22	260	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	22	16	3	0	0	0	3	5	2	0	0	188	381	188	568		250	23	14	285	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	120	88	24	6	0	2	26	11	2	5	1	273	448	409	857	136	278	9	22	383	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	57	46	22	3	1	1	7	6	3	0	0	478	571	652	1.224	174	525	11	12	527	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	316	253	68	14	1	3	49	52	12	4	0	269	411	368	778	99	325	16	16	361	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	56	45	14	1	0	1	10	11	1	3	0	311	446	400	846	89	394	20	18	392	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	85	69	31	5	0	0	16	8	0	2	0	449	553	522	1.075	72	508	9	19	484	213	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	406	107	20	0	6	64	58	16	3	1	264	385	357	742	94	289	12	13	340	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	390	332	82	13	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	247	349	346	695	99	278	14	11	317	106	+3	+0	+1	+7	+8	2.0
2026	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	554	479	136	16	1	18	56	55	11	3	0	284	372	434	806	150	286	10	10	358	125	+17	+1	+1	+10	+12	4.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	944	811	218	29	2	24	99	111	20	5	0	269	362	398	761	129	283	12	10	341	117	+19	+1	+2	+17	+20	6.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	32	27	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	111	250	111	361		121	19	12	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	22	17	3	0	0	0	2	7	2	0	0	176	333	176	510		211	32	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	120	97	23	5	0	2	17	15	2	5	1	237	362	351	713	113	243	12	14	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	57	49	18	2	1	1	4	9	3	0	0	367	446	510	957	143	397	16	7	392	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	316	267	63	14	1	3	35	63	12	4	0	236	350	330	680	94	289	20	11	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	56	49	12	1	0	1	6	15	1	3	0	245	339	327	666	82	324	27	11	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	429	104	17	0	5	41	70	16	3	1	242	331	317	648	75	266	14	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	390	332	84	14	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	253	354	355	710	102	278	14	11	325	106	+3	+0	+1	+7	+8	2.0
2026	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	554	482	135	16	1	19	53	55	11	3	0	280	364	436	800	156	286	10	10	353	125	+17	+1	+1	+10	+12	4.1
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	32	27	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	111	250	111	361		143	19	12	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	32	24	3	0	0	0	7	4	1	0	0	125	344	125	469		150	12	22	260	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	199	163	44	7	1	3	23	30	7	5	1	270	383	380	764	110	301	15	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	3 teams	—	199	150	49	9	1	3	36	22	7	5	1	327	477	460	937	133	351	11	18	413	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	457	392	91	18	1	4	50	95	13	9	0	232	338	314	652	82	295	21	11	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	457	367	113	20	1	4	75	71	13	9	0	308	442	401	842	93	371	16	16	388	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	429	104	17	0	5	41	70	16	3	1	242	331	317	648	75	273	14	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	406	107	20	0	6	64	58	16	3	1	264	385	357	742	94	289	12	13	340	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	390	332	84	14	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	253	354	355	710	102	286	14	11	325	106	+3	+0	+1	+7	+8	2.0
2025	26	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	390	332	82	13	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	247	349	346	695	99	278	14	11	317	106	+3	+0	+1	+7	+8	2.0
2026	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	554	482	135	16	1	19	53	55	11	3	0	280	364	436	800	156	280	10	10	353	125	+17	+1	+1	+10	+12	4.1
2026	27	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	—	554	479	136	16	1	18	56	55	11	3	0	284	372	434	806	150	286	10	10	358	125	+17	+1	+1	+10	+12	4.1
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	32	27	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	111	250	111	361		121	19	12	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	199	167	44	7	1	3	23	30	7	5	1	263	383	371	755	108	284	15	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	457	391	91	18	1	4	50	95	13	9	0	233	338	315	653	82	294	21	11	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	434	104	17	0	5	41	70	16	3	1	240	331	313	645	74	266	14	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	390	335	84	14	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	251	354	352	706	101	278	14	11	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	554	485	135	16	1	19	53	55	11	3	0	278	364	433	797	155	286	10	10	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	434	104	17	0	5	41	70	16	3	1	240	331	313	645	74	266	14	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	390	335	84	14	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	251	354	352	706	101	278	14	11	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	554	485	135	16	1	19	53	55	11	3	0	278	364	433	797	155	286	10	10	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	TB	100%	496	436	112	17	1	14	48	59	9	3	1	257	344	398	742	141	267	12	10	333	112	+7	+0	-2	+9	+11	2.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	TB	100%	520	454	118	17	2	14	51	62	10	4	1	259	346	397	743	138	270	12	10	334	112	+7	+0	-2	+9	+11	2.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	TB	100%	520	455	115	17	1	14	50	63	10	2	1	254	341	391	732	137	266	12	10	329	109	+6	+0	-3	+9	+11	2.3
2029	30	MLB MLE	TB	100%	520	456	115	17	1	14	50	65	9	0	1	251	337	382	720	131	264	12	10	324	106	+4	-0	-4	+9	+11	2.0
2030	31	MLB MLE	TB	100%	496	437	106	15	1	12	47	64	9	0	0	246	332	371	703	125	261	13	9	318	101	+1	+0	-5	+9	+11	1.6
2031	32	MLB MLE	TB	100%	462	408	97	13	1	11	43	62	8	0	0	239	325	356	680	116	256	13	9	309	95	-3	+0	-5	+8	+10	1.1
2032	33	MLB MLE	TB	100%	420	371	85	11	0	9	39	58	7	0	0	231	316	338	653	106	250	14	9	298	88	-6	+0	-6	+8	+9	0.5
2033	34	MLB MLE	TB	96%	366	324	72	9	0	7	33	54	6	0	0	222	305	317	622	95	243	15	9	285	79	-9	+0	-6	+7	+8	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	TB	100%	520	455	117	17	1	14	50	63	10	2	1	256	343	390	733	134	269	12	10	330	109	+6	+0	-3	+9	+11	2.3
2029	30	MLB CTX	TB	100%	520	456	115	16	1	13	50	65	9	0	1	253	339	381	721	128	267	12	10	325	106	+4	-0	-4	+9	+11	2.0
2030	31	MLB CTX	TB	100%	496	437	108	15	1	12	47	64	9	0	0	248	334	370	704	122	264	13	9	318	101	+1	+0	-5	+9	+11	1.6
2031	32	MLB CTX	TB	100%	462	408	99	13	1	11	43	62	8	0	0	241	327	355	682	114	259	13	9	310	95	-3	+0	-5	+8	+10	1.1
2032	33	MLB CTX	TB	100%	420	371	86	11	0	9	39	58	7	0	0	234	318	337	655	104	253	14	9	299	88	-6	+0	-6	+8	+9	0.5
2033	34	MLB CTX	TB	96%	350	309	69	8	0	7	32	51	6	0	0	224	307	317	624	93	246	15	9	286	79	-9	+0	-6	+6	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3712	3247	812	109	6	90	360	474	69	7	2	250	338	370	708	120	267	13	10	320	100	+11	+1	-27	+66	+80	13.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	142	19	1	16	63	83	12	1	0	250	337	371	708	121	266	13	10	320	100	+2	+0	-5	+12	+14	2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5430	4730	1168	171	9	119	527	740	116	28	5	247	337	362	699	115	268	14	10	317	100	+18	+1	-29	+76	+92	16.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	139	20	1	14	63	89	14	3	1	246	336	359	695	113	267	14	10	317	100	+3	+0	-4	+12	+14	2.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Varitek'97-'11 * career totals — 14 seasons, 5,839 PA	8.8	5,839	193	25	246*	331*	425*	+102	+0	28.9	25.6
/162	664	22	3	+11.6	+0.0	3.3	pk7: 22
#2Carlos Ruizlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,069 PA	6.1	4,069	71	25	264	350	391	+73	+6	25.2	24.6
/162	664	12	4	+11.9	+1.0	4.1	pk7: 24
#3Mike Scioscia'80-'92 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,056 PA	7.6	5,056	68	29	256*	344*	384*	+90	+0	27.3	24.5
/162	664	9	4	+11.9	+0.0	3.6	pk7: 22
#4Terry Steinbach'86-'99 * career totals — 13 seasons, 5,896 PA	8.9	5,896	162	23	263*	318*	425*	+83	-4	28.7	24.3
/162	664	18	3	+9.3	-0.4	3.2	pk7: 20
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.4	4,232	106	11	250	334	376	+76	+6	20.5	19.7
/162	664	17	2	+11.9	+1.0	3.2	pk7: 19
#5Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
/162	664	24	1	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#6Omar Narváezlast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,298 PA	3.5	2,298	53	0	251	334	374	+41	+15	12.6	12.9
/162	664	15	0	+11.9	+4.3	3.6	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Liam Hicks (OGILVIE)	28	55	40	40	60	255/341/394	140	267	15	4	12%	10%	112	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●J.P. Crawford 2024 · MLB	29	54→57	46→45	42→50	60	261/356/399	138	300	13	3	17%	12%	117	+2.6	242/338/373	131	289	14	6	20%	12%	105	+1.7	233/331/352	119	279	14	5	20%	12%	98	+1.1
●Adam Frazier 2021 · MLB	29	52→62	47→50	39→50	50	257/315/401	144	279	14	5	14%	7%	102	+1.5	266/326/378	112	296	8	10	13%	7%	101	+1.4	262/323/369	107	291	7	11	12%	7%	98	+1.1
✕Steve Clevenger 2014 · MLB	28	52→59	44→45	44→45	51	255/309/378	123	287	11	4	16%	8%	94	+0.9	256/306/353	97	298	7	3	16%	7%	87	+0.4	268/312/351	84	311	5	1	15%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Brian Schneider 2005 · MLB	28	49→53	48→50	38→30	50	243/298/392	149	267	15	2	16%	7%	94	+0.9	248/304/365	117	273	11	3	14%	7%	90	+0.6	244/305/344	100	269	9	1	13%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Jason Phillips 2005 · MLB	28	51→60	45	38→30	54	249/320/376	127	261	13	2	11%	8%	99	+1.2	233/285/349	116	253	12	3	13%	6%	79	-0.2	225/268/321	95	253	9	1	15%	4%	64	-0.5
✕Tucker Barnhart 2020 · MLB	29	48→53	46→45	41→40	53	239/314/370	132	281	14	3	20%	10%	95	+0.9	234/307/358	124	296	13	3	24%	9%	90	+0.6	230/300/327	97	301	9	0	25%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Edwards Guzman 2006 · MLB	29	57→62	48→45	41→40	49	284/322/425	141	285	16	7	8%	5%	110	+2.1	281/327/392	111	288	12	5	7%	6%	104	+1.6	285/335/378	93	292	10	2	6%	7%	103	+0.9
●Jonah Bride 2024 · MLB	28	48→50	46→50	45	56	238/332/372	134	277	13	6	19%	10%	103	+1.5	239/330/370	131	289	14	5	21%	11%	101	+1.4	236/330/355	119	287	13	4	21%	11%	97	+0.9
✕Dustin Ackley 2016 · MLB	28	49→57	50	46→50	49	248/302/405	157	274	17	7	17%	7%	98	+1.2	223/284/339	116	256	11	6	17%	8%	76	-0.4	216/278/301	85	254	6	3	17%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Terrence Long 2003 · MLB	27	52→58	47→50	43→45	50	260/308/404	145	284	14	6	15%	7%	100	+1.3	258/303/390	132	286	12	6	14%	6%	95	+0.9	265/307/385	119	293	10	5	13%	5%	96	+0.7
●Jake Cronenworth 2022 · MLB	28	54→60	52→55	48→50	52	269/336/450	182	293	17	7	15%	8%	121	+2.9	244/324/403	159	280	15	5	18%	9%	106	+1.8	238/333/381	143	281	13	5	19%	10%	105	+1.6
●Brendan Donovan 2024 · MLB	27	56→59	45→50	46→50	55	273/358/397	124	309	13	8	16%	10%	118	+2.6	273/341/410	137	301	14	5	14%	8%	114	+2.4	272/340/407	135	299	13	4	13%	7%	114	+1.8
●Josh Bard 2006 · MLB	28	47→57	46→50	44→30	53	234/298/365	130	253	14	5	14%	8%	87	+0.4	273/343/413	140	305	13	3	14%	10%	115	+2.4	272/343/398	126	306	10	1	14%	9%	112	+1.2
●J.J. Hardy 2011 · MLB	28	51→55	48→55	43→30	51	252/310/396	144	279	15	3	16%	8%	99	+1.3	249/292/411	162	265	20	2	15%	6%	96	+1.0	247/286/410	164	256	22	1	14%	5%	95	+1.0
●Geoff Blum 2001 · MLB	28	53→57	50	38→45	49	267/320/428	162	294	18	5	16%	7%	110	+2.1	254/315/388	134	289	14	6	16%	7%	99	+1.3	252/312/377	125	283	13	5	15%	7%	96	+0.8
●Paul Lo Duca 2001 · MLB	29	48→58	49→50	40	54	241/307/388	147	256	17	8	14%	8%	97	+1.1	284/338/446	162	281	18	4	7%	6%	121	+2.9	282/336/423	141	284	14	2	6%	6%	116	+2.4
●Saul Soto 2007 · AAA	28	52→60	49→55	38→45	48	262/314/409	147	290	16	4	16%	6%	103	+1.6	261/313/426	165	291	20	4	18%	6%	107	+1.9	270/323/439	169	299	21	2	17%	7%	112	+1.5
✕Brayan Peña 2010 · MLB	28	53→59	48→50	44→45	48	264/306/406	142	275	15	8	11%	5%	100	+1.3	246/292/360	114	269	10	6	13%	6%	84	+0.1	267/309/349	81	293	5	2	10%	5%	87	+0.2
●Todd Walker 2002 · MLB	29	57→60	51→55	39→45	55	285/345/450	166	303	17	5	13%	8%	124	+3.1	283/336/431	148	304	14	4	11%	7%	117	+2.6	280/335/427	148	297	13	3	11%	7%	116	+2.4
✕John Baker 2009 · MLB	28	54→59	45	45	49	261/329/388	127	327	12	5	23%	8%	104	+1.6	254/328/383	129	316	11	4	22%	9%	103	+1.5	231/302/321	90	294	8	1	23%	9%	79	-0.1

Liam Hicks

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps