Matt Koperniak

LF Memphis Redbirds

Age 29 L/R 6'0" / 208 lbs AAA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	27	AAASTL	536	.246/.320/.382	14	9	63	—	.215/.271/.320
2026	28	AAASTL	210	.253/.329/.339	3	4	58	—	.224/.280/.286
2027PROJ10% MLB	29	MLBSTL	22	.243/.296/.352	0	0	83	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	30	MLBSTL	72	.239/.293/.346	1	1	81	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

K%78

Max EV77

Whiff%68

Z-Con%60

Speed50

BB%42

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCarlos Sosa (age 29) · Taylor Kohlwey (age 29) · Carlos Moncrief (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .296 / .352

PA22

HR0

K%23

BB%5

BABIP302

ISO48

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	144	133	36	7	0	3	9	20	2	1	2	271	326	391	717	120	300	14	6	323	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	18	14	6	3	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	429	556	643	1.198	214	545	17	11	524	192	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	228	183	59	15	0	4	30	32	12	3	1	322	449	470	919	148	367	14	13	410	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	437	385	111	13	2	14	40	82	5	11	4	288	363	442	804	153	331	19	9	354	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	422	371	102	12	2	14	44	61	3	9	1	275	356	431	788	156	293	14	10	350	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	145	128	41	3	1	4	15	27	0	2	5	320	392	453	845	133	374	19	10	373	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	513	463	143	28	3	20	43	96	4	5	6	309	373	512	884	203	351	19	8	387	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	49	43	9	0	1	0	5	14	1	4	0	209	306	256	562	47	310	29	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	536	479	118	19	2	14	48	103	4	9	3	246	320	382	702	136	283	19	9	314	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	210	186	47	5	1	3	20	36	1	4	2	253	329	339	667	86	293	17	10	302	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	144	136	34	6	0	2	6	25	2	1	2	250	292	338	630	88	291	17	4	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	18	15	6	3	0	0	1	4	2	0	0	400	500	600	1.100	200	490	22	6	452	192	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	228	194	54	13	0	4	19	42	12	3	1	278	378	407	785	129	318	18	8	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	437	398	104	12	2	11	27	98	5	11	4	261	316	384	701	123	312	22	6	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	422	384	95	11	2	11	31	74	3	9	1	247	309	372	681	125	273	18	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	145	133	39	3	1	3	10	33	0	2	5	293	343	398	741	105	351	23	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	513	476	131	26	3	14	30	121	4	5	6	275	324	431	754	155	336	24	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	536	493	106	15	2	11	34	130	4	9	3	215	271	320	592	105	262	24	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	210	192	43	4	1	2	14	43	1	4	2	224	280	286	567	62	268	20	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	390	345	93	21	0	6	26	71	16	4	3	270	349	383	731	113	321	18	7	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	3 teams	—	390	330	101	25	0	7	41	55	16	4	3	306	408	445	854	139	347	14	11	383	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	437	398	104	12	2	11	27	98	5	11	4	261	316	384	701	123	317	22	6	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	437	385	111	13	2	14	40	82	5	11	4	288	363	442	804	153	331	19	9	354	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	567	516	134	14	3	14	42	107	3	11	6	260	319	380	699	120	299	19	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	567	499	143	15	3	18	59	88	3	11	6	287	365	437	802	150	313	16	10	356	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	562	521	143	28	3	15	33	133	5	9	6	274	324	426	750	152	340	24	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	562	506	152	28	4	20	48	110	5	9	6	300	367	490	857	190	348	20	9	377	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	536	493	106	15	2	11	34	130	4	9	3	215	271	320	592	105	266	24	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	536	479	118	19	2	14	48	103	4	9	3	246	320	382	702	136	283	19	9	314	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	210	192	43	4	1	2	14	43	1	4	2	224	280	286	567	62	273	20	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	210	186	47	5	1	3	20	36	1	4	2	253	329	339	667	86	293	17	10	302	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	390	345	93	21	0	6	26	71	16	4	3	270	349	383	731	113	316	18	7	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	437	402	104	12	2	11	27	98	5	11	4	259	316	381	697	122	312	22	6	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	567	517	134	14	3	14	42	107	3	11	6	259	319	379	698	120	293	19	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	562	519	143	28	3	15	33	133	5	9	6	276	324	428	752	152	336	24	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	536	493	106	15	2	11	34	130	4	9	3	215	271	320	592	105	262	24	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	210	193	43	4	1	2	14	43	1	4	2	223	280	285	565	62	268	20	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	562	519	143	28	3	15	33	133	5	9	6	276	324	428	752	152	336	24	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	536	493	106	15	2	11	34	130	4	9	3	215	271	320	592	105	262	24	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	210	193	43	4	1	2	14	43	1	4	2	223	280	285	565	62	268	20	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	STL	10%	260	239	58	9	1	5	17	60	2	4	2	242	296	354	650	112	300	23	7	291	83	-5	+0	+0	-3	+6	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	STL	10%	22	21	5	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	243	296	352	648	109	302	23	5	290	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	STL	27%	262	241	57	9	1	5	17	61	2	3	1	239	293	349	642	109	297	23	6	288	81	-6	+0	-2	-3	+6	-0.5
2028	30	MLB CTX	STL	27%	72	67	16	3	0	1	5	17	0	1	0	239	293	346	639	107	299	24	7	287	81	-2	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	72	67	16	3	0	1	5	17	0	1	0	239	292	328	620	90	306	24	7	287	87	-2	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	144	27	0	9	45	153	0	9	0	238	291	327	618	89	305	24	7	287	87	-15	+2	-5	-7	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3185	2910	729	111	13	68	207	694	37	54	26	251	308	368	676	117	304	22	6	297	87	-10	+0	-2	-5	+10	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	150	23	3	14	42	142	8	11	5	253	311	372	683	120	307	22	6	297	87	-14	+1	-3	-7	+14	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Koperniak (OGILVIE)	29	50	45	50	45	240/294/351	111	300	4	3	23%	6%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Sosa 2011 · AA	29	46→51	44→45	47→40	44	228/283/343	116	298	11	7	27%	7%	76	-0.4	218/273/333	115	300	12	9	30%	7%	71	-0.8	232/278/322	89	310	10	9	27%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Taylor Kohlwey 2023 · AAA	29	51→57	41→45	48→50	48	244/309/345	101	307	8	10	22%	8%	87	+0.4	232/308/343	111	293	9	12	22%	9%	86	+0.3	238/325/354	116	293	9	15	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Carlos Moncrief 2017 · AAA	28	45→52	44→50	51→50	47	224/288/343	119	284	12	11	25%	8%	79	-0.2	220/277/325	105	299	9	10	28%	7%	71	-0.8	219/269/307	88	324	4	9	32%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Jon Weber 2007 · AAA	29	50→53	42→50	47→50	46	240/289/355	115	281	9	10	18%	6%	81	-0.1	239/291/372	133	288	12	10	21%	6%	86	+0.3	238/293/381	143	290	14	8	22%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Val Majewski 2010 · AAA	29	47→54	45	48→50	47	233/289/357	124	273	12	10	20%	6%	82	+0.0	223/278/343	120	274	12	9	23%	7%	75	-0.5	216/269/322	106	265	10	8	22%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Joey Rickard 2019 · MLB	28	48→58	45	50→55	46	237/295/361	124	286	12	11	21%	7%	86	+0.3	241/310/387	146	298	14	9	23%	8%	97	+1.1	243/316/395	152	303	14	6	23%	8%	100	+1.0
✕Nate Spears 2014 · AAA	29	42→52	43→45	50	48	206/277/314	108	263	10	10	25%	8%	68	-1.0	226/282/339	113	308	10	12	28%	7%	75	-0.5	245/281/350	105	348	7	13	30%	5%	76	-0.1
✕Rafael Alvarez 2007 · AAA	30	47	45	49→45	44	233/288/360	127	305	13	6	27%	7%	82	+0.0	233/305/339	106	325	9	9	28%	9%	84	+0.2	237/330/328	91	336	5	10	27%	12%	89	+0.2
✕BJ Boyd 2022 · AAA	29	49→57	48→45	55→50	42	245/292/384	139	301	16	13	24%	5%	90	+0.6	254/309/385	131	304	13	12	20%	6%	97	+1.1	279/339/410	130	324	10	10	16%	7%	110	+1.0
✕Travis Ishikawa 2012 · MLB	28	48→50	44→55	46→45	46	233/297/349	117	303	11	6	26%	8%	84	+0.1	234/300/370	136	306	13	4	26%	7%	90	+0.6	234/300/371	137	305	14	1	27%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Drew T. Anderson 2010 · AAA	29	52→58	44→50	47→50	41	252/293/380	127	322	9	10	24%	5%	88	+0.5	240/297/375	135	313	11	8	25%	7%	89	+0.5	236/301/382	146	314	10	3	26%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Rusney Castillo 2016 · MLB	29	51→57	44→45	49→50	45	251/293/363	113	295	12	16	19%	6%	85	+0.2	254/290/358	104	304	9	14	19%	4%	82	-0.0	255/286/366	111	292	12	12	17%	3%	79	-0.1
✕Leslie Anderson 2011 · AAA	29	51→55	43→45	45→30	42	251/287/359	109	288	11	6	17%	4%	82	-0.0	253/289/366	113	281	13	3	15%	4%	84	+0.2	253/292/363	111	278	13	1	14%	4%	83	+0.1
✕David Lough 2016 · MLB	30	49→59	44→50	46→50	44	240/283/354	114	281	11	13	19%	5%	79	-0.2	222/274/314	92	267	7	9	19%	6%	66	-1.1	220/279/294	74	257	2	6	14%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Sebastián Elizalde 2021 · AAA	29	48→54	43→45	47→45	47	235/289/346	112	270	10	13	18%	6%	80	-0.2	218/281/322	104	260	9	18	19%	8%	72	-0.7	178/245/234	56	208	3	29	15%	8%	34	-0.7
✕Ryan Lollis 2016 · AAA	29	53→60	40	47→45	47	251/297/345	93	287	7	9	15%	6%	82	-0.0	233/277/303	70	276	4	7	16%	5%	64	-1.3	224/267/274	50	266	2	5	16%	5%	52	-1.5
✕Dominic Smith 2024 · MLB	29	50→58	45→50	44→40	49	245/312/364	119	285	12	4	18%	7%	93	+0.8	242/306/371	129	289	14	5	21%	8%	93	+0.8	239/302/368	129	286	14	4	21%	7%	90	+0.3
✕Charles Thomas 2007 · MLB	28	46→49	42→45	46→50	46	227/290/323	97	279	10	13	22%	7%	75	-0.5	216/271/307	91	281	9	13	25%	6%	63	-1.3	193/240/253	60	258	5	14	26%	5%	37	-1.6
✕Brett Carroll 2012 · MLB	29	42→46	48→55	48→50	43	214/278/354	140	262	16	11	25%	6%	78	-0.3	205/269/338	133	269	16	10	29%	7%	72	-0.7	190/259/323	133	248	16	10	30%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Cory Aldridge 2008 · AAA	29	43→47	44→55	47→45	42	214/269/340	127	294	11	8	30%	7%	71	-0.8	229/281/383	154	301	17	5	29%	6%	86	+0.3	232/278/401	169	295	22	2	29%	6%	87	+0.2