Nick Krauth

P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	23	MIX2 levels	27	24	115	6.36	4.73	14.5%	8.3%	—	K 12.5% · BB 8.6% · FIP 4.85
2024	24	MIX2 levels	26	17	108	5.68	4.43	15.2%	11.0%	—	K 12.3% · BB 12.0% · FIP 4.50
2025	25	MIX2 levels	15	0	33	5.18	4.58	16.6%	7.6%	—	K 13.2% · BB 8.0% · FIP 5.20
2027PROJ	27	MLBTEX	4	4	26	5.04	5.04	15.8%	10.0%	-0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBTEX	2	2	10	5.02	5.05	16.4%	10.1%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsClay Condrey (age 27) · Justin Topa (age 27) · Zach Stewart (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%15.8%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%5.8%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	21	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	20	20	103	438	79	28	11	100%	5.1	13.3%	7.5%	5.8%	3.3%	4.30	4.73	—
2021	21	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	20	20	103	438	79	28	11	100%	5.1	18.0%	6.4%	11.6%	2.5%	4.30	3.77	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	23	17	89	375	70	29	10	74%	3.9	14.4%	8.9%	5.5%	3.0%	4.96	4.64	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	23	17	89	375	70	29	10	74%	3.9	18.7%	7.7%	10.9%	2.7%	4.96	3.97	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	24	115	517	75	43	16	89%	4.2	12.5%	8.6%	3.9%	3.1%	6.36	4.85	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	24	115	517	75	43	16	89%	4.2	14.5%	8.3%	6.2%	3.1%	6.36	4.73	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	17	108	500	76	55	10	65%	4.1	12.3%	12.0%	0.3%	1.7%	5.68	4.50	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	17	108	500	76	55	10	65%	4.1	12.3%	12.0%	0.3%	1.7%	5.68	4.50	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	17	108	500	76	55	10	65%	4.1	15.2%	11.0%	4.2%	2.0%	5.68	4.43	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	33	157	26	12	5	0%	2.2	13.2%	8.0%	5.1%	4.0%	5.18	5.20	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	33	157	26	12	5	0%	2.2	13.2%	8.0%	5.1%	4.0%	5.18	5.20	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	33	157	26	12	5	0%	2.2	16.6%	7.6%	8.9%	3.2%	5.18	4.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	TEX	4	4	26	110	17	11	3	100%	6.5	15.8%	10.0%	5.8%	3.0%	5.04	5.04	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	TEX	4	4	26	108	18	11	3	100%	6.4	16.4%	10.1%	6.3%	3.1%	5.02	5.05	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	TEX	2	2	10	42	7	4	1	100%	5.0	16.4%	10.1%	6.3%	3.1%	5.02	5.05	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	41	7	4	1	100%	4.8	16.4%	10.1%	6.3%	3.1%	5.02	4.67	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	146	83	21	100%	6.0	16.4%	10.1%	6.3%	3.1%	5.02	4.67	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		111	78	447	1987	259	184	56	70%	4.0	13.0%	9.2%	3.8%	2.8%	5.36	4.72	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	35	200	889	116	82	25	70%	4.0	13.0%	9.2%	3.8%	2.8%	5.36	4.72	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Krauth (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	15.8%	10.0%	3.0%	—	5.05	16.4%	6.3%	26	+0.01	—	—	—
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	87
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	284	82
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	80
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	79
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	79
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	76
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	76
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	76
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	75
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	75
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	74
Jon Leicester R 2007 · 4.44 FIP	28	SP-	4.44	11.0%	9.0%	2.1%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	74
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	74
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	73
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	73
Max Beatty R 2017 · 3.88 FIP	26	SP-	3.88	13.2%	6.4%	2.0%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	3.88	117	73
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.80	19.8%	8.3%	116	-2.26	3.68	138	72
Fredy Quintero R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	27	SP-	4.55	11.3%	8.9%	2.3%	.375	4.38	15.1%	7.3%	113	-0.17	4.29	241	72
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	72
Adam Panayotovich R 2017 · 5.45 FIP	25	SP-	5.45	9.6%	9.0%	3.7%	.375	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	121	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	16.1%	10.0%	1.16	5.03
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Jeff Manship ('16)	1.1	32	16.5%	9.3%	1.05	4.82
Vic Darensbourg ('05)	1.5	50	17.0%	9.3%	1.01	4.96
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*