Beau Brieske
P
Detroit Tigers
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2027
ERA4.35
FIP4.48
xFIP5.63
SIERA5.20
K%21.5%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%11.5%
IP48
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2027
STUF4545
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†5555
FB Velo
p6795.7
Whiff%
p2121.2%
K%
p1015.5%
xwOBA vs
p490.313
SI (17%)
CH (24%)
SL-0.6 (10%)
FB-4.2 (65%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 11 | 0 | 20 | 80 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 27.2% | 14.3% | 2.0% | 3.10 | 3.71 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 21 | 21 | 107 | 424 | 116 | 23 | 7 | 21.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 3.12 | 3.28 | +2.4 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 19 | 19 | 99 | 410 | 73 | 30 | 17 | 17.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.18 | 4.99 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 36 | 3 | 48 | 205 | 43 | 19 | 5 | 20.4% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 3.35 | 3.90 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 59 | 12 | 89 | 373 | 91 | 39 | 5 | 23.7% | 10.6% | 1.3% | 3.44 | 3.18 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 32 | 2 | 33 | 155 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 7.36 | 5.68 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | DET | 14 | — | 14 | 61 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 22.6% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | DET | 47 | — | 47 | 200 | 44 | 21 | 6 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | DET | 46 | — | 46 | 194 | 42 | 21 | 6 | 21.6% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.63 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | DET | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 39 | 20 | 6 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | DET | 43 | — | 43 | 180 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 20.4% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.85 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | DET | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 19.7% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.90 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | DET | 39 | — | 39 | 163 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 19.0% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 5.03 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | DET | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 28 | 18 | 5 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 5.17 | 5.27 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | DET | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 17.5% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 5.33 | 5.43 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 178 | 57 | 396 | 1647 | 338 | 140 | 47 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 3.84 | 4.01 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 29 | 200 | 831 | 171 | 71 | 24 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 3.84 | 4.01 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Beau Brieske (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 22.6% | 10.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.63 | 21.6% | 10.8% | 138 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.50 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | .367 | 3.92 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.58 | 2.26 | 279 | 78 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 77 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.76 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.34 | 2.42 | 125 | 77 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 77 |
| Austin Adams R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.51 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .331 | 3.28 | 21.1% | 15.0% | 56 | -0.23 | 3.28 | 162 | 76 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 76 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.39 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.7% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 166 | 75 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 75 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 75 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.30 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .271 | 2.97 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.54 | 521 | 74 |
| Zach McAllister R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.53 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.28 | 24.0% | 17.4% | 119 | +0.75 | 2.83 | 363 | 74 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.52 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .327 | 4.82 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.30 | 2.39 | 676 | 74 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 73 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 125 | 73 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 73 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .276 | 4.87 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 22 | +0.86 | 2.78 | 312 | 73 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 73 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 73 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 73 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.