Blake Robertson — OGILVIE

Blake Robertson1B Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 26 L/R 6'5" / 200 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .281 / .284

PA1

HR0

K%28

BB%9

BABIP273

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	71	56	11	4	0	1	13	22	2	3	0	196	366	321	688	125	303	31	18	327	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	365	316	88	13	3	9	43	95	6	1	1	278	375	424	799	146	373	26	12	361	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	68	61	8	2	1	0	5	28	2	1	0	131	221	197	417	66	242	41	7	201	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	84	70	21	4	0	3	11	21	1	5	0	300	402	486	888	186	375	25	13	386	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	335	277	56	12	0	4	53	86	4	2	0	202	338	289	627	87	277	26	16	298	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	71	60	9	3	0	1	9	30	2	3	0	150	282	250	532	100	270	42	13	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	365	335	73	10	2	7	24	131	6	1	1	218	282	322	605	104	330	36	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	68	63	5	1	1	0	3	38	2	1	0	79	147	127	274	48	200	56	4	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	84	74	17	3	0	3	7	29	1	5	0	230	305	392	697	162	302	35	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	335	298	49	9	0	4	32	110	4	2	0	164	254	235	489	70	239	33	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	71	60	9	3	0	1	9	30	2	3	0	150	282	250	532	100	276	42	13	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	71	56	11	4	0	1	13	22	2	3	0	196	366	321	688	125	303	31	18	327	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	365	335	73	10	2	7	24	131	6	1	1	218	282	322	605	104	335	36	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	365	316	88	13	3	9	43	95	6	1	1	278	375	424	799	146	373	26	12	361	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	152	137	22	4	1	3	10	67	3	6	0	161	233	270	503	109	275	44	7	221	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	152	131	29	6	1	3	16	49	3	6	0	221	320	351	671	130	321	32	11	303	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	335	298	49	9	0	4	32	110	4	2	0	164	254	235	489	70	243	33	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	335	277	56	12	0	4	53	86	4	2	0	202	338	289	627	87	277	26	16	298	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	71	60	9	3	0	1	9	30	2	3	0	150	282	250	532	100	270	42	13	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	365	332	73	10	2	7	24	131	6	1	1	220	282	325	607	105	330	36	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	152	138	22	4	1	3	10	67	3	6	0	159	233	268	501	109	256	44	7	221	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	335	296	49	9	0	4	32	110	4	2	0	166	254	236	491	71	239	33	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	152	138	22	4	1	3	10	67	3	6	0	159	233	268	501	109	256	44	7	221	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	335	296	49	9	0	4	32	110	4	2	0	166	254	236	491	71	239	33	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TB	0%	380	338	67	13	2	5	35	108	4	6	1	195	280	284	564	89	270	28	9	260	62	-17	+1	+0	-7	+8	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	TB	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	197	281	284	566	87	273	0	0	261	62	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TB	26%	150	133	26	5	1	2	14	43	2	2	1	197	280	287	568	91	270	29	9	262	63	-7	+0	+0	-3	+3	-0.6
2028	27	MLB CTX	TB	26%	39	35	6	1	0	0	4	11	0	1	0	199	282	288	570	89	273	28	10	262	63	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	39	35	6	1	0	0	4	11	0	1	0	171	256	200	456	29	250	28	10	262	52	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	100	17	0	0	67	183	0	17	0	172	257	201	458	29	250	28	10	262	52	-28	+3	+0	-12	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1217	1091	205	36	5	19	102	422	19	16	3	188	269	282	551	94	284	35	8	245	52	-13	+0	+0	-5	+6	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	109	19	3	10	54	225	10	9	2	187	267	281	549	94	282	35	8	245	52	-29	+0	+0	-12	+14	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Robertson (OGILVIE)	26	30	30	40	60	194/277/282	88	270	2	2	29%	9%	62	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Winaker 2022 · AA	26	44→39	38→45	45	47	206/296/287	81	283	5	6	27%	8%	70	-0.8	196/285/287	91	266	7	7	27%	8%	66	-1.1	139/244/213	74	186	6	4	27%	9%	35	-1.4
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	39→36	41→40	42→45	42	192/264/290	98	282	8	6	33%	8%	58	-1.7	196/260/297	101	290	9	6	33%	7%	58	-1.7	195/256/298	103	279	10	4	32%	7%	55	-1.5
✕Logan Wyatt 2023 · A	25	43→38	35→45	42→40	52	198/285/257	58	273	3	4	26%	10%	59	-1.7	206/274/326	120	277	14	4	29%	8%	70	-0.8	201/275/332	131	257	17	1	28%	9%	70	-0.7
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	39→32	39→40	43→50	39	188/247/271	83	296	7	8	37%	7%	47	-2.5	223/298/326	103	303	10	19	28%	9%	79	-0.2	241/324/345	105	302	11	25	23%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	40	42→40	48→50	45	193/287/295	103	289	10	10	34%	9%	70	-0.9	192/283/307	115	279	12	11	33%	10%	70	-0.8	124/235/230	107	167	13	9	33%	11%	35	-1.2
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	39→37	40→45	42→30	42	191/262/279	87	272	8	2	31%	7%	55	-1.9	188/243/293	105	275	10	4	34%	6%	51	-2.3	161/206/267	106	236	11	1	36%	4%	29	-2.8
✕Jeremy Vasquez 2022 · AA	26	43→47	43→45	40→30	48	210/277/320	111	270	10	4	25%	8%	70	-0.9	217/277/307	90	277	7	4	23%	7%	66	-1.1	218/276/284	66	273	4	0	20%	7%	58	-1.2
✕Bryce Windham 2023 · AA	26	43	40	46→50	53	207/283/297	90	247	8	6	19%	9%	67	-1.1	226/289/314	88	295	5	12	23%	8%	72	-0.7	238/297/322	84	318	3	15	24%	8%	74	-0.2
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/240/265	88	277	7	11	37%	6%	44	-2.8	185/267/299	114	279	11	21	35%	9%	61	-1.5	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Dylan Harris 2022 · A	25	42	39→45	45	47	199/286/282	83	297	7	10	33%	10%	65	-1.2	198/275/304	106	306	10	10	35%	9%	65	-1.2	160/243/274	114	247	11	9	38%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Drew Hedman 2012 · A	26	41	39→40	45	38	198/254/283	85	289	7	7	32%	6%	52	-2.2	196/264/311	115	285	11	10	33%	7%	63	-1.4	156/236/285	129	221	14	12	35%	8%	47	-1.3
✕Kacy Clemens 2019 · A	25	40→36	43→45	47→45	44	196/269/305	109	284	10	4	33%	9%	63	-1.3	177/247/270	93	282	9	6	37%	8%	47	-2.5	132/207/205	73	214	8	4	40%	8%	17	-3.4
✕Greg Creek 2009 · AA	26	46→48	40	39→40	45	223/280/325	102	285	6	4	24%	6%	72	-0.7	214/264/312	98	273	8	5	23%	6%	62	-1.4	196/238/273	77	246	7	3	22%	4%	42	-1.7
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA	26	40	41→45	49→50	41	192/266/289	97	311	9	8	39%	8%	59	-1.7	190/280/303	113	308	12	13	39%	10%	68	-1.0	175/274/295	120	276	14	14	38%	11%	61	-0.8
✕Brendon Sanger 2019 · AA	25	42	43→45	41→45	46	208/276/318	109	276	11	5	28%	8%	69	-0.9	191/261/300	109	279	12	7	34%	8%	60	-1.6	145/223/242	97	216	12	4	37%	7%	31	-2.5
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→39	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/296	112	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	201/262/336	135	294	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/259/326	130	285	15	24	35%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Grant Buckner 2014 · A	26	42→41	41→40	44→40	41	206/259/301	95	272	9	5	27%	6%	58	-1.7	218/265/327	109	269	10	6	22%	5%	66	-1.1	226/260/343	117	260	11	5	18%	3%	64	-0.6
✕Matt Paré 2016 · A	25	40	40	44→45	42	195/268/290	95	278	7	4	31%	7%	60	-1.6	202/272/322	120	272	13	5	30%	6%	69	-0.9	175/238/317	142	213	20	0	29%	4%	53	-0.6
✕D.J. Hicks 2016 · AA	26	43→46	43→45	40→30	45	213/275/324	110	288	10	3	29%	8%	70	-0.9	215/275/303	88	303	6	5	29%	7%	64	-1.3	213/273/286	73	303	4	2	29%	7%	57	-1.5