Joe La Sorsa P Worcester Red Sox
Age 28 LHP 6'5" / 224 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111120vR 129
ERA4.69
FIP4.88
K%15.4%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%5.3%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
K: -3.7 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-4KBB: +1.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+2BBCONTACT: +4.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+4CONTACTSTAM: +13.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +1.65 (100 IP)+1.6WAR
-0.1-0.2-0.32628
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†3030
SI (39%)
SL-1.6 (22%)
FB-1.7 (64%)
CH-2.4 (14%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202123MIX2 levels3167028669191019%2.318.2%7.7%10.5%4.5%3.605.02
202123MIX2 levels3167028669191019%2.324.1%6.6%17.5%3.5%3.603.80
202224MIX2 levels4017327787862%1.824.7%3.3%21.4%2.7%2.332.90
202224MIX2 levels4017327787862%1.831.4%2.9%28.5%2.2%2.332.12
202325MIX3 levels48369309572186%1.417.4%7.2%10.1%2.7%4.024.01+0.6
202325MIX3 levels48369309572186%1.418.4%6.8%11.7%2.6%4.023.86+0.7
202426MIX2 levels580742995514110%1.316.7%4.8%11.9%4.0%2.814.49+0.3
202426MIX2 levels580742995514110%1.318.4%4.7%13.7%3.7%2.814.12+0.6
202527MIX2 levels54055241462760%1.018.6%12.6%6.0%0.8%3.583.56+0.6
202527MIX2 levels54055241462760%1.019.1%11.2%7.9%2.5%3.584.31+0.2
▸ 2026 Season
202628MLBBoston Red Sox51459233491358%1.218.3%5.9%12.4%1.9%3.223.35+0.8
ROS28MLBPIT40042176271850%1.015.4%10.1%5.3%2.6%4.694.88-0.2
ROS28MLBPIT40042177271850%1.115.4%10.1%5.3%2.6%4.694.88-0.2
2026 TOT28MLBPIT10040976311018.6%7.5%11.1%2.3%3.833.99+1.7
2026 FULL28MLBPIT4217776311042.9%17.4%25.6%5.4%9.154.63-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBPIT57060252392670%1.015.6%10.2%5.4%2.8%4.854.99-0.3
202830MLBPIT53056237372570%1.115.5%10.5%5.1%3.0%5.005.14-0.4
202729MLBPIT54057241382570%1.115.6%10.2%5.4%2.8%4.854.99-0.3
202830MLBPIT50053224352370%1.115.5%10.5%5.1%3.0%5.005.14-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career191020989414581300%1.116.2%9.0%7.1%3.4%4.994.72+1.7
/ 200 IP183020085613978290%1.116.2%9.0%7.1%3.4%4.994.72+1.6
Career282144001645311112475%1.418.9%6.8%12.1%2.8%3.243.93+6.9
/ 200 IP141720082215656235%1.418.9%6.8%12.1%2.8%3.243.93+3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Joe La Sorsa (OGILVIE) 4.88 15.4%10.1%2.6% 5.06 15.6%5.2%116 +0.18
Lucas Luetge L 2026 · 4.89 FIP 28 SU 4.89 14.0%10.4%3.0%.299 4.27 20.9%10.7%87 -0.62 2.52 430 77
Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.04 FIP 28 SU 5.04 15.5%11.8%3.2%.324 4.73 19.8%6.5%53 -0.31 3.33 228 76
Ross Detwiler L 2027 · 5.34 FIP 29 SW 5.34 14.2%12.2%3.5%.356 5.01 14.1%5.9%242 -0.33 3.47 512 75
Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP 29 SU 4.06 18.8%11.2%2.1%.291 3.73 15.1%2.7%48 -0.33 3.73 108 73
Nick Ramirez L 2026 · 4.27 FIP 28 SU 4.27 14.3%11.9%1.6%.269 3.81 21.5%13.4%162 -0.46 2.93 478 72
Caleb Thielbar L 2026 · 4.22 FIP 28 SU 4.22 11.8%10.8%1.4%.253 2.74 19.0%16.6%57 -1.48 2.22 487 71
Aaron Fletcher L 2024 · 5.26 FIP 26 SU 5.26 11.3%11.5%3.0%.287 2.31 167 71
Bryan Harper L 2026 · 4.72 FIP 28 SU 4.72 14.9%13.9%2.1%.288 3.97 133 71
Wei-Chung Wang L 2025 · 4.76 FIP 27 SU 4.76 16.0%8.7%3.5%.272 3.34 387 70
Colton Johnson L 2025 · 4.49 FIP 27 SU 4.49 12.2%12.6%1.5%.291 4.04 106 70
Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.73 FIP 28 SU 4.73 13.8%8.0%3.2%.294 3.00 200 70
Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP 28 SU 3.93 19.1%9.7%2.2%.311 3.88 244 69
Adrian Gusman L 2025 · 4.32 FIP 27 SU 4.32 17.9%9.7%2.7%.273 2.91 141 69
Justin Wright L 2024 · 4.48 FIP 26 SU 4.48 14.7%13.7%1.6%.302 2.28 109 69
Dan Runzler L 2028 · 3.77 FIP 30 SU 3.77 19.0%13.1%1.1%.383 4.24 16.5%4.0%63 +0.47 3.77 127 69
Josh Osich L 2026 · 5.01 FIP 28 SU 5.01 21.4%12.9%3.8%.328 4.42 21.1%14.1%143 -0.59 3.47 315 69
Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP 28 SU 4.60 19.9%12.4%2.9%.317 2.44 171 69
Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP 28 SU 4.24 21.3%9.8%3.1%.308 5.05 13.8%-5.1%35 +0.81 3.43 134 69
Mason Melotakis L 2025 · 5.40 FIP 27 SU 5.40 12.0%11.4%3.4%.343 8.50 14.7%2.5%29 +3.10 3.12 142 69
Ozzie Mendez L 2026 · 3.92 FIP 28 SU 3.92 12.7%6.8%1.9%.318 5.61 10.8%2.1%77 +1.69 3.86 161 69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35315.5%10.3%1.094.86
Vance Worley ('17)37715.4%8.5%1.024.73
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Josh Winckowski ('24)37718.3%8.2%1.134.21
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82