Joe La Sorsa — OGILVIE

Joe La Sorsa P Worcester Red Sox

Age 28 LHP 6'5" / 224 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 125

ERA4.66

FIP4.82

K%14.8%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%5.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†3030

SI (39%)

SL-1.6 (22%)

FB-1.7 (64%)

CH-2.4 (14%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	6	70	286	69	19	10	19%	2.3	18.2%	7.7%	10.5%	4.5%	3.60	4.99	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	6	70	286	69	19	10	19%	2.3	24.1%	6.6%	17.5%	3.5%	3.60	3.80	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	73	277	87	8	6	2%	1.8	24.7%	3.3%	21.4%	2.7%	2.33	2.89	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	1	73	277	87	8	6	2%	1.8	31.4%	2.9%	28.5%	2.2%	2.33	2.12	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	3	69	309	57	21	8	6%	1.4	16.9%	6.6%	10.3%	2.8%	4.02	4.02	+0.4
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	3	69	309	57	21	8	6%	1.4	16.9%	6.6%	10.3%	2.8%	4.02	4.02	+0.4
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	48	3	69	309	57	21	8	6%	1.4	18.4%	6.8%	11.7%	2.6%	4.02	3.86	+0.6
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	74	299	55	14	11	0%	1.3	16.1%	4.3%	11.7%	3.9%	2.81	4.46	+0.1
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	74	299	55	14	11	0%	1.3	16.1%	4.3%	11.7%	3.9%	2.81	4.46	+0.1
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	74	299	55	14	11	0%	1.3	18.4%	4.7%	13.7%	3.7%	2.81	4.12	+0.4
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	55	241	46	27	6	0%	1.0	17.6%	10.8%	6.7%	0.9%	3.58	3.49	+0.7
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	55	241	46	27	6	0%	1.0	17.6%	10.8%	6.7%	0.9%	3.58	3.49	+0.7
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	55	241	46	27	6	0%	1.0	19.1%	11.2%	7.9%	2.5%	3.58	4.31	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			47	0	57	254	45	15	12	0%	1.2	17.7%	5.9%	11.8%	4.7%	5.34	5.04	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	29	2	33	129	27	7	3	7%	1.1	17.0%	5.0%	12.0%	1.7%	3.03	3.24	—
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	29	2	33	129	27	7	3	7%	1.1	17.0%	5.0%	12.0%	1.7%	3.03	3.24	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	BOS	28	2	32	127	26	7	2	7%	1.2	20.5%	5.5%	15.0%	1.6%	2.78	2.93	—
2026	28	MLB RAW	BOS	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0%	0.3	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	50.0%	27.00	26.32	—
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	BOS	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0%	0.3	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	50.0%	27.00	26.32	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	BOS	5	0	5	22	3	2	1	0%	1.1	14.8%	9.1%	5.7%	2.6%	4.66	4.82	-0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	BOS	5	0	5	21	3	2	1	0%	1.0	14.8%	9.1%	5.7%	2.6%	4.66	4.82	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	BOS	—	—	38	151	30	9	4	—	—	20.0%	6.0%	14.1%	2.4%	3.26	3.46	+0.5
FULL	28	MLB A+C	BOS	—	—	6	24	30	9	4	—	—	128.2%	38.2%	90.0%	15.2%	22.06	5.43	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	BOS	57	0	60	252	38	24	7	0%	1.0	15.1%	9.3%	5.8%	2.8%	4.80	4.93	-0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53	0	56	237	36	23	7	0%	1.1	15.0%	9.6%	5.4%	3.0%	4.95	5.09	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	BOS	54	0	57	241	36	22	7	0%	1.1	15.1%	9.3%	5.8%	2.8%	4.80	4.93	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	BOS	50	0	53	224	34	22	7	0%	1.1	15.0%	9.6%	5.4%	3.0%	4.95	5.09	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		157	0	173	741	118	61	26	0%	1.1	16.0%	8.2%	7.7%	3.5%	5.02	4.73	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		182	0	200	858	137	71	30	0%	1.1	16.0%	8.2%	7.7%	3.5%	5.02	4.73	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		260	12	374	1541	285	97	45	5%	1.4	18.5%	6.3%	12.2%	2.9%	3.22	3.94	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	6	200	823	152	52	24	5%	1.4	18.5%	6.3%	12.2%	2.9%	3.22	3.94	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joe La Sorsa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	14.8%	9.1%	2.6%	—	5.01	15.1%	5.6%	116	+0.19	—	—	—
Lucas Luetge L 2015 · 5.08 FIP	28	SU	5.08	14.0%	10.4%	3.4%	.299	4.12	20.9%	10.7%	87	-0.96	2.53	430	77
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	76
Christian Friedrich L 2015 · 3.67 FIP	28	SU	3.67	16.7%	8.5%	1.6%	.355	3.96	17.6%	8.8%	129	+0.29	3.67	188	76
Keith Hessler L 2017 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	15.5%	11.8%	3.5%	.324	4.96	19.8%	6.5%	53	-0.22	3.31	228	75
Jose Meraz L 2016 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	14.2%	6.8%	1.8%	.286	4.03	13.0%	1.5%	52	+0.25	3.78	110	75
James Russell L 2015 · 3.71 FIP	29	SU	3.71	13.5%	4.7%	2.1%	.331	4.20	14.1%	8.7%	111	+0.49	2.66	233	75
Ross Detwiler L 2015 · 5.50 FIP	29	SW	5.50	14.2%	12.2%	3.8%	.356	4.80	14.1%	5.9%	242	-0.70	3.49	512	73
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	72
Nick Ramirez L 2018 · 4.35 FIP	28	SU	4.35	14.3%	11.9%	1.7%	.269	3.81	21.5%	13.4%	162	-0.54	2.93	478	71
Caleb Thielbar L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	28	SU	4.15	11.8%	10.8%	1.2%	.253	2.68	19.0%	16.6%	57	-1.47	2.22	505	71
Aaron Fletcher L 2022 · 5.28 FIP	26	SU	5.28	11.3%	11.5%	3.0%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	167	70
Ozzie Mendez L 2016 · 4.04 FIP	28	SU	4.04	12.7%	6.8%	2.1%	.318	5.74	10.8%	2.1%	77	+1.70	3.95	161	70
Donnie Hart L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	28	SU	4.29	14.3%	6.7%	2.8%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	281	70
Wei-Chung Wang L 2019 · 4.93 FIP	27	SU	4.93	16.0%	8.7%	3.8%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	387	70
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	70
Adrian Gusman L 2019 · 4.31 FIP	27	SU	4.31	17.9%	9.7%	2.7%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	141	69
Josh Edgin L 2016 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	22.1%	13.2%	1.3%	.359	3.81	23.2%	13.6%	80	+0.17	3.63	113	69
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	69
Jordan Harrison L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	28	SU	3.80	19.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	244	69
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	15.0%	9.3%	1.09	4.80
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79