Misael Tamarez P El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 206 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 164154vR 145
ERA6.48
FIP6.48
K%14.8%
BB%15.4%
K-BB%-0.7%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
K: -6.6 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-7KBB: -9.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-10BBCONTACT: -7.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-8CONTACTSTAM: +14.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+15STAMTotal WAR: -0.98 (109 IP)-1.0WAR
-0.6-0.6-0.6-0.6262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL4040
CMD3030
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201919ROKGCL Astros144391794424129%2.816.7%16.8%-0.0%0.8%2.564.24
201919ROKGCL Astros144391794424129%2.824.6%13.4%11.2%0.6%2.563.02
202121MIX2 levels19137732510337768%4.023.8%13.3%10.5%2.1%3.763.94
202121MIX2 levels19137732510337768%4.031.7%11.4%20.3%2.2%3.763.05
202222MIX2 levels2823121503142702082%4.323.1%15.2%8.0%4.5%4.305.54
202222MIX2 levels2823121503142702082%4.328.2%13.9%14.3%4.0%4.304.63
202323AAASugar Land Space Cowboys2617101442100601865%3.919.9%14.3%5.7%5.7%5.086.33
202323AAASugar Land Space Cowboys2617101442100601865%3.922.6%13.6%9.0%4.1%5.085.22
202424AAASugar Land Space Cowboys31117132769441735%2.318.6%14.1%4.4%7.1%6.467.21
202424AAASugar Land Space Cowboys31117132769441735%2.321.1%13.5%7.6%5.2%6.466.13
202525MIX3 levels490733396636100%1.514.1%13.0%1.1%4.2%7.065.85
202525MIX3 levels490733396636100%1.519.5%10.6%8.8%2.9%7.064.56
▸ 2026 Season
202626AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas25039179302850%1.614.7%16.4%-1.7%3.1%6.415.62-0.5
ROS26MLBSD670702964446120%1.014.8%15.4%-0.7%4.2%6.486.48-1.4
ROS26MLBSD707304510%1.014.8%15.4%-0.7%4.2%6.486.48-0.2
2026 TOT26MLBSD10947574741715.5%15.5%-0.0%3.7%6.456.17-1.0
2026 FULL26MLBSD73045114.8%15.4%-0.7%4.2%6.486.10-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBSD660692914543120%1.015.6%14.9%0.7%4.1%6.296.30-1.3
202828MLBSD640672824541120%1.016.1%14.6%1.4%4.1%6.206.24-1.2
202929MLBSD610642704439110%1.016.2%14.6%1.6%4.2%6.206.27-1.2
202727MLBSD28029122191850%1.015.6%14.9%0.7%4.1%6.296.30-0.6
202828MLBSD40042177282670%1.116.1%14.6%1.4%4.1%6.206.24-0.8
202929MLBSD45047198322980%1.016.2%14.6%1.6%4.2%6.206.27-0.9
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career11901255278477220%1.015.9%14.7%1.2%4.2%6.245.90-0.7
/ 200 IP1900200844135123350%1.115.9%14.7%1.2%4.2%6.245.90-1.2
Career1926852122944473329935%2.719.5%14.5%5.0%4.3%5.085.65-1.5
/ 200 IP74262008811721283835%2.719.5%14.5%5.0%4.3%5.085.65-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Misael Tamarez (OGILVIE) 6.48 14.8%15.4%4.2% 6.27 15.9%1.2%200 -0.21
Vanny Valenzuela R 2027 · 6.66 FIP 27 SW 6.66 12.4%14.8%5.0%.314 4.38 15.8%4.6%70 -2.28 3.26 118 85
Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 6.73 FIP 26 SU 6.73 17.6%18.3%5.1%.329 3.81 106 81
Robbie Peto R 2025 · 5.71 FIP 25 SW 5.71 15.3%13.4%4.0%.325 5.38 232 80
Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP 25 SU 5.44 16.7%12.7%3.9%.268 3.10 141 80
Jesús Reyes R 2026 · 5.80 FIP 26 SU 5.80 15.9%15.7%3.7%.283 5.04 17.5%5.6%118 -0.76 3.79 554 80
Clate Schmidt R 2025 · 5.61 FIP 25 SU 5.61 13.5%13.9%3.4%.290 3.58 160 80
Fernando Cruz R 2025 · 5.41 FIP 25 SU 5.41 15.6%12.2%3.8%.284 2.52 356 78
Ricky Salinas R 2026 · 5.81 FIP 26 SU 5.81 14.3%15.1%3.6%.286 4.87 274 78
Julian Arballo R 2027 · 5.47 FIP 27 SU 5.47 15.1%13.8%3.5%.335 4.38 12.6%0.6%116 -1.09 4.28 214 77
Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP 25 SW 5.76 16.2%11.8%4.6%.268 4.23 105 77
Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.36 FIP 27 SP- 5.36 14.3%14.1%3.1%.310 4.76 16.9%7.3%200 -0.60 4.76 247 77
Blake Hickman R 2024 · 6.54 FIP 24 SW 6.54 12.9%17.8%4.1%.312 4.45 156 76
Alex Caldera R 2029 · 5.56 FIP 29 SW 5.56 10.4%13.1%3.1%.333 4.61 11.9%0.8%84 -0.95 4.61 120 76
Levi Stoudt R 2026 · 6.56 FIP 26 SW 6.56 16.4%12.2%6.0%.275 5.47 13.5%0.3%25 -1.09 4.37 395 74
Braxton Hyde R 2024 · 5.67 FIP 24 SW 5.67 14.0%12.3%4.0%.345 3.90 198 74
Jeff Soptic R 2025 · 5.45 FIP 25 SU 5.45 13.6%15.3%2.8%.326 5.27 124 74
Roman Phansalkar R 2026 · 5.61 FIP 26 SU 5.61 15.8%13.2%4.0%.294 4.31 18.2%3.7%31 -1.30 4.31 164 74
Jaycob Deese R 2026 · 5.90 FIP 26 SU 5.90 13.4%13.9%4.0%.350 3.27 185 73
Ethan Bosacker R 2025 · 5.94 FIP 25 SW 5.94 15.2%14.0%4.3%.280 3.38 272 72
Tyler Wehrle R 2024 · 5.47 FIP 24 SU 5.47 15.1%11.7%3.9%.303 4.00 141 72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION46715.6%14.9%1.616.30
Ross Detwiler ('22)55117.3%9.5%1.766.03
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Dylan Covey ('23)47315.4%9.9%1.536.14
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Edwin Jackson ('19)57517.0%9.7%1.755.37