Zach McCambley — OGILVIE

Zach McCambley P Louisville Bats

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION71 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10596vR 88

ERA3.76

FIP3.76

K%24.8%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%13.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 77 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF6050

CTRL—50

CMD4040

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	97	409	120	26	21	100%	4.8	23.1%	7.1%	16.0%	6.0%	4.36	5.35	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	20	97	409	120	26	21	100%	4.8	29.3%	6.4%	23.0%	5.1%	4.36	4.24	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	19	19	94	421	101	52	12	100%	4.9	19.4%	13.6%	5.8%	3.3%	5.65	4.97	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	19	19	94	421	101	52	12	100%	4.9	24.0%	12.4%	11.6%	2.9%	5.65	4.27	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	1	45	191	51	24	1	3%	1.5	21.0%	14.2%	6.7%	0.6%	3.22	3.49	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	1	45	191	51	24	1	3%	1.5	21.0%	14.2%	6.7%	0.6%	3.22	3.49	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	1	45	191	51	24	1	3%	1.5	26.7%	12.6%	14.1%	0.5%	3.22	2.72	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	18	0	23	98	28	18	2	0%	1.3	23.1%	20.2%	2.9%	2.3%	3.97	4.97	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	18	0	23	98	28	18	2	0%	1.3	23.1%	20.2%	2.9%	2.3%	3.97	4.97	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	18	0	23	98	28	18	2	0%	1.3	28.6%	18.4%	10.2%	2.0%	3.97	4.16	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	62	251	83	20	3	0%	1.3	27.2%	7.7%	19.5%	1.4%	2.90	2.55	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	62	251	83	20	3	0%	1.3	27.2%	7.7%	19.5%	1.4%	2.90	2.55	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	62	251	83	20	3	0%	1.3	33.1%	8.0%	25.1%	1.2%	2.90	2.02	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			8	0	9	43	9	5	0	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.6%	9.3%	0.0%	4.15	2.75	+0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	42	2	71	301	77	40	6	5%	1.7	21.9%	12.2%	9.7%	2.6%	2.92	4.20	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	42	2	71	301	77	40	6	5%	1.7	21.9%	12.2%	9.7%	2.6%	2.92	4.20	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	CIN	34	2	62	258	68	35	6	6%	1.8	26.4%	13.6%	12.8%	2.3%	2.74	3.87	—
2026	27	MLB RAW	CIN	8	0	9	43	9	5	0	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.6%	9.3%	0.0%	4.15	2.81	—
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	CIN	8	0	9	43	9	5	0	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.6%	9.3%	0.0%	4.15	2.81	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	CIN	6	0	6	27	7	3	1	0%	1.1	24.8%	11.0%	13.8%	2.5%	3.76	3.76	+0.1
ROS	27	MLB CTX	CIN	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	24.8%	11.0%	13.8%	2.5%	3.76	3.76	+0.1
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	CIN	—	—	77	328	84	43	7	—	—	25.5%	13.1%	12.4%	2.0%	2.98	4.17	+0.5
FULL	27	MLB A+C	CIN	—	—	15	63	84	43	7	—	—	132.3%	67.9%	64.3%	10.5%	15.41	6.32	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	65	0	68	287	70	31	7	0%	1.0	24.5%	11.0%	13.6%	2.4%	4.10	4.14	+0.3
2028	29	MLB MLE	CIN	62	0	65	274	66	30	7	0%	1.0	24.2%	11.1%	13.1%	2.6%	4.21	4.28	+0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	62	0	65	274	67	30	7	0%	1.0	24.5%	11.0%	13.6%	2.4%	4.10	4.14	+0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	CIN	59	0	62	262	63	29	7	0%	1.1	24.2%	11.1%	13.1%	2.6%	4.21	4.28	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		134	0	141	602	145	67	14	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.1%	13.1%	2.3%	4.14	3.75	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	854	206	95	20	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.1%	13.1%	2.3%	4.14	3.75	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		176	42	391	1671	373	189	53	24%	2.2	22.3%	11.3%	11.0%	3.2%	4.02	4.39	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	21	200	854	191	97	27	24%	2.2	22.3%	11.3%	11.0%	3.2%	4.02	4.39	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach McCambley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.07	25.3%	10.9%	2.5%	—	4.21	24.4%	13.3%	133	+0.14	—	—	—
Seth Simmons R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	27	SU	3.07	23.8%	9.7%	1.4%	.277	4.87	16.6%	7.6%	175	+1.80	3.07	251	83
Blake Smith R 2015 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.59	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.42	3.17	124	82
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	82
Ryan Garton R 2017 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	25.2%	11.3%	2.3%	.252	4.15	23.5%	10.8%	108	+0.48	3.14	307	81
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.39	547	81
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	81
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	81
Blake Treinen R 2015 · 3.10 FIP	27	SU	3.10	23.2%	9.3%	1.4%	.314	2.62	26.4%	19.2%	223	-0.48	1.53	547	80
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	26.4%	14.3%	2.3%	.274	4.86	21.0%	9.6%	69	+0.93	3.84	181	80
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	80
Dalier Hinojosa R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	29	SU	3.41	20.4%	9.8%	1.4%	.283	4.30	18.7%	6.1%	24	+0.89	3.41	104	79
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	79
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	79
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	79
Jordan Milbrath R 2019 · 4.01 FIP	27	SU	4.01	21.5%	9.5%	2.8%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	386	79
Brad Brach R 2015 · 3.22 FIP	29	SU	3.22	27.5%	10.8%	1.9%	.259	3.13	25.6%	17.1%	210	-0.09	2.69	410	79
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	78
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	78
Kyle Schepel R 2017 · 3.54 FIP	26	SU	3.54	21.6%	11.6%	1.5%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.54	156	78
Joe Navilhon R 2019 · 3.23 FIP	26	SU	3.23	20.5%	7.7%	1.6%	.322	4.28	23.4%	16.7%	99	+1.05	2.25	273	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	24.7%	11.0%	0.97	4.13
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82