Sergio Umana prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Sergio Umana P Bradenton Marauders

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 175 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.48

FIP4.48

K%21.8%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%12.4%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 2	13	13	64	256	59	8	2	100%	4.9	15.7%	3.9%	11.8%	1.1%	2.39	2.87	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates 2	13	13	64	256	59	8	2	100%	4.9	23.0%	3.1%	19.9%	0.8%	2.39	2.04	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	44	207	28	6	9	0%	1.8	10.3%	3.0%	7.3%	2.6%	7.36	4.03	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	44	207	28	6	9	0%	1.8	13.5%	2.9%	10.6%	4.3%	7.36	4.90	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	2	40	167	34	8	4	10%	2.0	15.2%	4.4%	10.8%	2.9%	2.70	3.97	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	2	40	167	34	8	4	10%	2.0	20.4%	4.8%	15.6%	2.4%	2.70	3.30	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	20	99	11	9	3	0%	1.7	7.0%	9.8%	-2.8%	4.8%	6.30	6.38	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	20	99	11	9	3	0%	1.7	7.0%	9.8%	-2.8%	4.8%	6.30	6.38	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	20	99	11	9	3	0%	1.7	11.1%	9.1%	2.0%	3.0%	6.30	5.30	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.8%	9.3%	12.4%	3.0%	4.48	4.48	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PIT	19	0	20	84	18	8	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.4%	12.5%	3.1%	4.49	4.50	+0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	PIT	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	9.4%	12.5%	3.1%	4.49	4.50	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	9.4%	12.5%	3.1%	4.49	4.12	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	83	28	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.4%	12.5%	3.1%	4.49	4.12	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		70	15	168	729	94	33	18	21%	2.4	12.9%	4.6%	8.3%	2.4%	4.23	3.93	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	18	200	868	112	40	21	21%	2.4	12.9%	4.6%	8.3%	2.4%	4.23	3.93	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sergio Umana (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.48	21.8%	9.3%	3.0%	—	4.50	21.9%	12.5%	20	+0.02	—	—	—
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	78
Jon Rauch R 2005 · 3.78 FIP	26	SU	3.78	18.5%	7.3%	2.4%	.236	3.67	21.6%	15.8%	250	-0.11	2.87	595	76
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	76
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	75
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	75
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	75
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	75
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	75
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	75
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	75
Kyle Bischoff R 2023 · 5.26 FIP	24	SU	5.26	23.6%	11.8%	4.8%	.240	3.83	21.8%	8.7%	140	-1.43	3.21	162	74
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	74
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	74
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	74
Spencer Stockton R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	26	SU	4.18	20.2%	10.3%	2.7%	.276	5.45	18.9%	6.4%	63	+1.27	1.93	233	74
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	74
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	74
David Pauley R 2008 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	16.4%	7.5%	3.0%	.429	4.30	13.8%	7.3%	165	+0.00	3.51	210	74
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	73
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	73