Nolberto Henriquez prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Nolberto Henriquez P FCL Yankees

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 170 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.62

FIP4.62

K%21.7%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%11.2%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees	6	0	8	47	9	7	2	0%	1.4	19.1%	14.9%	4.3%	4.3%	5.40	5.71	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees	6	0	8	47	9	7	2	0%	1.4	19.1%	14.9%	4.3%	4.3%	5.40	6.58	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 1	14	8	56	243	57	26	6	57%	4.0	16.0%	13.4%	2.6%	2.8%	4.69	4.99	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees 1	14	8	56	243	57	26	6	57%	4.0	23.5%	10.7%	12.8%	2.5%	4.69	3.85	—
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	19	0	21	99	18	13	2	0%	1.1	12.4%	16.4%	-4.1%	2.7%	4.64	5.59	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	19	0	21	99	18	13	2	0%	1.1	18.2%	13.1%	5.1%	2.0%	4.64	4.46	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	31	139	21	15	4	0%	1.3	10.5%	13.0%	-2.5%	3.2%	6.75	5.61	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	31	139	21	15	4	0%	1.3	10.5%	13.0%	-2.5%	3.2%	6.75	5.61	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	31	139	21	15	4	0%	1.3	15.1%	10.8%	4.3%	2.9%	6.75	4.89	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	NYY	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.7%	10.5%	11.2%	3.0%	4.62	4.62	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	NYY	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	10.4%	11.5%	3.1%	4.61	4.63	-0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	NYY	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	10.4%	11.5%	3.1%	4.61	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	10.4%	11.5%	3.1%	4.61	4.25	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	83	28	0%	1.1	21.9%	10.4%	11.5%	3.1%	4.61	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		62	8	116	528	75	74	16	13%	1.9	14.1%	14.0%	0.1%	3.0%	5.28	5.33	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	14	200	910	129	127	27	13%	1.9	14.1%	14.0%	0.1%	3.0%	5.28	5.33	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nolberto Henriquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.62	21.7%	10.5%	3.0%	—	4.63	21.9%	11.5%	20	+0.01	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	85
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	84
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	84
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	83
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	83
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	82
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	82
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	82
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	82
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	81
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	80
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	80
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	79
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	79
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	22.5%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.86	4.73	183	79
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	79
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	79
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	79
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	79
Cale Coshow R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	26	SU	4.59	23.1%	10.9%	3.8%	.300	3.68	23.0%	12.8%	63	-0.91	3.08	377	79