Gustavo Rodriguez

P Las Vegas Aviators
Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 160 lbs AAA
Overview
AAAPROSPECT
ETA2028MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202423MIX2 levels220334.322.6522.9%9.2%—K 18.4% · BB 10.6% · FIP 2.89
202524MIX3 levels390441.642.9028.4%12.6%—K 22.6% · BB 13.8% · FIP 3.68
202625MIX2 levels191252.552.2924.0%9.6%—K 18.9% · BB 9.9% · FIP 2.76
2027PROJ26MLBOAK1014.434.4321.0%11.0%0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB27MLBOAK120134.444.4621.2%10.9%0.0
Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.8, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%
CompsGuillermo Moscoso (age 25) · Josh Zeid (age 26) · Daniel Corcino (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%21.0%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%10.0%
Proj IP14
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.02 (14 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02728
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
201817ROK MLEDSL Cardinals Red81125448012%1.55.0%18.5%-13.5%0.0%2.255.02—
201817ROK RAWDSL Cardinals Red81125448012%1.57.4%14.8%-7.4%0.0%2.254.43—
201918ROK MLEDSL Cardinals Blue12125723453111100%4.815.4%5.9%9.5%0.6%2.042.87—
201918ROK RAWDSL Cardinals Blue12125723453111100%4.822.6%4.7%17.9%0.4%2.042.05—
202120MIX MLE2 levels2111482335230452%2.315.6%16.3%-0.8%2.2%7.265.04—
202120MIX RAW2 levels2111482335230452%2.322.3%12.9%9.4%1.7%7.263.89—
202221A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals27158233662544%2.121.0%12.7%8.3%2.5%2.654.32—
202221A RAWPalm Beach Cardinals27158233662544%2.128.3%10.7%17.6%1.7%2.653.01—
202322MIX MLE2 levels40070314753770%1.817.9%14.1%3.8%2.7%4.864.84—
202322MIX RAW2 levels40070314753770%1.823.9%11.8%12.1%2.2%4.863.84—
202423MIX MLE2 levels22033153351410%1.518.4%10.6%7.8%0.0%4.322.89—
202423MIX MLE2 levels22033153351410%1.518.4%10.6%7.8%0.0%4.322.89—
202423MIX RAW2 levels22033153351410%1.522.9%9.2%13.7%0.7%4.322.65—
202524MIX MLE3 levels39044183522320%1.122.6%13.8%8.8%1.4%1.643.68—
202524MIX MLE3 levels39044183522320%1.122.6%13.8%8.8%1.4%1.643.68—
202524MIX RAW3 levels39044183522320%1.128.4%12.6%15.8%1.1%1.642.90—
202625MIX MLE2 levels19125104251005%1.318.9%9.9%9.0%0.0%2.552.76—
202625MIX MLE2 levels19125104251005%1.318.9%9.9%9.0%0.0%2.552.76—
202625MIX RAW2 levels19125104251005%1.324.0%9.6%14.4%0.0%2.552.29—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
202726MLBOAK10141000%1.021.0%11.0%10.0%2.4%4.434.43+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202827MLB MLEOAK29031130281430%1.121.2%10.9%10.3%2.5%4.444.46+0.0
202827MLB CTXOAK120135512610%1.121.2%10.9%10.3%2.5%4.444.46+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW130135512610%1.021.2%10.9%10.3%2.5%4.444.08+0.1
/ 200 IP— RAW190020084418391150%1.121.2%10.9%10.3%2.5%4.444.08+1.1
Career— MLE1882634815082691872314%1.817.8%12.4%5.4%1.5%3.654.01+0.0
/ 200 IP— MLE108152008671551081314%1.817.8%12.4%5.4%1.5%3.654.01+0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 19 IPFIP 2.64 → 2.76 (+0.12)K% 22.0% → 18.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF21.95%—×0.86018.88%
BB% (unintentional) /BF10.98%—×0.9009.88%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷1.000×1.1000.00%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 2.64 → 2.76, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Athletics · 6 IPFIP 0.99 → 1.99 (+1.00)K% 31.8% → 21.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF31.82%—×0.68021.64%
BB% (unintentional) /BF4.55%—×1.2505.68%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷1.000×1.4000.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 0.99 → 1.99, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 32 IPFIP 3.62 → 3.68 (+0.06)K% 26.3% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF26.28%—×0.86022.60%
BB% (unintentional) /BF15.33%—×0.90013.80%
HR / BF /BF1.46%÷1.183×1.1001.36%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 137).

Result: FIP 3.62 → 3.68, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAMidland RockHounds · 6 IPFIP 0.01 → 0.74 (+0.73)K% 42.3% → 34.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF42.31%—×0.81034.27%
BB% (unintentional) /BF3.85%—×1.1004.23%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷1.043×1.2000.00%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 109).

Result: FIP 0.01 → 0.74, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 6 IPFIP 1.62 → 2.20 (+0.58)K% 25.0% → 19.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF25.00%—×0.77019.25%
BB% (unintentional) /BF5.00%—×1.1505.75%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷0.921×1.2500.00%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 84).

Result: FIP 1.62 → 2.20, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Peoria Chiefs · 23 IPFIP 2.25 → 2.89 (+0.64)K% 23.9% → 18.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF23.85%—×0.77018.37%
BB% (unintentional) /BF9.17%—×1.15010.55%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷0.993×1.2500.00%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 99).

Result: FIP 2.25 → 2.89, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 APalm Beach Cardinals · 11 IPFIP 3.77 → 4.75 (+0.97)K% 20.5% → 15.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF20.45%—×0.74015.14%
BB% (unintentional) /BF9.09%—×1.18010.73%
HR / BF /BF2.27%÷1.036×1.3002.85%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 107).

Result: FIP 3.77 → 4.75, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Peoria Chiefs · 67 IPFIP 3.97 → 4.84 (+0.87)K% 23.3% → 17.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF23.26%—×0.77017.91%
BB% (unintentional) /BF12.29%—×1.15014.14%
HR / BF /BF2.33%÷1.093×1.2502.66%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 119).

Result: FIP 3.97 → 4.84, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).