Alex De Jesus — OGILVIE

Alex De Jesus3B New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 253 proj PA

wRC+†32

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .238 / .252

PA253

HR2

K%38

BB%7

ISO80

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	241	225	40	8	1	2	12	104	1	5	1	178	223	249	472	71	311	43	5	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	241	217	61	13	1	3	20	72	1	5	1	281	345	392	736	111	400	30	8	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	422	371	77	15	1	9	49	169	0	1	0	208	300	326	626	119	349	40	12	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	422	351	94	25	1	12	69	128	0	1	0	268	388	447	835	179	385	30	16	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	2 teams	—	506	457	82	14	2	8	43	219	3	2	1	179	254	271	526	92	318	43	8	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	2 teams	—	506	428	111	25	3	13	72	151	3	2	1	259	370	423	793	164	367	30	14	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	344	309	57	13	7	6	25	121	4	5	4	184	254	330	585	146	271	35	7	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	344	294	73	17	7	11	40	91	4	5	4	248	346	466	812	218	313	26	12	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	425	396	80	14	1	5	25	155	4	6	5	202	256	280	537	78	318	36	6	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	425	385	100	19	1	8	35	119	4	6	5	260	327	377	704	117	357	28	8	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	267	240	33	6	2	1	22	111	3	4	1	138	219	192	411	54	246	42	8	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	267	231	44	8	3	1	31	79	3	4	1	190	294	264	558	74	281	30	12	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	TOR	—	253	231	40	8	2	2	18	97	2	3	1	173	239	251	490	78	282	38	7	227	32	-19	+0	+0	+1	+7	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	TOR	31%	307	279	51	10	2	4	22	112	3	4	2	183	250	276	526	93	284	36	7	242	43	-20	+0	+0	+1	+9	-1.0
2028	26	MLB	TOR	45%	363	330	62	12	2	6	27	128	3	4	2	188	256	291	546	103	285	35	7	251	50	-20	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.9
2029	27	MLB	TOR	49%	387	351	67	13	2	7	29	135	4	5	2	191	260	299	560	108	285	35	7	254	53	-21	+0	+0	+1	+11	-0.8
2030	28	MLB	TOR	52%	401	363	69	13	2	7	31	139	4	5	2	190	261	295	556	105	285	35	8	255	53	-21	+0	-1	+1	+11	-0.9
2027	25	MLB	TOR	31%	95	87	16	3	1	1	7	35	1	1	1	184	253	276	528	92	285	37	7	236	39	-7	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2028	26	MLB	TOR	45%	162	147	28	5	1	3	12	57	2	2	1	190	261	299	560	109	286	35	7	245	45	-10	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
2029	27	MLB	TOR	49%	190	172	32	6	1	3	14	66	2	2	1	186	255	285	540	99	287	35	7	248	48	-11	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
2030	28	MLB	TOR	52%	207	187	36	7	1	4	16	72	2	2	1	193	263	305	568	112	286	35	8	249	49	-12	+0	-0	+1	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	654	593	112	21	4	11	49	230	7	7	4	189	259	293	552	105	285	35	7	246	46	-40	-0	-0	+2	+19	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	112	21	4	11	49	229	7	7	4	190	260	295	556	105	287	35	8	246	46	-39	-0	-0	+2	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	3916	3552	658	126	24	57	303	1490	31	44	21	185	255	282	538	97	296	38	8	243	44	-246	+0	-1	+14	+111	-12.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	109	21	4	9	50	247	5	7	3	185	254	280	534	95	296	38	8	243	44	-41	+0	-0	+2	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	241	217	61	13	1	3	20	72	1	5	1	281	345	392	736	111	400	30	8	328	109	+3	+1	—	—	+7	1.0
2021	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	422	351	94	25	1	12	69	128	0	1	0	268	388	447	835	179	385	30	16	373	144	+21	+0	—	—	+12	3.4
2022	20	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	330	285	74	16	2	6	40	101	2	0	1	260	355	393	748	133	376	31	12	336	115	+6	-0	—	—	+9	1.5
2022	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	176	143	37	9	1	7	32	50	1	2	0	259	398	483	880	224	349	28	18	391	158	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2023	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	344	294	73	17	7	11	40	91	4	5	4	248	346	466	812	218	313	26	12	352	128	+11	-1	—	—	+10	2.0
2024	22	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	425	385	100	19	1	8	35	119	4	6	5	260	327	377	704	117	357	28	8	318	102	+1	-1	—	—	+12	1.2
2025	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	214	192	36	6	3	1	20	66	0	3	0	188	264	266	530	78	276	31	9	244	45	-13	+1	—	—	+6	-0.7
2025	23	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	35	27	5	1	0	0	6	11	2	1	1	185	371	222	594	37	312	31	17	302	89	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	23	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	18	12	3	1	0	0	5	2	1	0	0	250	500	333	833	83	300	11	28	407	169	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	659	11	8	191	257	296	+2	+1	-1.6	-0.8
	/162	664	11	8	191	257	296	+2.4	+1.0	-1.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex De Jesus (OGILVIE)	24	25	30	45	40	173/238/252	79	282	2	3	38%	7%	32	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	38	34→30	46→45	35	183/227/233	50	283	3	6	35%	5%	20	-3.8	189/242/261	72	274	4	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	168/225/233	65	237	3	2	29%	6%	18	-0.8
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	36	190/233/274	83	280	6	8	33%	5%	34	-2.8	215/261/287	72	286	5	5	25%	4%	50	-1.8	229/273/258	30	292	2	0	21%	3%	43	-0.8
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	189/267/262	73	276	7	10	32%	7%	48	-1.9	173/266/261	88	295	8	12	40%	8%	48	-1.9	147/253/237	90	268	8	16	43%	8%	36	-1.6
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	40→37	38→40	42→45	45	190/273/269	79	271	6	8	30%	8%	52	-1.6	172/246/239	67	256	5	8	32%	7%	33	-2.9	143/216/191	47	222	3	6	34%	7%	5	-2.9
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Rylan Sandoval 2012 · A	24	38	40	44→45	36	184/248/271	87	283	8	5	36%	5%	41	-2.3	200/252/288	88	300	7	7	34%	5%	46	-2.0	201/250/281	80	299	6	6	33%	5%	40	-0.9
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA	24	39	40→45	44→55	34	192/239/277	84	280	9	6	34%	4%	38	-2.6	202/254/321	119	291	13	16	34%	5%	56	-1.3	193/249/316	123	274	14	21	34%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2007 · AA	24	37	38→45	43→40	39	181/239/262	81	264	5	4	32%	6%	34	-2.8	196/247/275	79	277	6	4	30%	5%	40	-2.4	208/275/286	79	292	6	0	29%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Matthew Hall 2011 · AAA	24	36	36→30	47→45	37	177/224/238	61	263	4	7	33%	5%	20	-3.8	207/260/288	81	285	5	10	27%	6%	50	-1.8	214/270/294	80	284	4	12	25%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Beau Seabury 2009 · A	24	38	38→30	44→45	33	183/227/255	72	305	6	6	40%	5%	27	-3.3	198/247/266	68	301	4	5	34%	5%	38	-2.6	198/247/260	63	293	4	3	32%	5%	34	-0.9
✕Bryan Johns 2012 · A	23	40	36→30	47→45	36	191/239/257	67	290	4	7	34%	5%	32	-3.0	198/272/262	64	282	3	6	28%	8%	49	-1.8	186/268/238	52	263	2	5	28%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Liam Spence 2022 · A	24	40	38→40	45	39	190/251/264	74	303	5	8	37%	7%	40	-2.4	188/262/275	87	289	8	8	35%	8%	48	-1.9	156/241/232	75	238	8	5	35%	9%	27	-0.9
✕Ryan Dent 2013 · AAA	24	39→42	37→40	44→50	41	190/244/257	67	269	6	9	30%	6%	35	-2.8	207/259/290	83	290	6	12	29%	6%	50	-1.8	204/255/292	88	287	6	12	30%	5%	46	-1.1
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	34→27	39→45	48→40	31	168/215/247	79	290	6	6	43%	5%	20	-3.8	182/228/291	109	286	11	4	38%	5%	37	-2.7	177/222/290	113	265	13	2	37%	5%	33	-1.8
✕Daniel Berg 2008 · A	23	37	39→40	45→40	39	180/245/262	82	274	6	4	35%	6%	37	-2.6	203/273/289	86	313	6	4	34%	7%	56	-1.3	201/278/285	84	310	6	2	34%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Alberti Chavez 2019 · AA	24	38	35→30	39→50	34	184/225/239	55	280	4	5	34%	4%	21	-3.7	201/252/270	69	288	5	6	30%	5%	41	-2.3	188/238/227	40	269	3	3	30%	5%	23	-1.2