Teofilo Mendez

P Visalia Rawhide

Age 25 RHP 5'11" / 170 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	28	51	2.45	2.87	25.8%	9.5%	—	K 20.1% · BB 10.7% · FIP 3.10
2025	23	A+ARI	3	4	9.82	3.65	11.1%	11.1%	—	K 11.1% · BB 11.1% · FIP 3.57
2026	24	MIX2 levels	35	60	7.31	4.71	24.5%	6.1%	—	K 18.2% · BB 7.1% · FIP 6.02
2027PROJ	25	MLBARI	39	41	4.74	4.74	19.4%	7.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBARI	22	23	4.57	4.56	20.2%	7.8%	-0.0
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBARI	32	34	4.56	4.57	20.5%	8.0%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJon Leicester (age 25) · Hueston Morrill (age 24) · Shay Schanaman (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.74

FIP4.74

K%19.4%

BB%7.7%

K-BB%11.7%

Proj IP41

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 41 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	21	0	26	109	22	10	1	0%	1.3	13.7%	11.5%	2.3%	1.4%	1.71	4.18	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Black	21	0	26	109	22	10	1	0%	1.3	20.2%	9.2%	11.0%	0.9%	1.71	3.06	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	21	0	36	143	50	9	4	0%	1.7	23.8%	7.9%	15.9%	4.3%	2.25	4.43	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Red	21	0	36	143	50	9	4	0%	1.7	35.0%	6.3%	28.7%	2.8%	2.25	2.52	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	51	221	57	21	3	0%	1.8	20.1%	10.7%	9.4%	0.6%	2.45	3.10	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	51	221	57	21	3	0%	1.8	20.1%	10.7%	9.4%	0.6%	2.45	3.10	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	51	221	57	21	3	0%	1.8	25.8%	9.5%	16.3%	1.4%	2.45	2.87	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	3	0	4	18	2	2	0	0%	1.2	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	0.0%	9.82	3.57	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	3	0	4	18	2	2	0	0%	1.2	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	0.0%	9.82	3.57	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	3	0	4	18	2	2	0	0%	1.2	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	0.0%	9.82	3.65	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	60	278	68	17	14	0%	1.7	18.2%	7.1%	11.1%	6.5%	7.31	6.02	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	60	278	68	17	14	0%	1.7	18.2%	7.1%	11.1%	6.5%	7.31	6.02	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	60	278	68	17	14	0%	1.7	24.5%	6.1%	18.3%	5.0%	7.31	4.71	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	ARI	39	0	41	173	34	13	6	0%	1.1	19.4%	7.7%	11.7%	3.5%	4.74	4.74	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ARI	52	0	54	229	46	18	8	0%	1.0	20.2%	7.8%	12.4%	3.5%	4.67	4.66	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	ARI	51	0	54	226	46	18	8	0%	1.0	20.5%	8.0%	12.4%	3.5%	4.66	4.67	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	ARI	22	0	23	97	20	8	3	0%	1.0	20.2%	7.8%	12.4%	3.3%	4.57	4.56	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	ARI	32	0	34	144	29	11	5	0%	1.1	20.5%	8.0%	12.4%	3.3%	4.56	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	240	49	19	8	0%	1.1	20.4%	7.9%	12.4%	3.3%	4.56	4.18	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	67	28	0%	1.1	20.4%	7.9%	12.4%	3.3%	4.56	4.18	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		108	0	178	769	146	69	27	0%	1.6	19.0%	9.0%	10.0%	3.5%	4.10	4.57	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		122	0	200	866	164	78	30	0%	1.6	19.0%	9.0%	10.0%	3.5%	4.10	4.57	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Teofilo Mendez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.74	19.4%	7.7%	3.5%	—	4.66	20.3%	12.4%	108	-0.08	—	—	—
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	92
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	92
Shay Schanaman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	21.0%	7.6%	3.7%	.292	6.05	16.4%	2.8%	90	+1.71	4.34	148	90
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	90
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	88
Micah Dallas R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	24	SU	4.04	18.7%	7.1%	3.0%	.273	4.34	17.8%	8.2%	104	+0.30	3.60	202	88
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	87
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.24	23.5%	12.2%	22	+0.82	4.42	152	87
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	86
Andres Avila R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	16.0%	5.2%	2.9%	.316	4.13	20.3%	13.9%	73	+0.15	3.98	177	86
Justin Courtney R 2021 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	19.0%	5.9%	4.3%	.364	6.21	17.3%	5.0%	68	+1.63	4.58	108	86
John Brebbia R 2016 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.346	3.20	27.6%	21.4%	215	-0.91	2.89	576	86
Woo-Suk Go R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	17.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.359	4.16	21.5%	10.2%	64	-0.64	3.57	116	85
Mark Peterson R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	17.8%	8.8%	3.5%	.287	4.78	13.7%	1.8%	52	+0.13	4.65	185	85
J.J. Putz R 2004 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	17.1%	7.3%	3.6%	.283	2.58	28.5%	23.0%	210	-1.99	1.43	563	85
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	85
José Cisnero R 2013 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	20.7%	8.6%	2.6%	.326	4.50	26.1%	14.4%	12	+0.64	2.26	322	85
Troy Neiman R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	21.1%	7.6%	4.7%	.289	4.03	18.1%	9.8%	64	-0.83	4.03	199	85
Hector Ambriz R 2010 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	16.5%	7.1%	4.5%	.360	4.28	19.5%	10.8%	56	-0.79	2.24	259	85
Boby Johnson R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	20.3%	8.8%	4.1%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	145	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	50	20.1%	7.9%	1.34	4.69
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Julio Navarro ('62-'70, 1 WAR*)	1.1	53	21.7%*	7.8%*	1.55*	4.13*