Domingo Gonzalez
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 26
RHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.17
FIP4.17
K%20.8%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%8.8%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates 1 | 16 | 0 | 25 | 117 | 18 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 10.5% | 15.0% | -4.5% | 0.0% | 5.84 | 4.11 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates 1 | 16 | 0 | 25 | 117 | 18 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.4% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 5.84 | 3.34 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 16 | 8 | 63 | 247 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 50% | 3.9 | 20.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 0.6% | 2.29 | 2.73 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 16 | 8 | 63 | 247 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 50% | 3.9 | 30.8% | 6.9% | 23.9% | 0.4% | 2.29 | 1.70 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 14 | 87 | 381 | 104 | 37 | 20 | 70% | 4.4 | 20.5% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 4.95 | 5.20 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 14 | 87 | 381 | 104 | 37 | 20 | 70% | 4.4 | 27.3% | 9.7% | 17.6% | 5.2% | 4.95 | 4.97 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 11 | 105 | 462 | 103 | 45 | 13 | 38% | 3.6 | 17.0% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 4.90 | 4.32 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 11 | 105 | 462 | 103 | 45 | 13 | 38% | 3.6 | 22.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.90 | 4.04 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 40 | 1 | 54 | 249 | 76 | 33 | 2 | 2% | 1.3 | 24.7% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 1.6% | 4.19 | 3.76 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 40 | 1 | 54 | 249 | 76 | 33 | 2 | 2% | 1.3 | 30.5% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 0.8% | 4.19 | 2.60 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 1 | 53 | 214 | 83 | 22 | 3 | 2% | 1.2 | 32.9% | 11.0% | 21.9% | 1.8% | 2.91 | 2.70 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 1 | 53 | 214 | 83 | 22 | 3 | 2% | 1.2 | 38.8% | 10.3% | 28.5% | 1.4% | 2.91 | 1.94 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 46 | 0 | 56 | 240 | 48 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.6% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 4.47 | 4.13 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 46 | 0 | 56 | 240 | 48 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 4.47 | 4.17 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 31 | 0 | 41 | 169 | 37 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 2.20 | 2.31 | +1.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 55 | 32 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 4.17 | 4.17 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 59 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 55 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 4.17 | 4.17 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 103 | 432 | 92 | 47 | 7 | — | — | 21.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 1.7% | 3.39 | 3.43 | +2.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 70 | 296 | 92 | 47 | 7 | — | — | 31.1% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 2.5% | 5.00 | 3.83 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 59 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 4.75 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 58 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.78 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 55 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 57 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 4.75 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 55 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.78 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 52 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.93 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 245 | 0 | 260 | 1101 | 223 | 135 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 4.64 | 4.41 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 189 | 0 | 200 | 847 | 172 | 104 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 4.64 | 4.41 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 243 | 35 | 483 | 2079 | 431 | 232 | 41 | 14% | 2.0 | 20.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 2.0% | 4.04 | 3.86 | +8.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 101 | 14 | 200 | 860 | 178 | 96 | 17 | 14% | 2.0 | 20.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 2.0% | 4.04 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Domingo Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.69 | 20.8% | 12.4% | 2.5% | — | 4.84 | 20.4% | 8.2% | 200 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 88 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 87 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 87 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 86 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 86 |
| Josh Zeid R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 86 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 86 |
| Armando Rivero R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 85 |
| Eduard Santos R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.03 | 22.2% | 14.4% | 1.8% | .248 | 2.04 | 31.1% | 18.7% | 16 | -1.99 | 2.04 | 138 | 85 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 84 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 84 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 84 |
| Brad Schreiber R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 1.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 171 | 83 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.01 | 17.2% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .266 | 3.89 | 22.4% | 10.5% | 62 | -0.12 | 3.24 | 159 | 83 |
| Nefi Ogando R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.92 | 17.0% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .266 | 4.19 | 14.7% | 3.1% | 40 | +0.27 | 3.92 | 103 | 83 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 83 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 83 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 17.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .246 | 4.88 | 12.9% | -1.0% | 29 | +0.37 | 4.51 | 151 | 83 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.99 | 19.4% | 10.8% | 2.1% | .315 | 4.03 | 21.2% | 10.6% | 105 | +0.04 | 3.74 | 277 | 83 |
| Confesor Lara R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 111 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 67 | 20.5% | 12.3% | 1.05 | 4.77 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |