Miguel Pabon — OGILVIE

Miguel PabonC South Bend Cubs

Age 26 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .262 / .255

PA1

HR0

K%27

BB%8

BABIP263

ISO65

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	74	61	9	2	1	0	11	32	2	3	2	148	297	213	510	66	310	43	15	253	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL	RA12	—	25	22	3	1	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	136	240	182	422	45	300	48	12	207	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	27	24	3	0	1	0	1	12	1	0	0	125	192	208	401	83	231	44	4	180	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	91	68	11	2	0	1	20	30	1	0	0	162	360	235	595	74	256	33	22	292	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	43	40	10	2	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	250	302	300	602	50	303	16	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	313	276	65	14	1	1	27	70	5	3	1	236	315	304	619	69	308	22	9	283	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	126	110	23	5	1	0	15	36	0	2	1	209	304	273	577	64	311	29	12	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	260	216	48	8	0	3	38	63	4	0	0	222	349	301	650	79	296	24	15	306	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	45	40	8	2	0	0	5	16	0	0	0	200	289	250	539	50	333	36	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	221	193	37	3	1	1	24	64	2	6	0	192	288	233	521	41	279	29	11	248	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	61	58	10	1	1	0	2	12	0	0	0	172	200	224	424	52	213	20	3	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	74	65	4	1	0	0	7	46	2	3	2	62	176	77	253	15	250	62	9	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	27	24	2	0	1	0	1	16	1	0	0	83	154	167	321	83	197	59	4	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	91	77	8	1	0	1	11	44	1	0	0	104	225	156	381	52	200	48	12	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	313	284	54	11	1	1	19	94	5	3	1	190	253	246	500	56	267	30	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	260	229	39	6	0	2	25	87	4	0	0	170	264	223	486	52	256	33	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	221	201	30	2	1	1	16	77	2	6	0	149	219	184	403	35	231	35	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	74	65	4	1	0	0	7	46	2	3	2	62	176	77	253	15	211	62	9	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	—	74	61	9	2	1	0	11	32	2	3	2	148	297	213	510	66	310	43	15	253	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL MLE	RA12	—	25	22	3	1	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	136	240	182	422	45	300	48	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL RAW	RA12	—	25	22	3	1	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	136	240	182	422	45	300	48	12	207	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	27	24	2	0	1	0	1	16	1	0	0	83	154	167	321	83	222	59	4	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	27	24	3	0	1	0	1	12	1	0	0	125	192	208	401	83	231	44	4	180	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	134	114	12	2	0	1	16	65	2	0	0	105	227	149	376	44	220	49	12	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	134	108	21	4	0	1	22	37	2	0	0	194	341	259	600	65	278	28	16	287	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	439	401	75	16	1	1	27	132	5	5	2	187	247	239	487	52	273	30	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	439	386	88	19	2	1	42	106	5	5	2	228	312	295	607	67	309	24	10	279	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	305	269	46	7	0	3	30	102	4	0	0	171	264	230	495	59	259	33	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	305	256	56	10	0	3	43	79	4	0	0	219	340	293	633	74	301	26	14	298	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	282	257	38	3	1	1	20	99	2	6	0	148	215	179	394	31	233	35	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	282	251	47	4	2	1	26	76	2	6	0	187	269	231	500	44	261	27	9	235	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	74	65	4	1	0	0	7	46	2	3	2	62	176	77	253	15	250	62	9	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	27	25	2	0	1	0	1	16	1	0	0	80	154	160	314	80	197	59	4	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	134	115	12	2	0	1	16	65	2	0	0	104	227	148	375	43	200	49	12	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	439	404	75	16	1	1	27	132	5	5	2	186	247	238	485	52	267	30	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	305	268	46	7	0	3	30	102	4	0	0	172	264	231	495	60	256	33	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	282	258	38	3	1	1	20	99	2	6	0	147	215	178	393	31	231	35	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	305	268	46	7	0	3	30	102	4	0	0	172	264	231	495	60	256	33	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	282	258	38	3	1	1	20	99	2	6	0	147	215	178	393	31	231	35	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	271	244	45	9	1	1	22	74	3	5	1	187	260	251	511	64	260	27	8	237	47	-17	+1	+0	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	189	262	255	517	66	263	0	0	240	47	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CHC	26%	127	115	22	4	1	1	10	35	1	2	0	189	262	256	518	67	261	28	8	240	49	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	CHC	26%	33	30	5	1	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	191	264	260	524	69	264	27	9	243	49	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	33	30	5	1	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	167	242	200	442	33	238	27	9	243	26	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	99	20	0	0	59	177	0	20	0	168	243	201	444	34	239	27	9	243	26	-40	+4	+0	+12	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1516	1360	219	37	4	8	122	535	18	18	4	161	239	212	451	51	255	35	8	207	26	-14	+1	+0	+4	+5	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	94	16	2	3	52	229	8	8	2	161	240	211	450	50	256	35	8	207	26	-40	+2	+0	+12	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Pabon (OGILVIE)	26	25	20	50	45	186/258/249	63	260	1	2	27%	8%	47	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→37	38→40	45→50	44	193/265/267	75	277	6	14	31%	8%	53	-2.1	192/252/281	89	266	10	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	172/233/253	81	229	10	8	29%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Lyle Lin 2023 · AA	26	40	35→30	43→40	41	190/249/248	58	270	3	4	29%	6%	42	-2.9	210/277/282	72	282	5	5	26%	6%	61	-1.5	162/233/177	16	197	0	4	16%	6%	20	-0.8
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	35	38→30	44→40	38	173/241/247	74	265	6	5	35%	6%	40	-3.0	190/250/278	88	303	8	7	37%	6%	50	-2.3	142/198/221	78	234	8	3	41%	6%	14	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	184/249/269	85	263	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	14	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Sammie Starr 2014 · A	26	40→39	37→40	48→45	42	193/246/263	69	233	6	7	20%	4%	45	-2.7	209/258/312	103	245	10	9	19%	5%	60	-1.6	204/241/351	146	213	15	7	13%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Josh Bissonette 2023 · AAA	26	43	36→30	44→30	46	203/264/270	67	270	3	5	25%	7%	53	-2.1	210/273/292	82	277	6	7	24%	8%	61	-1.5	194/260/241	47	255	2	0	23%	8%	42	-0.9
✕Cristopher Navarro 2024 · AA	25	38	35→30	47→45	38	181/228/241	59	266	3	5	32%	6%	32	-3.6	208/268/297	89	286	7	8	28%	7%	61	-1.5	203/272/274	71	272	7	4	26%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Chris Rabago 2019 · AA	26	42	38→40	54→55	44	202/258/287	85	268	4	18	25%	6%	54	-2.0	194/257/283	89	268	7	14	28%	7%	53	-2.1	166/236/231	65	243	6	11	32%	7%	32	-1.2
✕Myles Emmerson 2024 · A	26	39	35→40	47→40	40	186/244/245	59	288	3	5	34%	7%	39	-3.1	195/257/278	83	287	6	5	32%	7%	52	-2.2	182/250/270	88	256	8	2	30%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Carlos Martínez 2021 · AA	26	42	39→30	50→45	44	204/255/282	78	242	6	8	19%	5%	52	-2.2	219/258/325	106	286	10	8	26%	4%	63	-1.3	214/232/307	93	279	7	0	26%	0%	46	-0.6
✕Nick Natoli 2013 · AA	25	42	37→30	52→50	51	197/281/273	76	266	4	10	26%	10%	61	-1.5	182/255/252	70	265	4	11	30%	8%	47	-2.6	145/223/193	48	218	1	11	31%	8%	19	-2.9
✕Ricardo Valenzuela 2016 · A	25	40	38→30	44→50	44	192/249/266	75	242	5	5	23%	6%	47	-2.6	211/264/269	58	257	4	3	18%	6%	52	-2.2	221/269/269	47	257	5	0	16%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Rand Smith 2012 · A	25	43→39	38→30	49→50	45	206/267/280	74	279	5	13	27%	7%	56	-1.9	211/273/286	75	302	5	8	29%	8%	60	-1.6	193/262/233	41	282	1	4	30%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Matt McLaughlin 2021 · A	25	45→43	36→30	44→45	44	209/273/276	67	289	3	10	27%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/280	78	269	6	7	25%	6%	55	-1.9	180/243/240	60	234	4	3	24%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Korey Feiner 2008 · AAA	26	41	35→30	46→30	46	193/273/248	55	270	3	3	28%	8%	52	-2.2	194/267/262	68	262	5	5	27%	6%	53	-2.1	169/258/228	59	235	7	0	29%	6%	42	-0.6
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	42	169/233/265	96	237	10	5	32%	7%	40	-3.0	193/263/284	91	262	8	8	27%	8%	56	-1.9	178/258/254	76	233	6	7	25%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	40	181/259/253	72	263	5	5	31%	6%	49	-2.4	196/275/282	86	273	7	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	149/252/214	66	204	4	0	27%	8%	36	-0.7
✕Erick Castillo 2019 · AA	26	42	38→30	46→30	41	203/248/274	72	253	6	4	22%	5%	47	-2.5	207/262/281	74	263	6	5	22%	5%	55	-2.0	195/263/224	29	248	1	0	20%	5%	41	-0.8