Conner Loeprich prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Conner Loeprich P FCL Orioles

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.38

FIP4.38

K%22.0%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%13.2%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	8	96	427	95	25	6	24%	2.9	16.7%	6.9%	9.8%	1.8%	3.94	3.54	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	8	96	427	95	25	6	24%	2.9	22.2%	5.9%	16.4%	1.4%	3.94	2.71	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	12	56	241	57	16	11	86%	4.0	17.1%	8.7%	8.4%	6.7%	5.62	6.42	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	12	56	241	57	16	11	86%	4.0	23.7%	6.6%	17.0%	4.6%	5.62	4.47	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	32	3	72	312	77	26	10	9%	2.2	20.0%	9.2%	10.8%	3.3%	4.50	4.38	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	32	3	72	312	77	26	10	9%	2.2	24.7%	8.3%	16.3%	3.2%	4.50	3.85	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	52	226	55	19	6	0%	1.5	20.0%	8.4%	11.6%	2.7%	4.88	3.94	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	52	226	55	19	6	0%	1.5	20.0%	8.4%	11.6%	2.7%	4.88	3.94	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	52	226	55	19	6	0%	1.5	24.3%	8.4%	15.9%	2.7%	4.88	3.58	—
2024	26	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
2024	26	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
2024	26	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	BAL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.0%	8.8%	13.2%	3.0%	4.38	4.38	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	BAL	32	0	34	144	31	13	5	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.1%	12.8%	3.1%	4.45	4.50	+0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	BAL	10	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	9.1%	12.8%	3.1%	4.45	4.50	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	9	4	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	9.1%	12.8%	3.1%	4.45	4.12	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	79	20	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.1%	12.8%	3.1%	4.45	4.12	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		115	24	277	1210	221	98	40	21%	2.4	18.3%	8.1%	10.2%	3.3%	4.59	4.40	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	17	200	875	160	71	29	21%	2.4	18.3%	8.1%	10.2%	3.3%	4.59	4.40	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Conner Loeprich (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.38	22.0%	8.8%	3.0%	—	4.50	21.9%	12.8%	34	+0.12	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	84
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	79
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	78
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	78
Andrew Robinson R 2016 · 3.19 FIP	28	SU	3.19	22.2%	7.9%	1.8%	.247	4.32	23.4%	14.6%	39	+1.13	3.19	160	78
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	77
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	75
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	75
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	75
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	27	SU	4.76	23.0%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.18	3.73	223	74
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	74
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	74
Lou Pote R 2000 · 3.34 FIP	28	SU	3.34	20.6%	7.5%	1.9%	.320	4.49	16.7%	7.9%	137	+1.15	3.31	217	74
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.45 FIP	28	SU	3.45	22.7%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.02	25.4%	17.1%	87	-0.43	2.32	186	74
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	74
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	73
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	73
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	73
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	73
Gus Schlosser R 2016 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	18.7%	5.6%	3.1%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	107	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	35	22.0%	9.0%	1.18	4.41
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16