Royman Blanco P Salem Red Sox
Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
K%21.2%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP40
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
K: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.07 (40 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.10.10.0262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201817ROKDSL Red Sox 120291000%1.011.1%0.0%11.1%0.0%0.002.16
201817ROKDSL Red Sox 120291000%1.011.1%0.0%11.1%0.0%0.002.10
201918ROKDSL Red Sox 116035148211200%2.29.6%10.1%-0.5%0.0%3.123.57
201918ROKDSL Red Sox 116035148211200%2.214.2%8.1%6.1%0.0%3.122.93
202120ROKDSL BOS Blue192391763613111%2.113.9%9.2%4.7%0.4%4.153.32
202120ROKDSL BOS Blue192391763613111%2.120.5%7.4%13.1%0.6%4.152.59
202221ROKDSL BOS Red1603413822510%2.110.8%4.5%6.3%1.0%1.073.32
202221ROKDSL BOS Red1603413822510%2.115.9%3.6%12.3%0.7%1.072.62
202322MIX2 levels1602813222130%1.813.6%1.3%12.3%1.6%5.082.97
202322MIX2 levels1602813222130%1.816.7%0.8%15.9%2.3%5.083.03
202423ASalem Red Sox33170299441753%2.110.9%6.7%4.2%2.5%3.754.41
202423ASalem Red Sox33170299441753%2.114.7%5.7%9.0%1.7%3.753.50
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBBOS38040170361550%1.121.2%8.7%12.6%3.0%4.414.41+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBBOS38040170371550%1.121.7%8.7%13.0%3.0%4.394.38+0.1
202827MLBBOS38040167361550%1.021.8%8.8%13.0%3.0%4.404.41+0.1
202928MLBBOS37038162351550%1.021.8%9.0%12.8%3.1%4.454.49+0.0
202726MLBBOS160177216620%1.121.7%8.7%13.0%3.0%4.394.38+0.0
202827MLBBOS2402510623930%1.021.8%8.8%13.0%3.0%4.404.41+0.0
202928MLBBOS28029122271140%1.021.8%9.0%12.8%3.1%4.454.49+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career67071299652690%1.121.7%8.9%12.9%3.0%4.424.05+0.6
/ 200 IP190020084418373250%1.021.7%8.9%12.9%3.0%4.424.05+3.1
Career102320790210559123%2.011.7%6.6%5.1%1.3%3.433.66+4.2
/ 200 IP98320087010257113%2.011.7%6.6%5.1%1.3%3.433.66+4.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Royman Blanco (OGILVIE) 4.41 21.2%8.7%3.0% 4.43 21.7%12.9%118 +0.02
Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 25 SU 3.74 22.4%10.2%2.3%.330 4.97 16.5%3.9%101 +1.23 3.74 140 89
Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 25 SU 4.36 21.7%10.1%3.3%.311 5.39 24.0%10.9%22 +1.03 4.36 152 88
Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP 24 SU 4.51 20.7%9.6%3.5%.281 4.91 21.2%5.7%55 +0.40 4.51 121 88
Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP 25 SU 4.84 19.1%8.6%4.1%.278 3.35 101 87
Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SU 4.24 21.1%10.6%2.9%.286 6.43 14.1%7.0%24 +2.19 4.09 183 86
J.R. Graham R 2026 · 4.38 FIP 25 SU 4.38 18.7%7.4%3.5%.317 3.55 20.4%10.1%61 -0.83 3.30 125 86
Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP 24 SU 4.08 21.3%7.5%3.3%.312 4.08 100 86
Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 25 SU 4.04 19.9%10.4%2.4%.272 3.57 19.6%9.7%129 -0.47 3.26 386 86
Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 25 SU 3.90 22.8%7.1%3.3%.284 3.25 20.8%10.5%125 -0.65 3.08 201 85
Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.33 FIP 25 SU 3.33 19.6%7.7%1.7%.293 4.70 17.7%7.8%115 +1.37 3.33 258 84
Alex Phillips R 2025 · 3.26 FIP 24 SU 3.26 22.0%8.0%1.8%.263 4.49 23.2%14.6%72 +1.23 3.26 139 84
Matt Marsh R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 25 SU 4.06 21.0%8.2%3.1%.273 3.13 18.5%5.9%15 -0.93 3.13 143 84
Joe Colón J R 2026 · 3.28 FIP 25 SU 3.28 19.4%7.4%1.6%.312 3.96 20.7%7.8%65 +0.68 3.28 113 84
Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.24 FIP 25 SU 3.24 22.1%7.8%1.8%.274 4.67 24.1%8.8%38 +1.43 3.24 172 84
Matt Pierpont R 2026 · 3.42 FIP 25 SU 3.42 20.7%8.6%1.8%.295 3.26 21.6%13.6%156 -0.16 2.66 280 84
Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 25 SU 4.12 19.1%8.1%2.9%.275 4.62 20.2%10.4%118 +0.50 4.12 230 84
Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 25 SU 3.94 22.6%10.5%2.6%.336 2.17 116 84
Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 23.4%10.1%2.1%.267 3.70 27.2%19.2%59 +0.16 3.54 103 84
Kaleb Bowman R 2027 · 3.80 FIP 26 SU 3.80 22.0%7.5%2.9%.333 4.41 18.1%6.6%151 +0.61 3.74 185 84
Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP 26 SU 3.91 23.7%11.6%2.5%.305 3.92 17.1%13.9%45 +0.01 3.21 161 84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44021.6%8.8%1.164.41
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
David Hernandez ('19)55425.0%7.9%1.144.10
Scott Oberg ('19)55121.5%9.3%0.913.85