Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 210 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 71% | 3.6 | 18.8% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 0.7% | 3.93 | 2.71 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 210 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 71% | 3.6 | 27.6% | 5.2% | 22.4% | 0.5% | 3.93 | 1.71 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 4.0 | 26.7% | 0.0% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 1.12 | 0.85 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 4.0 | 26.7% | 0.0% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 1.12 | 1.10 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Mets | 9 | 0 | 14 | 66 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 6.28 | 6.93 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Mets | 9 | 0 | 14 | 66 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 12.1% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.28 | 5.33 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 0 | 37 | 161 | 41 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 19.0% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 5.40 | 3.96 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 0 | 37 | 161 | 41 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 25.5% | 5.0% | 20.5% | 1.9% | 5.40 | 2.58 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 3 | 61 | 242 | 52 | 11 | 3 | 10% | 2.0 | 15.5% | 4.9% | 10.7% | 1.4% | 2.20 | 3.19 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 3 | 61 | 242 | 52 | 11 | 3 | 10% | 2.0 | 21.5% | 4.5% | 16.9% | 1.2% | 2.20 | 2.58 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 53 | 13 | 9 | 0% | 2.1 | 15.0% | 4.4% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 4.09 | 3.55 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 53 | 13 | 9 | 0% | 2.1 | 17.9% | 4.4% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.09 | 3.81 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | STL | 42 | 0 | 45 | 188 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 4.24 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 42 | 0 | 44 | 185 | 39 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | STL | 41 | 0 | 43 | 180 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | STL | 39 | 0 | 41 | 172 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | STL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | STL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 67 | 0 | 71 | 298 | 63 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.02 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 178 | 71 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 110 | 15 | 241 | 1005 | 166 | 53 | 20 | 14% | 2.2 | 16.5% | 5.3% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 3.81 | 3.50 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 12 | 200 | 834 | 137 | 44 | 17 | 14% | 2.2 | 16.5% | 5.3% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 3.81 | 3.50 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Benito Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.24 | 20.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.38 | 21.1% | 13.0% | 127 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 85 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 85 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 84 |
| Stephen Perakslis R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.17 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 1.5% | .313 | 5.36 | 11.8% | 5.9% | 42 | +2.19 | 3.17 | 211 | 84 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.81 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .316 | 6.96 | 13.7% | 6.1% | 26 | +3.15 | 3.81 | 233 | 83 |
| Joe Navilhon R 2026 · 3.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.06 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 1.3% | .322 | 4.41 | 23.4% | 16.7% | 99 | +1.35 | 2.12 | 273 | 83 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 82 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 82 |
| Ryan Halstead R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.38 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | .296 | 3.31 | 16.1% | 8.7% | 64 | -1.07 | 3.31 | 222 | 82 |
| John Brebbia R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.03 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .346 | 3.14 | 27.6% | 21.4% | 215 | -0.89 | 2.81 | 574 | 82 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 81 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 81 |
| Carter Rustad R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 81 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 81 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.07 | 19.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | .262 | 4.33 | 16.9% | 9.8% | 35 | +1.26 | 3.07 | 133 | 81 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 81 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 81 |
| Jake Curtis R 2024 · 3.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.34 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 105 | 81 |
| Anthony Bass R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.57 | 16.5% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.39 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 123 | -0.18 | 2.93 | 432 | 80 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 43 | 21.1% | 8.0% | 1.15 | 4.31 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |