Tyler BacaOF
FCL Nationals
Age 26
S/L
5'9" / 180 lbs
ROK
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .273 / .313
PA76
HR1
K%30
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.1peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2037 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $3M | $-17M | -$20M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 50 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .327 | .238 | .565 | .024 | .290 | 24 | 10 | .257 | 55 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 64 | 57 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .228 | .312 | .298 | .611 | .070 | .361 | 33 | 8 | .250 | 50 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 27 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .259 | .200 | .459 | .000 | .333 | 37 | 7 | .222 | 28 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 76 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .217 | .289 | .333 | .623 | .116 | .290 | 30 | 8 | .267 | 63 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 10% | WSH | 117 | 106 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .217 | .284 | .330 | .615 | .113 | .290 | 29 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 20% | WSH | 208 | 188 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .213 | .282 | .324 | .606 | .112 | .290 | 29 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 33% | WSH | 264 | 238 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 76 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .214 | .286 | .332 | .618 | .118 | .290 | 29 | 8 | .276 | 70 | -9 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 43% | WSH | 303 | 273 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 88 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .212 | .283 | .330 | .613 | .117 | .288 | 29 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -11 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 52% | WSH | 311 | 281 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 92 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .206 | .276 | .310 | .586 | .103 | .287 | 30 | 8 | .271 | 65 | -12 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +9 | -0.8 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 63% | WSH | 307 | 277 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 92 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .206 | .276 | .310 | .587 | .105 | .285 | 30 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -13 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 81% | WSH | 287 | 260 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 88 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .270 | .296 | .566 | .096 | .284 | 31 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -14 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +8 | -1.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 250 | 227 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 79 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .198 | .266 | .295 | .561 | .097 | .282 | 32 | 8 | .255 | 53 | -13 | +0 | -5 | -2 | +7 | -1.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2264 | 2043 | 426 | 73 | 15 | 36 | 177 | 675 | 25 | 15 | 1 | .209 | .280 | .312 | .592 | .103 | .290 | 30 | 8 | .267 | 63 | -96 | +3 | -20 | -14 | +64 | -6.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 587 | 122 | 21 | 4 | 10 | 51 | 194 | 7 | 4 | 0 | .208 | .279 | .308 | .587 | .101 | .290 | 30 | 8 | .267 | 63 | -27 | +1 | -6 | -4 | +18 | -1.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 50 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .256 | .408 | .282 | .690 | .026 | .323 | 18 | 16 | .330 | 110 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 64 | 54 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .259 | .375 | .333 | .708 | .074 | .359 | 23 | 12 | .331 | 112 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 25 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 27 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .261 | .370 | .261 | .631 | .000 | .375 | 26 | 15 | .304 | 91 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Tyler Baca (OGILVIE) | 26 | — | — | — | — | .208/.273/.313 | .105 | .290 | 1 | 1 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Chase Simpson 2017 · A |
25 | 39→36 | 44→50 | 51→45 | 44 | .196/.264/.315 | .120 | .274 | 10 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.252/.311 | .117 | .289 | 11 | 7 | 35% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .129/.170/.236 | .107 | .192 | 13 | 3 | 41% | 4% | -4 | -1.2 |
|
✕Myles Schroder 2014 · A |
26 | 46 | 43→45 | 53→50 | 38 | .222/.269/.344 | .122 | .311 | 9 | 13 | 31% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .224/.265/.324 | .100 | .295 | 8 | 12 | 26% | 4% | 61 | -1.0 | .216/.266/.309 | .093 | .279 | 8 | 10 | 25% | 4% | 55 | -0.9 |
|
✕James Boone 2009 · AA |
26 | 41 | 44→45 | 43→50 | 40 | .207/.267/.321 | .114 | .282 | 13 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .201/.255/.303 | .102 | .279 | 10 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .148/.191/.199 | .051 | .202 | 4 | 7 | 28% | 4% | -7 | -1.3 |
|
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA |
26 | 38 | 42→45 | 43→45 | 44 | .190/.273/.285 | .095 | .272 | 10 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .226/.321/.370 | .144 | .293 | 15 | 10 | 26% | 11% | 98 | +1.6 | .221/.324/.370 | .149 | .286 | 16 | 11 | 27% | 12% | 97 | +0.8 |
|
✕Christian Lara 2011 · A |
26 | 46→49 | 41→45 | 48→50 | 41 | .223/.271/.324 | .101 | .305 | 7 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .227/.286/.327 | .100 | .297 | 7 | 9 | 24% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .222/.295/.305 | .082 | .285 | 4 | 5 | 22% | 9% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jon Mark Owings 2011 · A |
26 | 40→43 | 44→50 | 45 | 36 | .202/.247/.325 | .122 | .288 | 12 | 8 | 33% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .221/.275/.357 | .136 | .296 | 14 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .221/.275/.373 | .153 | .283 | 17 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA |
26 | 36→38 | 44→50 | 47→55 | 38 | .183/.247/.298 | .115 | .269 | 11 | 13 | 35% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.262/.346 | .145 | .292 | 17 | 19 | 36% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .199/.260/.339 | .140 | .286 | 17 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕Matthew Tucker 2009 · A |
26 | 46 | 41→40 | 45 | 44 | .223/.283/.332 | .109 | .293 | 8 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .228/.282/.332 | .104 | .310 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .257/.310/.390 | .133 | .351 | 13 | 2 | 29% | 6% | 95 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A |
25 | 43→41 | 44→45 | 49→45 | 45 | .213/.284/.325 | .113 | .293 | 11 | 10 | 30% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.276/.365 | .146 | .301 | 17 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .215/.264/.384 | .170 | .287 | 22 | 3 | 33% | 5% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Victor Mendez 2006 · AA |
26 | 43 | 46→45 | 46→50 | 41 | .216/.265/.342 | .126 | .285 | 14 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .221/.275/.348 | .127 | .299 | 13 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .223/.285/.343 | .120 | .296 | 13 | 13 | 28% | 8% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Bobby Kingsbury 2007 · A |
26 | 42 | 45→50 | 47→50 | 44 | .210/.277/.340 | .130 | .280 | 12 | 8 | 29% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .217/.273/.342 | .125 | .275 | 12 | 12 | 25% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .211/.266/.341 | .130 | .260 | 12 | 14 | 23% | 6% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
✕Anthony Seratelli 2009 · A |
26 | 41→48 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 42 | .203/.261/.323 | .120 | .282 | 11 | 17 | 31% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .211/.271/.297 | .086 | .300 | 7 | 19 | 30% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .230/.303/.350 | .119 | .297 | 13 | 20 | 25% | 9% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Hutton Moyer 2018 · AA |
25 | 41→42 | 45→50 | 52→50 | 36 | .206/.257/.333 | .128 | .294 | 13 | 13 | 34% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .203/.250/.330 | .127 | .320 | 14 | 16 | 39% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .157/.192/.303 | .146 | .247 | 21 | 22 | 46% | 4% | 24 | -0.9 |
|
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA |
26 | 38→42 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 39 | .187/.250/.294 | .107 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.285/.328 | .127 | .324 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .191/.281/.316 | .125 | .300 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2010 · A |
26 | 45 | 41→40 | 50 | 48 | .218/.287/.315 | .097 | .268 | 8 | 10 | 21% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.275/.296 | .081 | .278 | 6 | 12 | 23% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .224/.295/.297 | .072 | .285 | 4 | 12 | 21% | 7% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA |
25 | 40→39 | 46→50 | 50 | 41 | .201/.262/.333 | .132 | .280 | 13 | 11 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .212/.276/.351 | .139 | .302 | 14 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .234/.302/.369 | .135 | .310 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
●Trei Cruz 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→48 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 51 | .184/.279/.284 | .100 | .274 | 8 | 13 | 33% | 12% | 58 | -1.2 | .204/.284/.322 | .118 | .291 | 11 | 10 | 31% | 10% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.296/.342 | .128 | .296 | 12 | 11 | 30% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jose Lozada 2012 · A |
26 | 44 | 41→45 | 43→45 | 40 | .212/.262/.316 | .104 | .275 | 7 | 6 | 25% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .220/.275/.307 | .087 | .289 | 7 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .242/.292/.278 | .037 | .324 | 2 | 12 | 24% | 6% | 58 | -0.4 |
|
✕Bradley Suttle 2011 · A |
25 | 45→47 | 43→50 | 51→45 | 40 | .218/.270/.337 | .119 | .309 | 10 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .204/.264/.331 | .127 | .310 | 12 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .171/.239/.315 | .144 | .258 | 15 | 5 | 38% | 7% | 47 | -1.2 |
|
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A |
26 | 41 | 40→50 | 48→50 | 40 | .198/.268/.290 | .091 | .265 | 8 | 6 | 27% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .206/.275/.334 | .128 | .266 | 13 | 10 | 27% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .174/.249/.322 | .148 | .213 | 16 | 10 | 26% | 3% | 56 | -0.5 |