Tyler Baca — OGILVIE

Tyler BacaOF FCL Nationals

Age 26 S/L 5'9" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .270 / .277

PA76

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	50	42	9	1	0	0	5	13	2	0	0	214	327	238	565	24	300	26	10	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	50	39	10	1	0	0	8	9	2	0	0	256	408	282	690	26	323	18	16	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	64	57	13	2	1	0	5	20	2	1	0	228	312	298	611	70	351	31	8	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	64	54	14	2	1	0	8	15	2	1	0	259	375	333	708	74	359	23	12	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	27	25	5	0	0	0	2	10	0	1	0	200	259	200	459		333	37	7	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	27	23	6	0	0	0	4	7	0	1	0	261	370	261	631		375	26	15	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	WSH	—	76	69	14	2	0	1	6	23	1	1	0	203	276	275	552	72	290	30	8	254	52	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	WSH	26%	117	105	21	3	1	1	9	35	2	1	0	200	276	276	552	76	290	30	8	261	58	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	28	MLB	WSH	39%	208	187	39	6	1	3	16	62	3	2	1	209	282	299	581	91	290	30	8	265	61	-9	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.5
2027	27	MLB	WSH	26%	30	28	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	179	233	214	448	36	290	30	7	251	50	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	WSH	39%	82	75	14	2	0	1	6	24	1	1	0	187	256	253	509	67	290	29	7	255	53	-4	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	112	103	19	3	0	1	8	33	1	1	0	184	250	243	493	58	261	29	7	254	53	-6	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	110	17	0	6	46	192	6	6	0	184	249	242	492	59	260	30	7	254	53	-35	+1	-2	-4	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	542	485	101	14	3	5	43	163	10	6	1	208	286	280	567	72	300	30	8	258	55	-27	+1	-1	-3	+15	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	122	17	4	6	52	195	12	7	1	210	288	284	572	74	301	30	8	258	55	-33	+1	-1	-4	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	50	39	10	1	0	8	9	2	0	256	408	282	690	26	323	18	16	330	110	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	64	54	14	2	1	8	15	2	1	259	375	333	708	74	359	23	12	331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	25	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	27	23	6	0	0	4	7	0	1	261	370	261	631		375	26	15	304	91	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Baca (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	200/270/277	77	290	1	1	31%	7%	52	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chase Simpson 2017 · A	25	39→37	43→45	51→45	44	194/265/308	114	274	9	5	31%	8%	58	-1.2	194/252/309	115	293	11	7	35%	6%	52	-1.6	126/167/239	113	192	13	3	42%	4%	-5	-1.3
✕Micah Gibbs 2014 · A	26	40	38→30	46→45	46	188/276/262	74	291	6	6	34%	10%	51	-1.7	204/262/298	94	286	7	7	29%	7%	53	-1.5	197/246/290	93	262	7	5	26%	6%	42	-0.5
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Jerome Pena 2014 · A	25	39→34	38→40	46→45	40	190/248/268	78	283	6	8	34%	7%	40	-2.4	204/260/305	101	326	8	8	37%	7%	54	-1.4	193/255/321	127	323	12	7	41%	7%	53	-0.5
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	40	39→50	48→50	39	196/264/283	86	269	7	6	29%	5%	52	-1.6	206/275/335	129	269	13	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3	170/246/316	147	208	17	10	27%	3%	53	-0.5
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→60	36	176/240/269	93	284	8	11	39%	6%	37	-2.6	186/269/308	122	285	12	21	36%	9%	60	-1.0	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Kenneth Williams 2012 · AA	26	42	39→45	42→45	38	204/249/293	90	287	6	5	30%	5%	46	-2.0	226/277/349	123	299	10	8	26%	6%	72	-0.2	243/293/397	153	309	12	8	24%	6%	89	+0.5
✕Matt Winaker 2021 · A	25	37→38	41→45	46→45	42	183/263/283	100	256	8	7	30%	7%	52	-1.6	195/287/282	87	269	7	6	28%	8%	62	-0.9	175/279/254	79	240	7	3	27%	9%	50	-0.7
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	31	41→40	49→45	40	165/225/253	88	235	9	5	33%	7%	26	-3.4	191/259/280	89	260	8	8	28%	8%	48	-1.9	174/253/251	76	228	6	7	25%	9%	34	-1.1
✕Jose Lozada 2012 · A	26	43	41→45	44→45	41	210/263/317	107	276	8	7	26%	5%	59	-1.1	220/275/304	84	290	7	7	25%	5%	60	-1.0	239/290/277	38	321	2	12	24%	6%	56	-0.4
✕Reece Hampton 2021 · A	25	45	39→40	51→50	43	215/271/305	90	294	5	11	27%	6%	58	-1.2	190/258/297	107	332	9	20	42%	8%	52	-1.6	106/192/212	105	199	11	39	49%	9%	1	-1.4
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	35→37	37→40	43→45	42	172/248/244	72	250	5	8	31%	7%	35	-2.8	192/256/268	76	294	6	7	34%	7%	43	-2.2	166/232/217	51	261	3	3	35%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Myles Schroder 2013 · A	25	42→46	39→45	50	38	202/251/291	89	292	6	10	32%	5%	46	-2.0	224/266/343	119	302	11	13	28%	4%	66	-0.6	223/264/341	117	292	11	14	27%	4%	62	-0.6
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA	26	40	41→45	49→50	40	187/263/280	92	313	9	8	40%	8%	50	-1.7	191/281/309	118	321	13	13	41%	10%	66	-0.6	177/276/304	128	288	15	14	40%	11%	59	-0.6
✕Jan Vázquez 2017 · AA	26	44	38→40	46→45	44	207/280/288	80	283	5	10	27%	7%	59	-1.1	218/292/320	102	294	9	7	27%	7%	72	-0.2	211/291/309	99	286	10	3	28%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→24	41→55	45→50	34	169/233/260	91	279	9	6	41%	6%	32	-3.0	199/256/319	120	289	11	10	34%	5%	57	-1.2	200/252/336	136	277	13	11	32%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40→45	44→45	42	186/257/276	90	290	8	6	36%	8%	46	-2.0	215/267/333	118	308	11	6	32%	6%	65	-0.7	227/273/366	140	303	15	2	29%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Scott Hurst 2021 · AA	25	41→31	40	44→50	41	200/257/288	88	290	8	6	32%	7%	48	-1.9	201/267/295	94	294	9	15	32%	8%	55	-1.4	197/269/290	93	279	10	17	31%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Jeff Kunkel 2009 · AA	26	42	36→40	45→30	38	201/241/267	66	272	4	5	27%	4%	35	-2.8	204/254/294	90	272	8	4	27%	5%	49	-1.8	191/244/275	84	253	9	1	27%	5%	37	-0.8