Brendan Donovan

3B Seattle Mariners

Age 30 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs MLB K +7%HR -5% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

Overview

MLB40-MANArb-2FA 2029

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	27	MLBSTL	652	.278/.345/.417	14	5	117	2.1
2025	28	MLBSTL	515	.287/.356/.422	10	3	118	2.4
2026	29	MLBSEA	159	.277/.373/.409	3	1	127	0.6
2027PROJ	30	MLBSEA	390	.277/.347/.420	9	3	120	1.5
2028PROJ	31	MLBSEA	375	.272/.342/.409	8	1	115	1.0
2029PROJ	32	MLBSEA	356	.265/.334/.394	7	1	109	0.6

Last 3 seasons WAR 5.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 3.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2028Service4.000First FA2029

2027Arb-2$6M2028Arb-3$6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

xwOBA77

Avg EV45

Barrel%37

Bat Spd23

CompsJosh Bard (age 30) · J.P. Crawford (age 29) · John Baker (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 90120vR 131

AVG/OBP/SLG.277 / .347 / .420

PA390

HR9

K%14

BB%8

BABIP304

ISO140

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

904.9%

xAVG

780.274

POWER45

Barrel%

376.4

Avg EV

4588.7

Bat Spd

2368.5

EYE60

Chase%

9023.9%

SPEED45

Sprint

1325.7

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1238 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

384

854

—

wRC+

136

▶▶R

wOBA

283

369

▶▶R

ISO

090

167

▶▶R

BABIP

278

322

▶R

14.6%

12.2%

▶▶R

BB%

6.3%

8.3%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$14M	+$8M
2028	Arb-3	$6M	+1.0	$7M	+$2M
Totals		$12M		$22M	+$10M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	22	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	402	107	26	3	8	63	91	11	4	2	266	380	405	786	139	322	19	13	355	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	131	111	32	5	0	6	15	23	4	4	2	288	392	495	888	207	313	18	11	392	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	219	185	59	10	1	4	25	39	6	8	5	319	417	449	865	130	379	18	11	386	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	109	95	28	6	0	2	10	15	4	7	1	295	385	421	806	126	333	14	9	366	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	64	52	16	5	0	2	10	8	1	2	1	308	429	519	948	212	326	12	16	413	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	468	391	110	21	1	5	60	70	14	2	3	281	396	379	774	97	330	15	13	355	127	+15	-1	-2	+2	+10	2.4
2022	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	65	57	17	3	0	1	8	8	0	0	0	298	385	404	788	105	333	12	12	358	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	371	327	93	10	1	11	33	53	9	5	1	284	366	422	788	138	311	14	9	354	126	+12	+1	-4	+1	+8	1.8
2024	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	652	587	163	34	3	14	47	81	13	5	5	278	345	417	762	140	300	12	7	339	117	+13	-1	+1	-7	+14	2.1
2025	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	515	460	132	32	0	10	42	67	7	3	3	287	356	422	777	135	315	13	8	345	118	+11	-1	+0	+2	+11	2.4
2026	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	159	137	38	7	1	3	15	23	6	1	1	277	373	409	782	131	312	14	9	353	127	+5	-0	-3	+1	+3	0.6
2026	29	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	17	17	3	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	176	176	353	529	176	154	18	0	229	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	23	21	2	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	95	136	95	232		118	22	0	111	-52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2165	1902	536	104	6	43	197	294	49	16	13	282	364	411	775	129	312	14	9	348	121	+55	-2	-8	-1	+47	9.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	22	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	425	90	19	3	6	40	120	11	4	2	212	296	313	609	101	267	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	131	116	29	4	0	5	10	29	4	4	2	250	331	414	745	164	283	22	8	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	219	194	54	8	1	3	16	49	6	8	5	278	352	376	728	98	340	22	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	109	98	26	5	0	2	7	20	4	7	1	265	339	378	717	112	313	18	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	468	392	109	20	1	5	59	70	14	2	3	278	391	372	764	94	330	15	13	355	127	+15	-1	-2	+2	+10	2.4
2022	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	65	60	16	3	0	1	5	10	0	0	0	267	323	367	690	100	302	15	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	371	329	94	10	1	12	31	53	9	5	1	286	363	432	795	146	311	14	8	355	126	+12	+1	-4	+1	+8	1.8
2024	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	652	587	163	33	3	15	47	81	13	5	5	278	345	421	765	143	300	12	7	341	117	+13	-1	+1	-7	+14	2.1
2025	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	515	463	132	31	0	11	39	67	7	3	3	285	350	423	773	138	315	13	8	342	118	+11	-1	+0	+2	+11	2.4
2026	29	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	159	137	38	7	1	3	15	23	6	1	1	277	373	409	782	131	312	14	9	356	127	+5	-0	-3	+1	+3	0.6
2026	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	17	17	3	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	176	176	353	529	176	137	24	0	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	23	21	2	0	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	95	136	95	232		100	30	0	91	-52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	425	90	19	3	6	40	120	11	4	2	212	296	313	609	101	277	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	402	107	26	3	8	63	91	11	4	2	266	380	405	786	139	322	19	13	355	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	523	465	123	20	1	11	38	112	15	21	9	265	340	383	723	118	323	21	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	4 teams	—	523	443	135	26	1	14	60	85	15	21	9	305	405	463	868	158	347	16	11	386	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	533	452	125	23	1	6	64	80	14	2	3	277	383	372	755	95	323	15	12	348	121	+14	-1	-2	+2	+12	2.4
2022	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	533	448	127	24	1	6	68	78	14	2	3	283	394	382	776	98	331	15	13	356	121	+14	-1	-2	+2	+12	2.4
2023	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	371	329	94	10	1	12	31	53	9	5	1	286	363	432	795	146	309	14	8	355	126	+12	+1	-4	+1	+8	1.8
2023	26	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	371	327	93	10	1	11	33	53	9	5	1	284	366	422	788	138	311	14	9	354	126	+12	+1	-4	+1	+8	1.8
2024	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	652	587	163	33	3	15	47	81	13	5	5	278	345	421	765	143	298	12	7	341	117	+13	-1	+1	-7	+14	2.1
2024	27	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	652	587	163	34	3	14	47	81	13	5	5	278	345	417	762	140	300	12	7	339	117	+13	-1	+1	-7	+14	2.1
2025	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	515	463	132	31	0	11	39	67	7	3	3	285	350	423	773	138	311	13	8	342	118	+11	-1	+0	+2	+11	2.4
2025	28	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	515	460	132	32	0	10	42	67	7	3	3	287	356	422	777	135	315	13	8	345	118	+11	-1	+0	+2	+11	2.4
2026	29	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	199	175	43	7	1	4	15	33	7	1	1	246	330	366	696	120	279	17	8	309	96	-1	-0	-3	+1	+4	0.1
2026	29	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	199	175	43	7	1	4	15	31	7	1	1	246	330	366	696	120	275	16	8	315	96	-1	-0	-3	+1	+4	0.1
2019	22	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	426	90	19	3	6	40	120	11	4	2	211	296	312	608	101	267	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	523	465	123	20	1	11	38	112	15	21	9	265	340	383	723	118	317	21	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	533	450	125	23	1	6	64	80	14	2	3	278	383	373	756	96	327	15	12	348	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	371	328	94	10	1	12	31	53	9	5	1	287	363	433	796	146	311	14	8	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	652	587	163	33	3	15	47	81	13	5	5	278	345	421	765	143	300	12	7	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	515	464	132	31	0	11	39	67	7	3	3	284	350	422	772	138	315	13	8	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	199	175	43	7	1	4	15	33	7	1	1	246	330	366	696	120	273	17	8	309	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	652	587	163	33	3	15	47	81	13	5	5	278	345	421	765	143	300	12	7	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	515	464	132	31	0	11	39	67	7	3	3	284	350	422	772	138	315	13	8	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	199	175	43	7	1	4	15	33	7	1	1	246	330	366	696	120	273	17	8	309	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	390	349	97	20	1	9	30	56	8	3	1	280	350	426	776	146	307	14	8	345	120	+9	+0	-4	+1	+8	1.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	390	349	96	20	1	9	30	56	8	3	1	277	347	420	768	143	304	14	8	342	120	+9	+0	-4	+1	+8	1.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	375	337	93	19	1	9	28	55	7	1	1	275	344	415	759	140	304	15	7	338	115	+7	-0	-7	+1	+8	1.0
2029	32	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	356	320	86	17	1	8	26	54	7	1	0	268	337	400	736	132	299	15	7	329	109	+4	+0	-7	+1	+8	0.6
2030	33	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	326	293	76	15	1	6	24	51	6	0	0	259	327	381	708	122	292	16	7	318	101	+0	+0	-8	+1	+7	0.1
2031	34	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	282	255	64	12	1	5	20	46	5	0	0	249	316	359	675	110	284	16	7	304	92	-3	+0	-8	+1	+6	-0.3
2028	31	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	375	337	91	19	1	8	28	55	7	1	1	272	342	409	751	137	301	15	7	335	115	+7	-0	-7	+1	+8	1.0
2029	32	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	356	320	85	17	1	7	26	54	7	1	0	265	334	394	729	129	296	15	7	326	109	+4	+0	-7	+1	+8	0.6
2030	33	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	326	293	76	15	1	6	24	51	6	0	0	257	325	376	701	119	290	16	7	315	101	+0	+0	-8	+1	+7	0.1
2031	34	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	282	255	64	12	1	5	20	46	5	0	0	247	314	354	668	108	281	16	7	301	92	-3	+0	-8	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3504	3107	852	167	10	69	295	500	74	18	14	274	351	401	752	127	306	14	8	337	108	+64	-2	-37	+4	+76	10.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	158	31	2	13	55	93	14	3	3	274	352	403	755	128	306	14	8	337	108	+12	-0	-7	+1	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5002	4450	1186	226	15	102	402	808	109	46	26	267	342	393	735	126	303	16	8	328	108	+73	-2	-41	+5	+84	12.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	154	29	2	13	52	105	14	6	3	266	341	391	732	125	304	16	8	328	108	+12	-0	-7	+1	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Carlos Guillen'98-'11 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,277 PA	7.9	5,277	124	74	274*	346*	434*	+25	-12	26.7	26.1
/162	664	16	9	+3.2	-1.5	3.4	pk7: 25
#2Bill Mueller'96-'06 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,886 PA	7.4	4,886	85	20	279*	359*	413*	+17	-7	23.9	21.9
/162	664	12	3	+2.3	-1.0	3.2	pk7: 20
#3David Freeselast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,195 PA	6.3	4,195	112	8	277	351	423	+11	+7	23.1	21.0
/162	664	18	1	+1.7	+1.1	3.7	pk7: 19
#4Neil Walkerlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,071 PA	7.6	5,071	149	31	268	339	429	+1	-35	20.5	19.8
/162	664	20	4	+0.2	-4.6	2.7	pk7: 19
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	5.9	3,894	80	21	277	349	407	+14	-18	18.4	17.3
/162	664	14	4	+2.4	-3.0	3.1	pk7: 16
#5Scooter Gennettlast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,911 PA	4.4	2,911	87	24	286	327	449	+10	-11	13.9	13.9
/162	664	20	5	+2.4	-2.4	3.2	pk7: 14
#6Rich Rollins'61-'70 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,675 PA	5.5	3,675	77	17	275*	333*	419*	+13	-1	12.7	12.7
/162	664	14	3	+2.4	-0.1	2.3	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brendan Donovan (OGILVIE)	30	60	45	45	60	277/347/422	145	307	9	3	14%	8%	120	+1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Bard 2008 · MLB	30	58→59	45→50	43→30	57	280/349/417	136	312	11	3	14%	10%	118	+2.6	231/295/350	119	266	10	3	17%	8%	83	+0.1	225/266/336	111	269	11	0	21%	5%	67	-0.4
●J.P. Crawford 2024 · MLB	29	54→57	46→45	42→50	60	261/356/399	138	300	13	3	17%	12%	117	+2.6	242/338/373	131	289	14	6	20%	12%	105	+1.7	233/331/352	119	279	14	5	20%	12%	98	+1.1
✕John Baker 2011 · MLB	30	53→59	45	44→45	51	259/330/389	131	314	12	3	21%	9%	105	+1.7	227/302/319	92	292	7	6	23%	9%	79	-0.2	193/263/235	42	263	3	2	26%	8%	45	-1.0
●David DeJesus 2010 · MLB	30	57→62	46→50	44→45	53	279/345/421	142	307	12	8	13%	8%	118	+2.6	273/344/412	139	308	12	6	15%	9%	115	+2.4	265/345/399	134	303	10	6	15%	9%	113	+1.9
✕Skip Schumaker 2010 · MLB	30	61→64	41→45	45→50	54	294/349/398	103	325	7	5	12%	8%	113	+2.3	272/329/358	86	309	6	5	13%	8%	97	+1.1	269/328/343	74	315	3	2	15%	7%	94	+0.5
●Todd Walker 2004 · MLB	31	58→60	46→55	41→45	53	284/336/427	143	301	12	4	11%	7%	115	+2.4	276/335/432	156	289	15	3	10%	8%	116	+2.5	277/341/429	153	287	15	1	10%	8%	119	+2.1
✕John Jaso 2014 · MLB	30	54→57	47→50	48→45	64	261/366/404	143	297	13	7	16%	14%	122	+2.9	266/350/423	157	310	14	5	18%	10%	120	+2.8	268/350/427	159	311	14	2	18%	10%	121	+1.6
✕Dioner Navarro 2015 · MLB	31	54→61	49→50	46→45	49	272/320/411	139	294	17	4	15%	6%	106	+1.8	239/296/370	131	274	15	4	18%	7%	88	+0.4	209/274/317	109	246	12	1	20%	8%	68	-0.4
●Jed Lowrie 2014 · MLB	30	54→58	50→55	48→40	52	270/330/434	164	294	17	3	15%	8%	115	+2.4	250/314/378	128	282	12	2	15%	8%	97	+1.1	264/345/439	175	302	18	0	18%	11%	123	+3.0
✕Adam Frazier 2022 · MLB	30	59→68	43→50	45→50	52	286/345/410	123	314	9	8	12%	7%	115	+2.4	246/309/356	110	276	9	11	14%	7%	89	+0.5	238/299/355	118	272	12	11	17%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Johnny Estrada 2005 · MLB	29	60→63	45	46→30	50	291/348/421	130	320	11	3	13%	6%	119	+2.7	275/309/402	127	294	11	2	11%	4%	100	+1.3	273/296/395	122	287	12	0	9%	2%	94	+0.6
✕Edwards Guzman 2007 · AAA	30	59→62	46→45	40	52	292/333/419	127	292	15	6	7%	6%	112	+2.2	269/321/371	102	279	10	5	8%	7%	97	+1.1	273/329/353	80	283	7	1	6%	7%	96	+0.5
✕Mark Kotsay 2007 · MLB	31	57→63	45→50	43→50	53	278/329/407	129	291	11	7	10%	7%	108	+1.9	256/307/368	112	275	8	6	10%	7%	91	+0.7	259/309/379	120	276	10	4	10%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Felipe Lopez 2010 · MLB	30	60→64	42→55	44→55	54	286/350/400	114	329	8	9	15%	9%	114	+2.4	249/312/362	113	298	11	8	19%	8%	92	+0.7	227/289/328	102	273	11	7	21%	8%	75	-0.3
●Jake Cronenworth 2023 · MLB	29	50→60	50→55	48→50	53	251/331/419	168	282	16	4	17%	9%	112	+2.2	241/327/392	151	281	14	6	19%	10%	105	+1.7	238/333/381	143	281	13	5	19%	10%	105	+1.6
✕Kevin Plawecki 2022 · MLB	31	54→59	44→45	47→30	50	264/327/385	121	301	12	5	16%	7%	103	+1.5	233/294/335	102	278	9	3	19%	7%	79	-0.2	216/275/308	92	258	8	0	19%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Tommy La Stella 2020 · MLB	31	53→55	51→55	41→50	53	269/328/420	151	276	20	3	12%	8%	112	+2.2	260/326/415	155	269	17	3	11%	9%	109	+2.0	252/322/396	144	266	13	1	11%	9%	104	+0.7
●Ronnie Belliard 2005 · MLB	30	56→58	45→50	44→45	54	269/332/404	134	303	11	5	15%	8%	109	+2.0	275/324/420	145	302	14	4	14%	7%	110	+2.1	278/332/420	143	307	14	3	14%	7%	113	+1.9
✕Yangervis Solarte 2017 · MLB	30	56→63	50→55	44→45	52	278/334/439	161	294	16	2	12%	7%	118	+2.6	250/301/407	157	264	19	4	14%	6%	99	+1.2	237/288/386	149	249	19	2	14%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Derek Dietrich 2019 · MLB	30	54→59	51→55	48→40	44	267/337/435	168	329	17	3	24%	6%	119	+2.7	215/319/401	186	264	23	4	28%	8%	106	+1.8	161/280/330	169	205	21	1	32%	7%	75	-0.2

Brendan Donovan

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps