Gunnar Hoglund
P
Athletics
+0.0
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 220 lbs
MLB
ERA5.59
FIP5.06
xFIP4.78
SIERA4.87
K%20.0%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%12.0%
IP81
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
OFP—45
STUF5050
CTRL5055
CMD5555
K†4550
FB Velo
p3793.6
Whiff%
p2722.0%
K%
p1116.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.408
SI (17%)
CT-0.6 (7%)
FB-2.0 (52%)
SL-2.2 (17%)
CH-3.5 (23%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Stockton Ports | 3 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 16 | 16 | 61 | 258 | 46 | 12 | 9 | 10.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.05 | 6.56 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 24 | 23 | 131 | 525 | 119 | 37 | 17 | 18.7% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.44 | 4.64 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Athletics | 12 | 12 | 62 | 254 | 53 | 18 | 13 | 19.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.50 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 24 | — | 24 | 102 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 19.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.76 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 84 | 355 | 70 | 26 | 16 | 19.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.35 | 5.15 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 85 | 358 | 71 | 26 | 15 | 19.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.17 | 5.10 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 83 | 350 | 68 | 26 | 15 | 19.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.13 | 5.14 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 80 | 339 | 64 | 26 | 15 | 18.9% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 5.16 | 5.21 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 14 | 14 | 78 | 328 | 67 | 23 | 14 | 20.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.09 | 5.04 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 14 | 14 | 74 | 315 | 62 | 22 | 14 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.13 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 13 | 13 | 71 | 300 | 57 | 22 | 14 | 19.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.22 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 68 | 285 | 52 | 21 | 13 | 18.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.34 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 64 | 269 | 47 | 21 | 13 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.48 | 5.57 | -0.4 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 60 | — | 60 | 251 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 16.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.63 | 5.74 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 55 | 54 | 262 | 1070 | 182 | 75 | 51 | 17.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.20 | 5.16 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 41 | 200 | 818 | 139 | 57 | 39 | 17.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.20 | 5.16 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gunnar Hoglund (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.24 | 19.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | — | 5.13 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 252 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .243 | 3.46 | 24.8% | 17.1% | 57 | -1.00 | 3.46 | 198 | 81 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.32 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | .310 | 4.30 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | -0.02 | 3.45 | 161 | 80 |
| Alex Phillips R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.73 | 20.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | .302 | 4.31 | 30.2% | 17.3% | 22 | -0.42 | 3.26 | 139 | 79 |
| John Brebbia R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.15 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | .346 | 3.23 | 27.6% | 21.4% | 215 | -0.92 | 2.96 | 523 | 79 |
| Henderson Alvarez R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.68 | 15.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | .306 | 5.21 | 12.4% | 4.7% | 121 | +0.53 | 3.67 | 176 | 78 |
| Zach Bryant R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .313 | 4.56 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 48 | -0.30 | 4.56 | 158 | 77 |
| Alex Cobb R 2028 · 5.17 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.17 | 14.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | .366 | 4.43 | 16.3% | 10.7% | 344 | -0.74 | 2.72 | 844 | 77 |
| Vinny Nittoli R 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.66 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 3.8% | .286 | 4.20 | 19.0% | 12.1% | 61 | -0.46 | 3.68 | 331 | 77 |
| Boby Johnson R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 4.0% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 145 | 77 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2029 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 77 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.33 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .282 | 3.20 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -1.13 | 1.79 | 618 | 76 |
| Luis De La O R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.47 | 15.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | .291 | 3.71 | 16.6% | 11.1% | 81 | -0.76 | 3.22 | 145 | 76 |
| Jason Ruffcorn R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.14 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .255 | 4.04 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 66 | -0.10 | 4.04 | 214 | 76 |
| Jason Adam R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.11 | 25.9% | 11.0% | 5.1% | .241 | 3.31 | 29.4% | 18.8% | 60 | -1.80 | 2.40 | 362 | 75 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.45 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.78 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.33 | 2.65 | 315 | 75 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.45 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .256 | 3.82 | 23.0% | 13.9% | 56 | -0.63 | 2.68 | 149 | 75 |
| Chris Mauloni R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.46 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 4.7% | .223 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.81 | 129 | 75 |
| Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .293 | 4.50 | 12.8% | -1.5% | 34 | -0.43 | 1.27 | 164 | 75 |
| Matt Festa R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.68 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .246 | 4.05 | 29.9% | 23.0% | 75 | -0.63 | 2.56 | 414 | 75 |
| Nick Rumbelow R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 25.3% | 8.9% | 4.5% | .281 | 5.60 | 15.5% | 4.3% | 32 | +1.07 | 2.03 | 164 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.