Terrin Vavra

LF Norfolk Tides

Age 30 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

AAAArb-3FA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	26	MLBBAL	56	.245/.315/.245	0	1	58	-0.4
2024	27	AAABAL	237	.233/.338/.347	4	2	68	—	.213/.291/.303
2024	27	A+Aberdeen Iron…	25	.292/.320/.375	0	0	31	—	.208/.240/.250
2025	28	AAABAL	298	.257/.349/.340	2	7	68	—	.245/.308/.321
2027PROJ10% MLB	30	MLBBAL	25	.230/.297/.321	0	0	74	-0.1
2028PROJ27% MLB	31	MLBBAL	91	.226/.294/.315	1	1	71	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.4 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service5.000First FA2028

2027Arb-3$0.6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022-2025

Speed60

xwOBA59

Chase%49

Whiff%45

Avg EV19

Barrel%10

CompsMitch Canham (age 29) · Jose Salazar (age 29) · Frank Moore (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .297 / .321

PA25

HR0

K%24

BB%8

BABIP300

ISO43

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2025

CONTACT50

Whiff%

4511.5%

xAVG

650.263

POWER35

Barrel%

102.7

Avg EV

1986.7

Bat Spd

1065.2

EYE55

Chase%

4931.9%

SPEED50

Sprint

6027.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2022

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	22	A	Asheville Tourists	—	453	374	119	32	1	10	62	62	2	18	9	318	418	489	907	171	350	14	14	391	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	184	149	37	10	1	5	29	42	5	6	1	248	388	430	818	181	314	23	16	368	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	24	21	8	2	1	0	3	6	0	0	1	381	458	571	1.030	190	533	25	12	450	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	103	89	23	2	1	1	12	19	0	0	1	258	347	337	684	79	310	18	12	309	93	-1	-0	-0	+1	+2	0.2
2022	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	208	173	56	14	1	2	28	36	6	5	1	324	435	451	886	127	400	17	13	399	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	21	16	3	3	0	0	4	3	0	1	0	188	350	375	725	188	214	14	19	316	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	56	49	12	0	0	0	5	12	0	1	0	245	315	245	560		324	21	9	256	58	-3	+0	-2	-1	+1	-0.4
2023	26	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	68	63	21	4	1	2	3	13	2	2	1	333	382	524	906	190	396	19	4	399	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	237	202	47	5	3	4	29	62	3	2	3	233	338	347	684	114	314	26	12	311	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	25	24	7	2	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	292	320	375	695	83	389	24	4	312	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	298	253	65	13	1	2	34	58	2	7	1	257	349	340	689	83	325	19	11	309	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	159	138	35	2	1	1	17	31	0	1	1	254	335	304	640	51	315	19	11	290	83	-3	-0	-2	-0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	22	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	453	401	96	22	1	7	35	86	2	18	9	239	304	352	655	112	268	19	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	184	159	35	9	1	3	19	52	5	6	1	220	322	346	668	126	307	28	10	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	24	22	7	2	1	0	2	8	0	0	1	318	375	500	875	182	450	33	8	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	103	89	23	2	1	1	12	19	0	0	1	258	347	337	684	79	310	18	12	306	93	-1	-0	-0	+1	+2	0.2
2022	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	208	182	58	13	1	2	19	42	6	5	1	319	401	434	835	115	404	20	9	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	21	18	3	3	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	167	250	333	583	167	173	19	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	56	49	12	0	0	0	5	12	0	1	0	245	315	245	560		324	21	9	254	58	-3	+0	-2	-1	+1	-0.4
2023	26	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	68	64	17	3	1	1	2	16	2	2	1	266	309	391	699	125	359	24	3	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	237	211	45	4	3	3	20	69	3	2	3	213	291	303	594	90	302	29	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	25	24	5	1	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	208	240	250	490	42	306	32	4	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	298	265	65	12	1	2	22	72	2	7	1	245	308	321	629	75	312	24	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	453	401	96	22	1	7	35	86	2	18	9	239	304	352	655	112	281	19	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	453	374	119	32	1	10	62	62	2	18	9	318	418	489	907	171	350	14	14	391	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	208	181	42	11	2	3	21	60	5	6	2	232	329	365	693	133	331	29	10	303	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	208	170	45	12	2	5	32	48	5	6	2	265	396	447	843	182	342	23	15	378	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	332	288	83	17	2	3	34	65	6	6	2	288	375	392	767	104	359	20	10	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	332	278	82	19	2	3	44	58	6	6	2	295	402	410	813	115	359	17	13	366	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	124	113	29	3	1	1	7	28	2	3	1	257	311	327	639	71	333	23	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	124	112	33	4	1	2	8	25	2	3	1	295	352	402	754	107	365	20	6	335	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	262	235	51	6	3	3	21	77	3	2	3	217	290	306	596	89	308	29	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	262	226	54	7	3	4	30	68	3	2	3	239	336	350	685	111	323	26	11	311	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	298	265	65	12	1	2	22	72	2	7	1	245	308	321	629	75	328	24	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	—	298	253	65	13	1	2	34	58	2	7	1	257	349	340	689	83	325	19	11	309	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	453	413	96	22	1	7	35	86	2	18	9	232	304	341	645	109	268	19	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	208	180	42	11	2	3	21	60	5	6	2	233	329	367	695	133	324	29	10	303	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	332	289	83	17	2	3	34	65	6	6	2	287	375	391	766	104	360	20	10	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	124	114	29	3	1	1	7	28	2	3	1	254	311	325	636	70	343	23	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	262	236	51	6	3	3	21	77	3	2	3	216	290	305	595	89	302	29	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	298	272	65	12	1	2	22	72	2	7	1	239	308	312	620	74	312	24	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	262	236	51	6	3	3	21	77	3	2	3	216	290	305	595	89	302	29	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	298	272	65	12	1	2	22	72	2	7	1	239	308	312	620	74	312	24	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	BAL	10%	348	315	70	13	2	3	27	85	3	6	2	226	294	315	609	88	296	24	8	277	74	-11	+0	-0	-4	+8	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	BAL	10%	25	23	5	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	230	297	321	618	91	300	24	8	281	74	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	BAL	27%	333	301	68	13	2	3	26	82	3	3	1	223	291	310	600	87	292	25	8	273	71	-12	+0	-3	-4	+7	-1.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	BAL	27%	91	83	19	4	0	1	7	22	1	1	0	226	294	315	609	89	296	24	8	277	71	-3	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	250	221	54	6	1	2	24	53	1	2	1	244	321	308	629	63	310	21	10	285	81	-6	+0	-3	-1	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	141	16	3	5	62	138	3	5	3	245	322	310	631	64	311	21	10	285	81	-17	+0	-7	-3	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2260	2010	485	94	13	24	186	531	25	49	20	241	313	337	650	96	313	23	8	288	81	-23	+0	-5	-6	+16	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	140	27	4	7	53	153	7	14	6	242	313	339	652	97	314	24	8	288	81	-20	+0	-4	-6	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Max Venable'79-'91 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	18	64	238*	301*	371*	-11	-1	0.9	1.9
/162	664	8	27	-4.6	-0.3	0.4	pk7: 3
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3So Taguchi'02-'09 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,524 PA	2.3	1,524	19	39	268*	320*	372*	-8	-8	0.9	1.2
/162	664	8	17	-3.7	-3.3	0.4	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Alex Presley'10-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,502 PA	2.3	1,502	29	30	265*	309*	397*	-12	-10	0.6	0.9
/162	664	13	13	-5.3	-4.6	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	275	2	2	239	311	305	-2	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	5	6	-4.0	-2.6	-0.3	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Terrin Vavra (OGILVIE)	30	50	35	50	55	224/292/312	88	296	2	4	24%	8%	74	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mitch Canham 2014 · AAA	29	46→49	38→40	49→45	48	216/280/304	88	276	4	12	22%	8%	66	-1.1	216/272/311	95	273	7	13	22%	7%	65	-1.2	179/219/223	45	218	4	12	20%	5%	23	-0.8
✕Jose Salazar 2013 · AAA	29	50	39→40	49→45	42	238/273/329	91	292	6	9	21%	5%	69	-0.9	224/261/300	76	287	5	6	23%	5%	57	-1.8	217/250/265	48	279	3	2	22%	4%	42	-1.2
✕Frank Moore 2007 · AA	29	47→51	39→40	47→50	42	223/273/312	89	297	5	11	26%	6%	65	-1.2	217/265/316	99	293	8	8	27%	6%	63	-1.3	205/249/299	94	277	7	3	28%	6%	51	-1.0
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2014 · AAA	30	46	38→40	47→50	47	219/286/300	80	273	5	12	21%	7%	68	-1.0	211/290/281	70	262	3	12	19%	8%	66	-1.1	199/288/250	51	249	0	13	18%	9%	57	-0.8
✕Peter Mooney 2021 · AAA	30	45→50	42→40	48→45	49	217/281/324	106	261	9	10	20%	8%	72	-0.7	199/259/298	99	261	10	10	26%	7%	57	-1.8	128/186/170	42	167	5	3	27%	7%	-2	-1.5
✕Blake Davis 2014 · MLB	30	46→56	39→40	48→50	40	220/254/306	86	280	5	9	23%	4%	56	-1.9	213/250/300	87	267	6	9	22%	4%	53	-2.1	197/223/258	60	240	2	6	18%	3%	30	-1.6
✕Logan Watkins 2019 · AAA	29	47→54	37→45	47→55	45	221/279/295	74	278	4	12	22%	6%	63	-1.3	227/294/339	112	295	10	17	25%	8%	80	-0.1	219/293/321	102	284	9	28	24%	8%	73	-0.2
✕Brad Coon 2012 · AAA	29	48→58	37→40	52→60	49	227/292/305	78	287	4	16	21%	8%	71	-0.8	213/284/295	82	274	5	16	22%	9%	66	-1.1	194/271/250	57	249	3	18	21%	9%	48	-1.4
✕Sherman Johnson 2019 · AAA	29	43→49	41→45	51→50	48	207/281/310	103	276	8	12	27%	9%	69	-0.9	201/275/303	102	282	9	9	29%	9%	65	-1.2	171/260/258	86	241	8	7	30%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Christian Herrera 2012 · AAA	30	49	40	47→45	41	235/286/327	92	306	7	10	25%	5%	74	-0.6	214/268/305	91	289	7	12	27%	5%	63	-1.4	167/219/210	43	243	0	16	29%	3%	20	-0.9
✕Elliot Soto 2019 · AAA	29	47→52	38→40	50	46	224/275/307	83	280	4	8	21%	7%	65	-1.2	224/281/322	98	297	7	9	25%	7%	71	-0.8	204/268/292	88	276	6	10	27%	7%	55	-1.1
✕Matt Angle 2015 · AAA	29	45→55	39→40	53→60	41	214/273/296	82	299	6	16	29%	6%	62	-1.4	209/276/291	82	296	6	19	29%	8%	62	-1.4	186/266/225	40	272	0	33	29%	9%	42	-0.9
✕Hernan Iribarren 2015 · AAA	31	48→58	36→40	51→55	46	228/276/296	68	284	4	12	21%	6%	63	-1.4	244/283/311	67	296	4	7	18%	5%	68	-1.0	255/287/326	71	309	3	3	18%	4%	71	-0.5
✕Omar Quintanilla 2012 · MLB	30	45→55	41→45	49→45	45	219/273/321	102	275	8	8	23%	7%	68	-1.0	229/284/339	110	279	10	5	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/281/328	102	273	8	3	20%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Horacio Vasquez 2016 · AAA	30	44	38→40	48→40	40	212/255/288	76	278	6	9	26%	5%	53	-2.1	225/260/304	79	291	6	10	24%	4%	58	-1.7	238/250/270	31	305	0	6	22%	2%	44	-0.8
✕Logan Schafer 2017 · MLB	30	46→56	39→45	49→50	47	219/275/305	87	262	6	8	19%	7%	65	-1.2	223/276/316	93	270	7	9	19%	6%	68	-1.0	218/267/298	80	265	4	6	18%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Jesus Rivera 2008 · AAA	30	45→52	39→40	45→40	49	214/270/298	84	246	7	6	16%	7%	61	-1.5	241/293/331	90	266	7	5	12%	6%	77	-0.3	259/304/311	52	303	1	4	14%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Sergio Perez 2019 · AAA	29	51	38→40	47→50	45	241/289/321	80	296	4	11	20%	6%	73	-0.6	243/279/354	111	294	11	8	20%	4%	78	-0.3	261/281/357	96	309	9	2	19%	2%	79	-0.1
✕Brad Boyer 2014 · AA	30	47→57	41→45	49→50	48	225/285/324	99	280	8	14	22%	7%	73	-0.6	224/260/296	72	267	4	17	17%	4%	56	-1.9	231/254/274	43	271	0	23	15%	3%	46	-1.2
✕Rodrigo Aguirre 2014 · AAA	30	54	35→30	46→45	44	256/288/314	58	301	3	8	16%	4%	70	-0.8	251/286/338	87	283	8	8	14%	4%	76	-0.4	260/290/337	77	276	8	2	9%	4%	76	-0.2

Terrin Vavra

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps