José Geraldo

P San Antonio Missions

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	24	A+SD	28	34	4.19	4.00	22.6%	10.3%	—	K 17.4% · BB 11.8% · FIP 5.34
2024	25	MIX2 levels	35	45	4.57	2.53	29.9%	11.2%	—	K 23.4% · BB 12.8% · FIP 3.50
2025	26	AASD	38	48	3.75	4.16	22.2%	14.7%	—	K 18.0% · BB 16.1% · FIP 4.86
2027PROJ	28	MLBSD	56	59	5.53	5.53	19.1%	16.5%	-0.6
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBSD	17	18	5.48	5.54	19.3%	16.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ51% MLB	30	MLBSD	26	27	5.53	5.62	19.2%	15.8%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control30Command35

CompsGregory Infante (age 28) · Spencer Bivens (age 28) · Kevin Gryboski (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.53

FIP5.53

K%19.1%

BB%16.5%

K-BB%2.6%

Proj IP59

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD3535

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	16	0	19	80	18	7	1	0%	1.2	15.3%	10.9%	4.4%	1.7%	4.74	4.15	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	16	0	19	80	18	7	1	0%	1.2	22.5%	8.8%	13.8%	1.2%	4.74	2.99	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	17	0	23	103	27	8	1	0%	1.4	17.8%	9.7%	8.1%	1.4%	3.09	3.57	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 2	17	0	23	103	27	8	1	0%	1.4	26.2%	7.8%	18.4%	1.0%	3.09	2.37	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	32	138	34	11	3	0%	1.4	18.3%	10.9%	7.4%	3.3%	2.53	4.75	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	32	138	34	11	3	0%	1.4	24.6%	8.0%	16.7%	2.2%	2.53	3.23	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	28	0	34	146	33	15	4	0%	1.2	17.4%	11.8%	5.6%	4.0%	4.19	5.34	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	28	0	34	146	33	15	4	0%	1.2	22.6%	10.3%	12.3%	2.7%	4.19	4.00	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	45	197	59	22	2	0%	1.3	23.4%	12.8%	10.7%	1.4%	4.57	3.50	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	45	197	59	22	2	0%	1.3	23.4%	12.8%	10.7%	1.4%	4.57	3.50	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	45	197	59	22	2	0%	1.3	29.9%	11.2%	18.8%	1.0%	4.57	2.53	—
2025	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	38	0	48	225	50	33	4	0%	1.3	18.0%	16.1%	1.9%	2.2%	3.75	4.86	—
2025	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	38	0	48	225	50	33	4	0%	1.3	18.0%	16.1%	1.9%	2.2%	3.75	4.86	—
2025	26	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	38	0	48	225	50	33	4	0%	1.3	22.2%	14.7%	7.6%	1.8%	3.75	4.16	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	SD	56	0	59	249	48	41	7	0%	1.1	19.1%	16.5%	2.6%	2.9%	5.53	5.53	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SD	54	0	56	237	46	38	7	0%	1.0	19.3%	16.0%	3.3%	3.0%	5.48	5.54	-0.6
2029	30	MLB MLE	SD	50	0	53	223	43	35	7	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.8%	3.5%	3.2%	5.53	5.62	-0.6
2028	29	MLB CTX	SD	17	0	18	76	15	12	2	0%	1.1	19.3%	16.0%	3.3%	3.0%	5.48	5.54	-0.2
2029	30	MLB CTX	SD	26	0	27	114	22	18	4	0%	1.0	19.2%	15.8%	3.5%	3.2%	5.53	5.62	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		43	0	45	189	36	30	6	0%	1.0	19.3%	15.9%	3.4%	3.1%	5.51	5.21	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	134	27	0%	1.1	19.3%	15.9%	3.4%	3.1%	5.51	5.21	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		157	0	202	889	168	113	21	0%	1.3	18.9%	12.7%	6.2%	2.4%	3.83	4.41	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	0	200	880	166	111	21	0%	1.3	18.9%	12.7%	6.2%	2.4%	3.83	4.41	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
José Geraldo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.53	19.1%	16.5%	2.9%	—	5.58	19.3%	3.4%	109	+0.05	—	—	—
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	87
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	85
Kevin Gryboski R 2002 · 5.02 FIP	28	SU	5.02	13.9%	13.4%	2.5%	.263	3.83	12.0%	2.9%	126	-1.19	3.67	178	82
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	81
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	80
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	79
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	79
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	79
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	79
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	78
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	78
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	78
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	78
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	78
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	77
Stevie Branche R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	27	SU	5.67	19.3%	17.6%	3.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.23	162	77
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	77
Conor Grammes R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	18.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.303	5.60	15.3%	-11.6%	22	+1.05	4.11	171	77
Vic Black R 2015 · 5.28 FIP	27	SU	5.28	17.5%	19.3%	2.2%	.358	6.03	9.0%	-11.6%	29	+0.75	3.16	107	77
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	19.2%	16.1%	1.17	5.51
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*