Luis Peralta

P Iowa Cubs

Age 26 LHP 5'11" / 203 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX4 levels	47	0	60	0.90	1.87	37.7%	11.0%	2.0	K 31.7% · BB 12.4% · FIP 2.79
2025	24	MIX2 levels	56	0	54	9.22	6.08	23.7%	16.3%	-1.0	K 21.2% · BB 15.3% · FIP 5.54
2026	25	AAACHC	36	1	43	8.79	5.19	30.8%	20.4%	—	K 26.5% · BB 18.3% · FIP 5.19
2027PROJ	26	MLBCHC	54	0	57	5.88	5.92	22.1%	19.1%	-0.8
2028PROJ43% MLB	27	MLBCHC	23	0	24	5.77	5.80	22.2%	18.2%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	28	MLBCHC	32	0	34	5.73	5.77	22.2%	17.7%	-0.4

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025

FB Velo51

Whiff%18

K%10

xwOBA vs10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsTrey Jeans (age 26) · Fabian Williamson (age 26) · Graeme Stinson (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129137vR 146

ERA5.88

FIP5.92

K%22.1%

BB%19.1%

K-BB%3.0%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5194.6

Whiff%

p1820.8%

p1015.8%

xwOBA vs

p100.438

CU (27%)

CH (2%)

FB-9.4 (71%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 2	19	4	48	218	62	26	2	21%	2.5	19.3%	14.9%	4.4%	1.3%	5.62	4.06	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates 2	19	4	48	218	62	26	2	21%	2.5	28.4%	11.9%	16.5%	0.9%	5.62	2.68	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 1	14	6	40	163	34	16	3	43%	2.9	14.2%	12.3%	1.9%	2.6%	2.01	4.87	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates 1	14	6	40	163	34	16	3	43%	2.9	20.9%	9.8%	11.0%	1.8%	2.01	3.57	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates Gold	9	7	29	124	36	18	1	78%	3.2	19.7%	18.1%	1.6%	1.2%	3.41	4.39	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates Gold	9	7	29	124	36	18	1	78%	3.2	29.0%	14.5%	14.5%	0.8%	3.41	2.93	—
2022	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	19	18	60	283	97	44	9	95%	3.2	25.4%	18.3%	7.0%	3.7%	6.41	5.33	—
2022	21	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	19	18	60	283	97	44	9	95%	3.2	34.3%	15.5%	18.7%	3.2%	6.41	4.01	—
2023	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	23	9	53	241	67	35	4	39%	2.3	20.6%	17.1%	3.4%	2.2%	4.96	4.75	—
2023	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	23	9	53	241	67	35	4	39%	2.3	27.8%	14.5%	13.3%	1.7%	4.96	3.54	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	47	0	60	236	89	26	2	0%	1.3	31.7%	12.4%	19.2%	1.4%	0.90	2.79	+1.3
2024	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	47	0	60	236	89	26	2	0%	1.3	31.7%	12.4%	19.2%	1.4%	0.90	2.79	+1.3
2024	23	MIX RAW	4 levels	47	0	60	236	89	26	2	0%	1.3	37.7%	11.0%	26.7%	0.8%	0.90	1.87	+2.0
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	54	283	67	46	12	0%	1.0	21.2%	15.3%	5.9%	4.2%	9.22	5.54	-0.6
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	54	283	67	46	12	0%	1.0	21.2%	15.3%	5.9%	4.2%	9.22	5.54	-0.6
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	0	54	283	67	46	12	0%	1.0	23.7%	16.3%	7.4%	4.2%	9.22	6.08	-1.0
2026	25	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	36	1	43	211	65	43	7	3%	1.2	26.5%	18.3%	8.2%	3.6%	8.79	5.19	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	36	1	43	211	65	43	7	3%	1.2	26.5%	18.3%	8.2%	3.6%	8.79	5.19	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	36	1	43	211	65	43	7	3%	1.2	30.8%	20.4%	10.4%	3.3%	8.79	5.19	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			37	0	31	150	30	23	6	0%	0.8	20.0%	15.3%	4.7%	4.0%	6.03	5.88	-0.5
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CHC	54	0	57	241	53	46	8	0%	1.1	22.1%	19.1%	3.0%	3.4%	5.88	5.92	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CHC	53	0	56	236	52	43	8	0%	1.1	22.2%	18.2%	4.1%	3.5%	5.77	5.80	-0.7
2029	28	MLB MLE	CHC	52	0	54	228	51	40	8	0%	1.0	22.2%	17.7%	4.5%	3.5%	5.73	5.77	-0.7
2028	27	MLB CTX	CHC	23	0	24	101	23	18	3	0%	1.0	22.2%	18.2%	4.1%	3.5%	5.77	5.80	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	CHC	32	0	34	144	32	25	5	0%	1.1	22.2%	17.7%	4.5%	3.5%	5.73	5.77	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		92	0	89	393	84	66	14	0%	1.0	21.4%	16.9%	4.5%	3.7%	5.85	5.46	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		207	0	200	884	189	148	31	0%	1.0	21.4%	16.9%	4.5%	3.7%	5.85	5.46	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		223	45	387	1759	402	279	47	20%	1.7	22.8%	15.9%	6.9%	2.7%	5.23	4.66	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	23	200	909	208	144	24	20%	1.7	22.8%	15.9%	6.9%	2.7%	5.23	4.66	-2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Peralta (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.92	22.1%	19.1%	3.4%	—	5.79	22.2%	4.3%	110	-0.13	—	—	—
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	70
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	69
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	69
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	69
Seth Clark L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	18.9%	16.2%	3.9%	.267	4.56	17.7%	-2.7%	32	-1.10	4.23	128	68
Tyler Matzek L 2016 · 4.73 FIP	25	SU	4.73	22.2%	21.3%	1.5%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	1.60	308	67
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	67
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	67
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	67
Ben Harris L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	23.8%	19.6%	3.8%	.291	4.74	21.1%	0.9%	30	-0.92	3.06	183	67
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	67
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	67
Dante Biasi L 2023 · 6.65 FIP	25	SU	6.65	20.1%	18.4%	5.3%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	4.91	224	66
Josh D. Smith L 2016 · 5.12 FIP	26	SU	5.12	19.2%	12.8%	3.7%	.335	3.57	22.4%	11.0%	230	-1.55	3.17	335	66
Chandler Jozwiak L 2024 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	16.9%	15.3%	3.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	161	66
Cody Beckman L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	26	SU	5.27	19.3%	14.9%	3.5%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	189	66
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	66
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	66
Anderson Polanco L 2019 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	18.9%	16.3%	2.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	65
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	65

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	21.8%	17.8%	1.38	5.83
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*