Valente Bellozo
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 26
RHP
5'10" / 221 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION83 act + 66 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 120
ERA4.87
FIP5.31
K%13.5%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%5.0%
ROS IP66
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 149 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL (21%)
SI (11%)
CU (5%)
CH (18%)
CT-1.4 (24%)
FB-1.9 (32%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Astros | 14 | 8 | 52 | 196 | 42 | 16 | 0 | 57% | 3.7 | 14.6% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 1.74 | 3.16 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Astros | 14 | 8 | 52 | 196 | 42 | 16 | 0 | 57% | 3.7 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 1.74 | 2.40 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 3 | 1 | 13 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 33% | 4.3 | 15.4% | 4.5% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 2.77 | 2.37 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 3 | 1 | 13 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 33% | 4.3 | 20.8% | 3.8% | 17.0% | 0.0% | 2.77 | 1.87 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 10 | 49 | 195 | 54 | 18 | 1 | 67% | 3.2 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 0.9% | 2.59 | 3.50 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 10 | 49 | 195 | 54 | 18 | 1 | 67% | 3.2 | 27.7% | 9.2% | 18.5% | 0.5% | 2.59 | 2.26 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 16 | 110 | 473 | 106 | 32 | 23 | 62% | 4.2 | 17.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 5.55 | 4.90 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 16 | 110 | 473 | 106 | 32 | 23 | 62% | 4.2 | 22.4% | 6.8% | 15.6% | 4.9% | 5.55 | 4.76 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 26 | 135 | 583 | 116 | 44 | 25 | 96% | 5.0 | 17.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 4.14 | 5.22 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 26 | 135 | 583 | 116 | 44 | 25 | 96% | 5.0 | 19.9% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 4.14 | 4.77 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 10 | 101 | 426 | 73 | 30 | 15 | 27% | 2.7 | 16.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 4.02 | 4.65 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 10 | 101 | 426 | 73 | 30 | 15 | 27% | 2.7 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 4.02 | 4.48 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 20 | 13 | 83 | 399 | 49 | 45 | 22 | 65% | 4.2 | 10.3% | 12.0% | -1.7% | 5.3% | 8.67 | 6.67 | -1.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 10 | 10 | 66 | 280 | 38 | 24 | 12 | 100% | 6.6 | 13.5% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.87 | 5.31 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 10 | 10 | 66 | 279 | 38 | 24 | 12 | 100% | 6.6 | 13.5% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.87 | 5.31 | -0.5 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 149 | 679 | 87 | 69 | 34 | — | — | 12.8% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.98 | 6.07 | -1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 77 | 326 | 87 | 69 | 34 | — | — | 26.7% | 21.1% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 13.54 | 9.19 | -3.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 76 | 320 | 47 | 27 | 15 | 100% | 6.9 | 14.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.68 | 5.87 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 74 | 311 | 45 | 26 | 15 | 100% | 6.7 | 14.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.84 | 5.95 | -1.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 72 | 304 | 44 | 25 | 14 | 100% | 6.5 | 14.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.68 | 5.87 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 10 | 10 | 70 | 296 | 43 | 25 | 14 | 100% | 7.0 | 14.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.84 | 5.95 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 80 | 51 | 369 | 1571 | 231 | 122 | 75 | 64% | 4.6 | 14.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.02 | 5.46 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 27 | 200 | 851 | 125 | 66 | 41 | 64% | 4.6 | 14.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.02 | 5.46 | -0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 142 | 84 | 542 | 2325 | 373 | 207 | 87 | 59% | 3.8 | 16.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 4.70 | 4.92 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 31 | 200 | 858 | 138 | 76 | 32 | 59% | 3.8 | 16.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 4.70 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Valente Bellozo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.52 | 14.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% | — | 5.91 | 14.5% | 6.0% | 150 | +0.39 | — | — | — |
| Kris Medlen R 2029 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 73 |
| Mike Connolly R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 73 |
| Jake Dunning R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 72 |
| Logan Verrett R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 15.4% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .283 | 4.97 | 17.8% | 11.8% | 94 | -0.21 | 3.73 | 550 | 72 |
| Xzavion Curry R 2026 · 6.45 FIP | 26 | SP- | 6.45 | 16.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | .253 | 6.48 | 11.7% | 2.1% | 100 | +0.03 | 3.19 | 513 | 71 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 71 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 71 |
| Matthew Shepherd R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.57 | 13.7% | 9.5% | 4.4% | .390 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.57 | 116 | 70 |
| Forrest Snow R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 70 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 70 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2028 · 4.54 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.54 | 12.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.95 | 15.5% | 7.0% | 329 | -0.59 | 3.16 | 593 | 70 |
| Tyler Thornburg R 2026 · 5.95 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.95 | 15.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | .295 | 3.64 | 28.7% | 19.3% | 104 | -2.31 | 2.67 | 301 | 70 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.96 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 4.2% | .262 | 3.81 | 22.1% | 13.0% | 127 | -1.15 | 3.50 | 472 | 69 |
| Terance Marin R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.01 | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | .294 | 4.18 | 12.4% | 7.5% | 88 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 322 | 69 |
| Grant Judkins R 2026 · 5.55 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.55 | 16.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | .264 | 6.06 | 14.9% | 5.8% | 124 | +0.51 | 5.40 | 322 | 69 |
| Erick Fedde R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.06 | 14.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | .287 | 4.81 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 311 | -0.25 | 3.30 | 1,204 | 69 |
| Colin Bates R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 69 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 68 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 68 |
| Michael Ross R 2024 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.83 | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 146 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 76 | 14.4% | 8.3% | 1.73 | 5.53 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |