Brandon Valenzuela

C Toronto Blue Jays
Age 26 S/R 6'0" / 225 lbs MLB Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
MLB40-MANFG #702Pre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423AASD347.241/.321/.3819057—.196/.257/.303
202524AAATOR105.207/.298/.3703044—.156/.221/.260
202524AASD374.229/.316/.38712663—.199/.262/.328
202625MLBTOR271.222/.309/.37292931.1
2027PROJ26MLBTOR338.227/.304/.392123951.5
2028PROJ98% MLB27MLBTOR361.226/.303/.390123941.6
2029PROJ98% MLB28MLBTOR376.224/.301/.385132931.4
Last 3 seasons WAR 1.1  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 4.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$3M2030Arb-2$5M2031Arb-3$6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2026
Bat Spd63
xwOBA54
Barrel%41
Avg EV40
Speed12
Form.232/.319/.386 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .226/.301/.391
CompsScott Manea (age 26) · Michael Pérez (age 27) · Rob Bowen (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†95
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .304 / .392
PA338
HR12
K%24
BB%9
BABIP270
ISO169
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +2.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+3FLDPOS: +6.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +7.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: +1.70+1.7WAR
0.01.12.21.71.61.41.21.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$40M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 35 / POW 42
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT35
xAVG
360.240
POWER42
Barrel%
417.0
Avg EV
4088.4
Bat Spd
6372.8
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED30
Sprint
1225.6
DEFENSE57
scouting grade only
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%21%▲▲17% over 36 PA (60d) · proj 24%
BB%11%▲▲17% over 36 PA (60d) · proj 9%
ISO.155▼.100 over 30 AB (60d) · proj .165
BABIP.267·.174 over 23 BIP (60d) · proj .269
SLASH.232/.319/.386·proj .226/.301/.391
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   1.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.7$14M+$13M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.6$12M+$11M
2029Arb-1$3M+1.4$10M+$7M
2030Arb-2$5M+1.2$8M+$4M
2031Arb-3$6M+1.0$6M+$2M
Totals $15M $49M +$37M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201817 ROKDSL Padres — 243198 50721 39593 21 253383323707 71348 2416 329 32 — — — — — —
201918 ROKAZL Padres 1 — 183145 36410 34323 00 248401290691 41316 1719 332 43 — — — — — —
202120 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 6549 12101 15200 10 245422327748 82379 3123 352 71 — — — — — —
202120 ALake Elsinore Storm — 378329 1012136 44802 32 307392444836 137386 2112 372 88 — — — — — —
202221 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 413345 7214210 63953 01 209336348684 139256 2315 314 56 — — — — — —
202322 AASan Antonio Missions — 10894 17401 13291 20 181287255542 74250 2712 258 24 — — — — — —
202322 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 156136 381014 17373 00 279372456828 176358 2411 370 84 — — — — — —
202423 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 9077 15300 11210 01 195295234529 39263 2312 249 23 — — — — — —
202423 AASan Antonio Missions — 347307 741609 33803 02 241321381702 140293 2310 314 57 — — — — — —
202423 INTLNaranjeros de Hermosillo — 10681 21701 22271 00 259423383806 123364 2521 367 135 — — — — — —
202524 AAABuffalo Bisons — 10592 19603 12320 00 207298370668 163276 3011 299 44 — — — — — —
202524 AASan Antonio Missions — 374328 7514112 40832 62 229316387703 159266 2211 314 63 — — — — — —
202625 MLBToronto Blue Jays — 271239 53909 29691 20 222309372681 151272 2511 306 93 -2 +0 +2 +5 +6 1.1
202625 AAABuffalo Bisons — 1715 3001 230 00 200294400694 200182 1812 311 48 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 271239 53909 29691 20 222309372681 151272 2511 306 93 -2 +0 +2 +5 +6 1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201817 ROK MLEDSL Padres — 243210 32410 27723 21 152258181439 29222 3011 216 32 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEAZL Padres 1 — 183158 28310 21463 00 177286209495 32244 2511 232 43 — — — — — —
202120 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 6554 11101 10270 10 204328278606 74341 4215 273 71 — — — — — —
202120 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 378342 871636 311172 32 254320371691 117356 318 298 88 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 413364 641219 441213 01 176270288559 113229 2911 251 56 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 10897 14301 10361 20 144231206438 62217 339 204 24 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 156141 33714 12463 00 234308383691 149314 298 293 84 — — — — — —
202423 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 9080 13200 8260 01 163239188426 25235 299 202 23 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 347317 621307 23993 02 196257303559 107252 297 252 57 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 10596 15402 8390 00 156221260482 104238 378 233 44 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 374341 6812110 27962 62 199262328591 129241 267 262 63 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 271239 53909 29691 20 222309372681 151272 2511 306 93 -2 +0 +2 +5 +6 1.1
202625 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 1716 3001 140 00 188235375610 188168 246 239 48 — — — — — —
201817 ROK MLEDSL Padres — 243210 32410 27723 21 152258181439 29227 3011 216 32 — — — — — —
201817 ROK RAWDSL Padres — 243198 50721 39593 21 253383323707 71348 2416 329 32 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEAZL Padres 1 — 183158 28310 21463 00 177286209495 32248 2511 232 43 — — — — — —
201918 ROK RAWAZL Padres 1 — 183145 36410 34323 00 248401290691 41316 1719 332 43 — — — — — —
202120 A MLE2 teams — 443396 971736 411442 42 245319348667 104364 339 294 85 — — — — — —
202120 A RAW2 teams — 443378 1132237 591002 42 299396429825 130385 2313 369 85 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 413364 641219 441213 01 176270288559 113233 2911 251 56 — — — — — —
202221 A+ RAWFort Wayne TinCaps — 413345 7214210 63953 01 209336348684 139256 2315 314 56 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE2 teams — 264238 471015 22824 20 197277311587 113278 318 257 60 — — — — — —
202322 A+ RAW2 teams — 264230 551415 30664 20 239337374711 135314 2511 324 60 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLE3 teams — 543493 941909 381554 03 191254284538 93253 297 242 50 — — — — — —
202423 AA RAW3 teams — 543465 11026010 661284 03 237336357693 120299 2412 313 50 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 479437 8517113 351352 62 195257327585 133245 287 256 59 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAW2 teams — 479420 9420115 521152 62 224312383696 160268 2411 311 59 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLE2 teams — 288255 569010 30731 20 220304373677 153266 2510 302 90 -3 +0 +2 +5 +6 1.1
202625 MLB RAW2 teams — 288254 569010 31721 20 220308374682 154266 2511 306 90 -3 +0 +2 +5 +6 1.1
201817 ROK MLEDSL Padres — 243211 32410 27723 21 152258180438 28222 3011 216 32 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEAZL Padres 1 — 183157 28310 21463 00 178286210496 32244 2511 232 43 — — — — — —
202120 A MLE2 teams — 443397 971736 411442 42 244319348667 103354 339 294 85 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 413363 641219 441213 01 176270289559 113229 2911 251 56 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE2 teams — 264236 471015 22824 20 199277314590 114274 318 257 60 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLE3 teams — 543496 941909 381554 03 190254282536 93248 297 242 50 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 479439 8517113 351352 62 194257326583 132240 287 256 59 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLE2 teams — 288255 569010 30731 20 220304373677 153265 2510 302 90 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AA MLE3 teams — 543496 941909 381554 03 190254282536 93248 297 242 50 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 479439 8517113 351352 62 194257326583 132240 287 256 59 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLE2 teams — 288255 569010 30731 20 220304373677 153265 2510 302 90 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLETOR 100% 338302 6913112 31822 31 227303391695 165269 249 309 95 -2 +0 +3 +6 +7 1.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXTOR 100% 338302 6913112 31822 31 227304392696 165270 249 310 95 -2 +0 +3 +6 +7 1.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLETOR 98% 368329 7514113 34902 31 226302389691 163269 249 308 94 -2 +0 +3 +7 +8 1.6
202928 MLB MLETOR 98% 384344 7714113 35952 21 224300384684 160268 259 305 93 -3 +0 +3 +7 +8 1.5
203029 MLB MLETOR 98% 384344 7714113 35962 11 221297377675 156266 259 301 90 -5 -0 +2 +7 +8 1.3
203130 MLB MLETOR 98% 384344 7514112 35972 11 218294369663 151264 259 297 87 -6 -0 +1 +7 +8 1.0
203231 MLB MLETOR 98% 358321 7013111 32922 10 214289359648 146261 269 291 83 -7 +0 +0 +6 +8 0.7
203332 MLB MLETOR 98% 329295 6211010 29862 10 208283347629 138257 269 283 78 -9 +0 -1 +6 +7 0.4
203433 MLB MLETOR 98% 291263 52908 25781 00 202275331606 129251 279 273 71 -10 +0 -2 +5 +6 -0.0
202827 MLB CTXTOR 98% 361323 7213112 33882 31 226303390693 163270 249 308 94 -2 +0 +3 +6 +8 1.6
202928 MLB CTXTOR 98% 376337 7614113 34932 21 224301385686 160269 259 306 93 -3 +0 +3 +7 +8 1.4
203029 MLB CTXTOR 98% 376337 7514112 34942 11 222298378676 156267 259 302 90 -4 -0 +2 +7 +8 1.2
203130 MLB CTXTOR 98% 376337 7313112 34952 11 219294370665 151265 259 297 87 -6 -0 +1 +7 +8 1.0
203231 MLB CTXTOR 98% 351315 6812111 31902 10 214289360650 146262 269 291 83 -7 +0 +0 +6 +8 0.7
203332 MLB CTXTOR 98% 322289 601109 28842 10 209283347630 138257 269 283 78 -9 +0 -1 +6 +7 0.4
203433 MLB CTXTOR 98% 285257 52908 25761 00 203275332607 129252 279 274 71 -10 +0 -2 +5 +6 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 27182434 52995586 24868914 114 217293366660 149265 259 296 74 -44 +1 +9 +49 +59 7.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 12723121 591653 31 218293369662 151266 259 296 74 -10 +0 +2 +12 +14 1.8
Career— MLE — 56925093 106019314144 514154437 2814 208285336622 128266 279 277 74 -47 +1 +12 +56 +67 9.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 12122216 591764 32 208285335620 127266 279 277 74 -10 +0 +3 +12 +14 1.9