Brayan Perez

P Modesto Nuts

Age 26 LHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	MIX3 levels	25	6	67	3.88	3.93	17.9%	8.1%	—	K 13.2% · BB 9.3% · FIP 4.93
2023	22	AModesto Nuts	25	1	34	4.24	3.60	17.6%	9.8%	—	K 13.1% · BB 11.6% · FIP 4.52
2024	23	AModesto Nuts	39	0	62	3.19	1.91	24.3%	6.8%	—	K 18.0% · BB 8.1% · FIP 2.60
2027PROJ	26	MLBSEA	41	0	43	4.33	4.33	22.0%	8.7%	0.1
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBSEA	15	0	16	4.35	4.36	22.1%	8.8%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsPedro Feliciano (age 26) · Luis Perez (age 26) · Sean Mellen (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99107vR 115

ERA4.33

FIP4.33

K%22.0%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%13.3%

Proj IP43

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	15	10	53	219	58	11	1	67%	3.5	18.0%	6.3%	11.7%	0.6%	3.57	2.73	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	15	10	53	219	58	11	1	67%	3.5	26.5%	5.0%	21.5%	0.5%	3.57	1.78	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	8	3	37	146	33	8	2	38%	4.6	15.4%	6.8%	8.5%	1.9%	3.44	3.72	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Mariners	8	3	37	146	33	8	2	38%	4.6	22.6%	5.5%	17.1%	1.4%	3.44	2.66	—
2021	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	31	6	67	300	81	18	2	19%	2.2	20.0%	7.1%	12.9%	1.0%	3.34	2.86	—
2021	20	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	31	6	67	300	81	18	2	19%	2.2	27.0%	6.0%	21.0%	0.7%	3.34	1.88	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	6	67	307	55	25	7	24%	2.7	13.2%	9.3%	3.9%	3.2%	3.88	4.93	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	6	67	307	55	25	7	24%	2.7	17.9%	8.1%	9.8%	2.3%	3.88	3.93	—
2023	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	25	1	34	153	27	15	2	4%	1.4	13.1%	11.6%	1.5%	1.9%	4.24	4.52	—
2023	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	25	1	34	153	27	15	2	4%	1.4	17.6%	9.8%	7.8%	1.3%	4.24	3.60	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	39	0	62	263	64	18	0	0%	1.6	18.0%	8.1%	9.9%	0.0%	3.19	2.60	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	39	0	62	263	64	18	0	0%	1.6	18.0%	8.1%	9.9%	0.0%	3.19	2.60	—
2024	23	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	39	0	62	263	64	18	0	0%	1.6	24.3%	6.8%	17.5%	0.0%	3.19	1.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	SEA	41	0	43	182	40	16	5	0%	1.0	22.0%	8.7%	13.3%	2.9%	4.33	4.33	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	41	0	43	180	40	16	5	0%	1.0	22.1%	8.8%	13.3%	3.0%	4.35	4.36	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	15	0	16	68	15	6	2	0%	1.1	22.1%	8.8%	13.3%	3.0%	4.35	4.36	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	66	14	6	2	0%	1.0	22.1%	8.8%	13.3%	3.0%	4.35	3.98	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	77	26	0%	1.1	22.1%	8.8%	13.3%	3.0%	4.35	3.98	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		143	26	320	1388	230	113	20	18%	2.2	16.6%	8.1%	8.4%	1.4%	3.57	3.52	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	16	200	867	143	70	13	18%	2.2	16.6%	8.1%	8.4%	1.4%	3.57	3.52	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brayan Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.33	22.0%	8.7%	2.9%	—	4.36	22.1%	13.3%	43	+0.03	—	—	—
Pedro Feliciano L 2003 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.7%	8.3%	2.3%	.309	3.52	20.2%	11.1%	79	-0.22	2.69	378	85
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	85
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	81
Greg Nappo L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	26	SU	3.37	22.7%	7.5%	2.2%	.267	5.25	16.5%	5.9%	79	+1.88	3.37	144	81
Michael Johnson L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.7%	9.5%	3.1%	.272	5.19	13.4%	3.4%	67	+0.99	3.92	256	80
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	80
Chris Narveson L 2009 · 4.01 FIP	27	SW	4.01	22.4%	7.3%	3.4%	.277	4.00	18.5%	10.0%	329	-0.01	4.00	625	79
Tyler Holton L 2022 · 4.30 FIP	26	SU	4.30	20.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.288	3.67	21.7%	16.8%	258	-0.63	2.97	439	79
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	78
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	78
James Reeves L 2019 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	22.4%	10.3%	2.2%	.226	5.11	27.0%	10.8%	51	+1.37	2.02	280	78
Aaron Fultz L 2000 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.7%	9.4%	2.7%	.294	3.88	19.4%	12.5%	180	-0.12	3.46	480	78
Colton Turner L 2017 · 3.55 FIP	26	SU	3.55	19.6%	5.4%	2.6%	.311	3.84	21.9%	13.0%	158	+0.29	2.79	325	78
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	77
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	77
Wesley Wright L 2010 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	19.6%	8.8%	4.2%	.310	3.38	23.9%	16.5%	106	-1.47	3.03	375	77
Luis González L 2018 · 3.33 FIP	26	SU	3.33	23.4%	9.3%	1.9%	.290	5.03	24.6%	16.7%	74	+1.70	3.15	416	77
Jason Gurka L 2015 · 3.15 FIP	27	SU	3.15	17.5%	7.0%	1.2%	.303	3.25	23.4%	17.6%	95	+0.10	2.82	183	76
Andrew Magno L 2024 · 4.30 FIP	26	SU	4.30	21.7%	10.4%	3.1%	.341	3.41	21.7%	9.6%	119	-0.89	3.23	328	76
Andrew Barbosa L 2015 · 3.14 FIP	27	SW	3.14	22.8%	12.2%	0.8%	.292	3.73	20.2%	11.3%	127	+0.59	2.70	175	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	43	22.1%	8.7%	1.14	4.34
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*