Sadrac Franco

P San Antonio Missions

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 155 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	MIX2 levels	10	2	19	1.93	4.65	31.2%	11.2%	—	K 31.2% · BB 11.2% · FIP 4.63
2025	25	MIX2 levels	15	0	21	3.37	3.10	23.5%	10.6%	—	K 19.5% · BB 13.1% · FIP 4.00
2026	26	AASD	43	0	60	5.28	4.24	25.0%	12.3%	—	K 20.2% · BB 13.6% · FIP 5.02
2027PROJ	27	MLBSD	31	0	33	5.07	5.07	20.7%	12.9%	-0.2
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBSD	11	0	12	5.04	5.08	20.8%	12.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Cole McDonald (age 27) · Joe Colón J (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%20.7%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%7.8%

Proj IP33

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	7	1	16	65	14	3	0	14%	2.2	14.6%	5.8%	8.9%	0.0%	3.45	2.59	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	7	1	16	65	14	3	0	14%	2.2	21.5%	4.6%	16.9%	0.0%	3.45	1.89	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	14	3	35	166	36	21	1	21%	2.5	14.7%	15.8%	-1.1%	0.8%	6.11	4.32	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	Orem Owlz	14	3	35	166	36	21	1	21%	2.5	21.7%	12.7%	9.0%	0.6%	6.11	3.21	—
2023	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	29	0	42	181	42	16	6	0%	1.4	17.2%	10.4%	6.7%	4.8%	3.67	5.61	—
2023	23	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	29	0	42	181	42	16	6	0%	1.4	23.2%	8.8%	14.4%	3.3%	3.67	4.11	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	2	19	80	25	9	4	20%	1.9	31.2%	11.2%	20.0%	5.0%	1.93	4.63	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	2	19	80	25	9	4	20%	1.9	31.2%	11.2%	20.0%	5.0%	1.93	4.63	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	2	19	80	25	9	4	20%	1.9	31.2%	11.2%	20.0%	5.0%	1.93	4.65	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	21	85	20	9	1	0%	1.4	19.5%	13.1%	6.4%	1.6%	3.37	4.00	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	21	85	20	9	1	0%	1.4	19.5%	13.1%	6.4%	1.6%	3.37	4.00	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	21	85	20	9	1	0%	1.4	23.5%	10.6%	12.9%	1.2%	3.37	3.10	—
2026	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	43	0	60	276	69	34	8	0%	1.4	20.2%	13.6%	6.7%	3.5%	5.28	5.02	—
2026	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	43	0	60	276	69	34	8	0%	1.4	20.2%	13.6%	6.7%	3.5%	5.28	5.02	—
2026	26	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	43	0	60	276	69	34	8	0%	1.4	25.0%	12.3%	12.7%	2.9%	5.28	4.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	SD	31	0	33	139	29	18	4	0%	1.1	20.7%	12.9%	7.8%	3.1%	5.07	5.07	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SD	30	0	32	134	28	17	4	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.7%	8.1%	3.2%	5.04	5.08	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	SD	11	0	12	51	11	6	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.7%	8.1%	3.2%	5.04	5.08	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	50	10	6	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.7%	8.1%	3.2%	5.04	4.70	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	168	101	34	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.7%	8.1%	3.2%	5.04	4.70	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		118	6	192	853	163	106	25	5%	1.6	19.1%	12.5%	6.6%	2.9%	4.40	4.68	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	6	200	887	169	111	26	5%	1.6	19.1%	12.5%	6.6%	2.9%	4.40	4.68	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sadrac Franco (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	20.7%	12.9%	3.1%	—	5.08	20.8%	8.1%	32	+0.01	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	91
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	87
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	87
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	86
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	85
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	85
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	85
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	85
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	83
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	83
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	83
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	83
Cole Uvila R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	27	SU	4.06	20.4%	13.2%	1.8%	.360	3.16	20.2%	6.3%	44	-0.90	3.16	155	83
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	83
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	83
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	82
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	82
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	20.8%	12.8%	1.21	5.06
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35