Kodi Whitley P Durham Bulls
Age 31 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 55 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.24
FIP4.19
K%24.9%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%15.6%
ROS IP55
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
K: +5.6 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+6KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -3.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +5.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: +0.77 (72 IP)+0.8WAR
0.30.1-0.1-0.2262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF6060
CTRL3030
CMD4545
K†6060
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p5325.8%
K%
p3720.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.383
FB-1.1
CH-1.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201722MIX2 levels130186822300%1.422.7%4.4%18.3%0.0%1.531.74
201722MIX2 levels130186822300%1.432.4%4.4%27.9%0.0%1.531.12
201823APeoria Chiefs41272302682625%1.716.7%10.2%6.5%0.9%2.513.47
201823APeoria Chiefs41272302682625%1.722.5%8.6%13.9%0.7%2.512.65
201924MIX3 levels50067276781730%1.323.4%6.2%17.1%1.1%1.602.54
201924MIX3 levels50067276781730%1.328.3%6.2%22.1%1.1%1.602.12
202025MLBSt. Louis Cardinals405175110%1.229.4%5.9%23.5%5.9%1.934.59-0.0
202025MLBSt. Louis Cardinals405175110%1.229.4%5.9%23.5%5.9%1.934.39+0.0
202126MIX3 levels43146189562232%1.127.2%11.6%15.6%1.3%3.333.00+0.8
202126MIX3 levels43146189562232%1.129.6%11.6%18.0%1.6%3.332.95+0.9
202227MIX2 levels440452064425100%1.019.5%12.5%7.0%4.9%4.375.72-0.6
202227MIX2 levels440452064425100%1.021.4%12.1%9.2%4.9%4.375.68-0.6
202328AAAGwinnett Stripers460572625824100%1.219.5%9.6%9.9%4.3%5.495.05
202328AAAGwinnett Stripers460572625824100%1.222.1%9.2%13.0%3.8%5.494.60
202530MIX3 levels2102911638450%1.427.5%3.9%23.6%3.1%4.082.99
202530MIX3 levels2102911638450%1.432.8%3.4%29.3%4.3%4.083.13
▸ 2026 Season
202631AAADurham Bulls130176417410%1.323.4%6.6%16.8%1.7%1.622.90+0.3
ROS31MLBTB53055233582270%1.024.9%9.3%15.6%3.0%4.244.19+0.2
ROS31MLBTB606256210%1.024.9%9.3%15.6%3.0%4.244.19+0.0
2026 TOT31MLBTB722977526825.2%8.6%16.6%2.7%3.633.89+0.8
2026 FULL31MLBTB62362124.9%9.3%15.6%3.0%4.243.81+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732MLBTB49051216522170%1.023.9%9.7%14.3%3.2%4.384.46+0.1
202833MLBTB45047198462070%1.023.1%10.1%13.0%3.5%4.584.73-0.1
202934MLBTB41043181401970%1.022.2%10.5%11.6%3.8%4.835.01-0.2
202732MLBTB180198019830%1.123.9%9.7%14.3%3.2%4.384.46+0.0
202833MLBTB25026110251140%1.023.1%10.1%13.0%3.5%4.584.73-0.1
202934MLBTB2102293211040%1.022.2%10.5%11.6%3.8%4.835.01-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career112011548111453150%1.023.8%10.9%12.9%3.0%4.134.14+1.7
/ 200 IP195020083919993260%1.023.8%10.9%12.9%3.0%4.134.14+3.0
Career27533551500325134351%1.321.7%8.9%12.7%2.4%3.193.70+7.1
/ 200 IP155220084418375201%1.321.7%8.9%12.7%2.4%3.193.70+4.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Kodi Whitley (OGILVIE) 4.19 24.9%9.3%3.0% 4.72 23.1%13.0%141 +0.53
Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 86
Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP 31 SU 3.40 25.5%9.1%2.4%.254 3.69 22.8%11.1%129 +0.29 2.73 410 85
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP 31 SU 3.41 26.5%9.6%2.4%.241 3.66 23.3%13.2%105 +0.25 3.41 212 85
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 85
Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP 32 SU 3.26 23.7%7.2%2.3%.342 4.99 23.4%12.7%66 +1.73 3.26 122 84
Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 31 SU 3.58 23.5%6.6%3.0%.258 2.93 26.6%18.9%183 -0.65 2.01 380 83
Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP 31 SU 4.85 23.8%9.4%4.7%.283 4.58 22.0%13.8%96 -0.27 3.05 176 82
David Robertson R 2026 · 3.25 FIP 31 SU 3.25 28.1%10.5%2.2%.297 2.38 34.6%26.8%138 -0.87 1.99 494 82
Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 82
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 31 SU 4.56 23.0%10.6%3.7%.282 1.74 195 81
Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP 31 SU 3.52 25.3%9.3%2.5%.364 3.05 210 80
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 3.09 FIP 31 SU 3.09 22.5%9.7%1.2%.298 5.84 13.8%4.1%86 +2.75 3.09 148 80
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 31 SU 4.08 22.3%8.6%3.2%.246 3.76 28.8%20.4%145 -0.32 1.74 468 79
Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 31 SU 3.46 20.7%9.1%1.7%.241 5.92 16.9%7.2%90 +2.46 3.46 160 79
Tyler Clippard R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 31 SU 3.89 27.5%9.2%3.5%.282 3.93 28.0%19.4%191 +0.04 2.49 417 79
Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.3%8.3%3.7%.278 3.50 24.3%18.2%99 -0.54 2.27 426 79
Spencer Patton R 2028 · 3.09 FIP 33 SU 3.09 27.9%8.7%2.3%.305 5.10 21.4%9.7%88 +2.01 2.74 239 79
Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP 32 SU 3.44 22.6%11.6%1.4%.236 3.25 22.5%11.1%91 -0.19 2.56 147 78
Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 31 SU 3.76 21.9%6.4%3.1%.240 5.21 20.2%12.3%42 +1.45 3.03 120 78
Pedro Beato R 2026 · 3.79 FIP 31 SU 3.79 21.1%6.4%3.0%.266 3.41 16.8%9.3%29 -0.38 3.40 295 78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44923.6%9.8%1.294.49
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Robert Stephenson ('23)65726.2%9.9%1.394.33
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58