Nick Margevicius
P
San Jose Giants
Age 30
LHP
6'5" / 235 lbs
A
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION49 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.47
FIP4.74
xFIP5.52
SIERA4.99
K%16.7%
BB%7.1%
K-BB%9.5%
IP50
K†4040
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
FB Velo
p1089.5
Whiff%
p1016.1%
K%
p3720.3%
xwOBA vs
p170.351
SL-1.1
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | AZL Padres | 5 | 4 | 19 | 80 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 25.5% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 1.42 | 1.74 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 23 | 22 | 135 | 562 | 146 | 17 | 10 | 19.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.60 | 3.27 | +3.4 |
| 2019 | 23 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 29 | 24 | 126 | 550 | 95 | 31 | 26 | 15.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.43 | 4.83 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 10 | 7 | 41 | 170 | 36 | 12 | 6 | 21.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 4.57 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 5 | 3 | 12 | 60 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 20.0% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 8.25 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 33 | 7 | 49 | 251 | 51 | 19 | 8 | 17.9% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 7.53 | 4.09 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 21 | 12 | 69 | 296 | 49 | 18 | 11 | 14.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.82 | 5.71 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 17 | 14 | 74 | 318 | 70 | 18 | 7 | 19.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.89 | 4.00 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | A | San Jose Giants | 3 | 3 | 10 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 8.71 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | SF | 50 | — | 50 | 210 | 35 | 15 | 7 | 16.7% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | SF | — | — | 60 | 259 | 37 | 18 | 9 | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 5.20 | 3.92 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SF | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 31 | 15 | 7 | 15.9% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | SF | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 5.23 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | SF | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 14.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 5.32 | 5.51 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | SF | 36 | — | 36 | 151 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 13.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 5.61 | 5.81 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | SF | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 12.4% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 5.93 | 6.15 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | SF | 28 | — | 28 | 120 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 11.4% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 6.28 | 6.52 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 146 | 96 | 535 | 2336 | 414 | 137 | 81 | 17.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 4.24 | +7.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 36 | 200 | 873 | 155 | 51 | 30 | 17.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Margevicius (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.74 | 16.7% | 7.1% | 3.2% | — | 5.22 | 15.1% | 7.2% | 128 | +0.48 | — | — | — |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.68 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% | .214 | 4.11 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 107 | +0.43 | 3.68 | 146 | 76 |
| T.J. McFarland L 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.94 | 14.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .335 | 4.30 | 15.4% | 9.5% | 141 | +0.36 | 2.99 | 602 | 75 |
| Jason Vargas L 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.29 | 14.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .295 | 4.63 | 19.2% | 12.1% | 285 | +0.34 | 3.87 | 478 | 74 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 73 |
| James Russell L 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.94 | 12.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | .286 | 3.83 | 16.8% | 13.2% | 119 | -1.11 | 2.69 | 233 | 72 |
| Brian Duensing L 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.70 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.76 | 2.59 | 198 | 71 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2024 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 69 |
| Brandon Mann L 2028 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 4.14 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.59 | 3.60 | 190 | 69 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.02 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .303 | 3.36 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.66 | 3.36 | 113 | 69 |
| David Huff L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 69 |
| Eric Surkamp L 2025 · 5.15 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.15 | 16.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 182 | 68 |
| Brian Flynn L 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 68 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2024 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.98 | 22.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 122 | 68 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 68 |
| Brian Johnson L 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.17 | 15.5% | 9.1% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 506 | 67 |
| Kraig Sitton L 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.04 | 14.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 166 | 67 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.69 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | .315 | 4.13 | 20.6% | 15.0% | 125 | -0.56 | 4.07 | 424 | 67 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 67 |
| Roy Merritt L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 66 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 66 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.