Jack Leftwich — OGILVIE

Jack Leftwich P Columbus Clippers

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.06

FIP5.06

K%18.5%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	15	109	424	140	24	5	62%	4.6	24.8%	6.6%	18.2%	1.3%	2.72	2.57	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	15	109	424	140	24	5	62%	4.6	33.0%	5.7%	27.4%	1.2%	2.72	1.79	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	23	14	78	326	70	25	12	61%	3.4	17.4%	8.4%	9.0%	4.9%	5.19	5.37	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	23	14	78	326	70	25	12	61%	3.4	17.4%	8.4%	9.0%	4.9%	5.19	5.37	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	23	14	78	326	70	25	12	61%	3.4	21.5%	7.7%	13.8%	3.7%	5.19	4.27	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	42	1	59	252	68	23	10	2%	1.4	21.9%	10.0%	11.8%	4.9%	4.25	5.23	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	42	1	59	252	68	23	10	2%	1.4	21.9%	10.0%	11.8%	4.9%	4.25	5.23	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	42	1	59	252	68	23	10	2%	1.4	27.0%	9.1%	17.9%	4.0%	4.25	4.16	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	1	37	164	35	21	3	3%	1.2	15.1%	13.4%	1.7%	2.5%	3.38	4.89	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	1	37	164	35	21	3	3%	1.2	15.1%	13.4%	1.7%	2.5%	3.38	4.89	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	1	37	164	35	21	3	3%	1.2	21.3%	12.8%	8.5%	1.8%	3.38	3.96	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	39	4	60	276	42	23	10	10%	1.5	12.6%	7.5%	5.1%	4.0%	5.67	5.17	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	39	4	60	276	42	23	10	10%	1.5	12.6%	7.5%	5.1%	4.0%	5.67	5.17	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	CLE	39	4	60	276	42	23	10	10%	1.5	15.2%	8.3%	6.9%	3.6%	5.67	4.86	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CLE	23	0	24	100	19	11	3	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.8%	8.0%	3.3%	5.04	5.07	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	CLE	10	0	10	42	8	5	1	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.8%	8.0%	3.3%	5.04	5.07	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	8	5	1	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.8%	8.0%	3.3%	5.04	4.69	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	158	99	20	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.8%	8.0%	3.3%	5.04	4.69	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		160	35	344	1442	277	123	49	22%	2.2	19.2%	8.6%	10.6%	3.4%	4.13	4.43	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	20	200	838	161	72	28	22%	2.2	19.2%	8.6%	10.6%	3.4%	4.13	4.43	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Leftwich (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.06	18.5%	10.8%	3.2%	—	5.07	18.9%	8.0%	24	+0.01	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	86
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	82
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	82
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	81
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	81
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	80
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	79
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	79
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	79
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	79
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	79
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	79
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	79
Fernery Ozuna R 2023 · 5.71 FIP	27	SU	5.71	18.4%	11.6%	4.9%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	157	79
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	78
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	78
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	78
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	78
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	78
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	78