Reinaldo De Paula prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Reinaldo De Paula P Great Lakes Loons

Age 27 RHP 5'11" / 177 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.40

FIP4.40

K%22.7%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%13.2%

ROS IP26

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 1	8	0	7	40	8	11	0	0%	0.9	20.0%	27.5%	-7.5%	0.0%	4.91	4.89	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers 1	8	0	7	40	8	11	0	0%	0.9	20.0%	27.5%	-7.5%	0.0%	4.91	5.42	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Guerrero	24	0	40	175	51	16	1	0%	1.7	19.8%	11.4%	8.4%	0.8%	4.28	3.31	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Guerrero	24	0	40	175	51	16	1	0%	1.7	29.1%	9.1%	20.0%	0.6%	4.28	2.08	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Lasorda	19	0	22	99	32	16	0	0%	1.2	22.0%	20.2%	1.8%	0.0%	4.84	3.80	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers Lasorda	19	0	22	99	32	16	0	0%	1.2	32.3%	16.2%	16.2%	0.0%	4.84	2.38	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	22	102	26	8	0	0%	1.3	17.8%	9.0%	8.8%	0.0%	4.03	2.73	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	22	102	26	8	0	0%	1.3	25.5%	7.8%	17.6%	0.0%	4.03	1.85	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	37	150	39	14	2	0%	1.3	19.2%	8.4%	10.7%	1.9%	3.19	3.57	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	0	37	150	39	14	2	0%	1.3	26.0%	9.3%	16.7%	1.3%	3.19	2.83	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	53	241	59	25	3	0%	1.2	20.8%	10.0%	10.8%	2.0%	4.78	3.71	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	53	241	59	25	3	0%	1.2	20.8%	10.0%	10.8%	2.0%	4.78	3.71	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	53	241	59	25	3	0%	1.2	24.5%	10.4%	14.1%	1.2%	4.78	3.02	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	LAD	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.7%	9.5%	13.2%	3.0%	4.40	4.40	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	LAD	24	0	25	107	24	10	3	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.6%	13.0%	3.1%	4.45	4.48	+0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	LAD	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.6%	13.0%	3.1%	4.45	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	39	9	4	1	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.6%	13.0%	3.1%	4.45	4.10	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	86	21	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.6%	13.0%	3.1%	4.45	4.10	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		140	0	181	807	162	97	9	0%	1.3	20.0%	12.0%	8.0%	1.1%	4.27	3.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	0	200	890	178	107	10	0%	1.3	20.0%	12.0%	8.0%	1.1%	4.27	3.54	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reinaldo De Paula (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.40	22.7%	9.5%	3.0%	—	4.48	22.6%	13.0%	25	+0.08	—	—	—
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	89
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	89
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	89
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	87
Jose Veras R 2008 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	24.9%	9.1%	2.8%	.281	4.10	23.8%	11.7%	169	+0.43	3.37	422	87
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	87
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	86
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2011 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	22.1%	9.6%	1.5%	.253	3.18	22.9%	13.4%	218	-0.10	2.72	398	86
Taylor Williams R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.35	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.83	2.51	309	86
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	86
Josh Lueke R 2011 · 3.24 FIP	26	SU	3.24	20.4%	8.5%	1.4%	.323	4.75	18.7%	12.4%	52	+1.51	2.29	191	85
Jason Motte R 2009 · 4.62 FIP	27	SU	4.62	22.1%	9.0%	4.1%	.297	2.84	26.9%	21.0%	192	-1.78	2.22	387	85
Marcos Mateo R 2011 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	25.5%	10.2%	2.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	84
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	84
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.36	21.4%	10.8%	92	+0.05	3.89	168	84
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	84
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	83
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.6%	9.6%	1.17	4.42
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65