Bryce Bonnin — OGILVIE

Bryce Bonnin P Greenville Drive

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 21 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 102

ERA4.50

FIP4.50

K%23.0%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%12.6%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	11	47	184	71	17	4	100%	4.3	27.1%	7.9%	19.3%	0.0%	2.87	1.81	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	11	11	47	184	71	17	4	100%	4.3	38.6%	9.2%	29.3%	2.2%	2.87	2.27	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	6	5	25	98	28	12	5	83%	4.2	22.0%	14.1%	7.9%	6.0%	2.52	6.33	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	6	5	25	98	28	12	5	83%	4.2	28.6%	12.2%	16.3%	5.1%	2.52	4.90	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	42	174	48	20	5	5%	1.9	21.5%	12.9%	8.7%	2.5%	4.29	4.29	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	42	174	48	20	5	5%	1.9	21.5%	12.9%	8.7%	2.5%	4.29	4.29	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	1	42	174	48	20	5	5%	1.9	27.6%	11.5%	16.1%	2.9%	4.29	3.79	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	BOS	20	0	21	89	20	9	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.4%	12.6%	3.0%	4.50	4.50	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	BOS	19	0	20	85	19	9	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	3.1%	4.56	4.61	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	BOS	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	3.1%	4.56	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	3.1%	4.56	4.23	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	197	99	33	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	3.1%	4.56	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		39	17	114	456	109	51	10	44%	2.9	23.9%	11.1%	12.8%	2.3%	3.32	3.73	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	30	200	800	191	89	18	44%	2.9	23.9%	11.1%	12.8%	2.3%	3.32	3.73	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bryce Bonnin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	23.0%	10.4%	3.0%	—	4.61	22.8%	12.3%	20	+0.11	—	—	—
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	75
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	71
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	71
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	70
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	69
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	68
Dustin Nippert R 2009 · 4.09 FIP	28	SP-	4.09	18.0%	9.7%	2.3%	.271	4.49	17.9%	6.1%	57	+0.40	3.83	268	68
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	67
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	67
Mayckol Guaipe R 2019 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	26.0%	7.6%	4.2%	.432	—	—	—	—	—	1.88	136	67
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	66
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	66
Calvin Drummond R 2016 · 3.55 FIP	26	SW	3.55	16.9%	11.1%	0.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	112	66
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	66
Erik Hiljus R 2001 · 3.35 FIP	28	SP-	3.35	23.1%	6.9%	2.4%	.321	6.07	14.1%	4.4%	46	+2.72	3.35	112	66
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	65
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	65
Jesse Scholtens R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	22.4%	8.4%	3.5%	.303	4.35	18.8%	11.9%	193	+0.17	3.34	883	65
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	65
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	65