Victor Castaneda

P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	23	MIX2 levels	26	25	121	4.10	4.27	22.5%	9.9%	—	K 18.3% · BB 10.9% · FIP 5.04
2023	24	MIX3 levels	12	1	20	4.50	4.25	28.3%	13.0%	—	K 28.3% · BB 13.0% · FIP 4.16
2024	25	MIX2 levels	19	0	33	7.56	3.07	23.2%	9.7%	—	K 19.5% · BB 8.9% · FIP 3.30
2027PROJ	28	MLBNYM	18	0	19	4.36	4.36	22.5%	9.1%	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	29	MLBNYM	6	0	6	4.43	4.48	22.4%	9.3%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsSam Lewis (age 27) · Edwin Quirarte (age 28) · Nelson Gonzalez (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.36

FIP4.36

K%22.5%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%13.4%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	18	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	9	4	24	102	17	8	0	44%	2.7	14.7%	8.2%	6.4%	0.0%	3.00	2.90	—
2017	18	AAA RAW	Toros de Tijuana	9	4	24	102	17	8	0	44%	2.7	16.7%	7.8%	8.8%	0.0%	3.00	2.68	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	14	8	47	218	40	15	10	57%	3.4	12.5%	8.6%	3.9%	6.4%	5.13	6.66	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	Helena Brewers	14	8	47	218	40	15	10	57%	3.4	18.3%	6.9%	11.5%	4.6%	5.13	5.11	—
2019	20	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	32	1	44	186	53	14	4	3%	1.4	21.1%	8.9%	12.2%	2.7%	4.50	3.95	—
2019	20	A RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	32	1	44	186	53	14	4	3%	1.4	28.5%	7.5%	21.0%	2.2%	4.50	2.83	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	109	464	131	45	18	96%	4.7	22.1%	11.0%	11.2%	4.2%	4.87	4.93	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	109	464	131	45	18	96%	4.7	28.2%	9.7%	18.5%	3.9%	4.87	4.08	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	25	121	524	118	52	17	96%	4.6	18.3%	10.9%	7.5%	3.8%	4.10	5.04	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	25	121	524	118	52	17	96%	4.6	22.5%	9.9%	12.6%	3.2%	4.10	4.27	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	1	20	92	26	12	3	8%	1.7	28.3%	13.0%	15.2%	3.3%	4.50	4.16	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	12	1	20	92	26	12	3	8%	1.7	28.3%	13.0%	15.2%	3.3%	4.50	4.25	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	33	155	36	15	2	0%	1.8	19.5%	8.9%	10.6%	1.3%	7.56	3.30	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	33	155	36	15	2	0%	1.8	19.5%	8.9%	10.6%	1.3%	7.56	3.30	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	33	155	36	15	2	0%	1.8	23.2%	9.7%	13.5%	1.3%	7.56	3.07	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	NYM	18	0	19	80	18	7	2	0%	1.1	22.5%	9.1%	13.4%	3.0%	4.36	4.36	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYM	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.3%	13.1%	3.1%	4.43	4.48	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYM	6	0	6	25	6	2	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	9.3%	13.1%	3.1%	4.43	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	2	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	9.3%	13.1%	3.1%	4.43	4.10	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	66	33	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.3%	13.1%	3.1%	4.43	4.10	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		135	61	398	1741	337	177	64	45%	3.0	19.3%	10.2%	9.1%	3.7%	4.72	4.77	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	31	200	874	169	89	32	45%	3.0	19.3%	10.2%	9.1%	3.7%	4.72	4.77	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Castaneda (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.36	22.5%	9.1%	3.0%	—	4.48	22.4%	13.1%	20	+0.12	—	—	—
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	74
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	72
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	71
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	70
Erik Hiljus R 2001 · 3.35 FIP	28	SP-	3.35	23.1%	6.9%	2.4%	.321	6.07	14.1%	4.4%	46	+2.72	3.35	112	69
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	68
Dustin Nippert R 2009 · 4.09 FIP	28	SP-	4.09	18.0%	9.7%	2.3%	.271	4.49	17.9%	6.1%	57	+0.40	3.83	268	68
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	68
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	68
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	68
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	67
Mayckol Guaipe R 2019 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	26.0%	7.6%	4.2%	.432	—	—	—	—	—	1.88	136	67
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	67
Asher Wojciechowski R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SW	3.99	23.4%	6.5%	3.7%	.299	5.06	21.5%	13.1%	323	+1.07	3.15	678	66
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	66
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	65
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	65
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	65
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	65
Noah Davis R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	27	SW	3.88	18.5%	8.4%	2.3%	.368	5.10	18.3%	7.9%	183	+1.22	3.76	596	65