Victor Castaneda
P
Brooklyn Cyclones
Age 27
RHP
6'1" / 185 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117107vR 98
ERA4.29
FIP4.29
K%22.9%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 24 | 102 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 44% | 2.7 | 14.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 2.90 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 24 | 102 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 44% | 2.7 | 16.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 2.68 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Helena Brewers | 14 | 8 | 47 | 218 | 40 | 15 | 10 | 57% | 3.4 | 12.5% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.13 | 6.66 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Helena Brewers | 14 | 8 | 47 | 218 | 40 | 15 | 10 | 57% | 3.4 | 18.3% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 5.13 | 5.11 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 32 | 1 | 44 | 186 | 53 | 14 | 4 | 3% | 1.4 | 21.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 3.91 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 32 | 1 | 44 | 186 | 53 | 14 | 4 | 3% | 1.4 | 28.5% | 7.5% | 21.0% | 2.2% | 4.50 | 2.83 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 109 | 464 | 131 | 45 | 18 | 96% | 4.7 | 22.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 4.87 | 4.65 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 109 | 464 | 131 | 45 | 18 | 96% | 4.7 | 28.2% | 9.7% | 18.5% | 3.9% | 4.87 | 4.08 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 25 | 121 | 524 | 118 | 52 | 17 | 96% | 4.6 | 18.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 4.10 | 5.02 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 25 | 121 | 524 | 118 | 52 | 17 | 96% | 4.6 | 22.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.10 | 4.27 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 12 | 1 | 20 | 92 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 8% | 1.7 | 28.3% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.16 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 12 | 1 | 20 | 92 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 8% | 1.7 | 28.3% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.25 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 33 | 155 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 19.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 1.0% | 7.56 | 3.15 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 33 | 155 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 23.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 1.3% | 7.56 | 3.07 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.00 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 135 | 61 | 398 | 1741 | 337 | 177 | 61 | 45% | 3.0 | 19.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 4.72 | 4.67 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 31 | 200 | 874 | 169 | 89 | 31 | 45% | 3.0 | 19.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 4.72 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Victor Castaneda (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.38 | 22.8% | 13.5% | 20 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 77 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 77 |
| Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 73 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 73 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 72 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 72 |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .217 | 3.24 | 18.0% | 11.8% | 81 | -0.80 | 3.11 | 159 | 70 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 70 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 70 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 69 |
| Andres Santiago R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .384 | 5.45 | 13.1% | 3.2% | 159 | +1.18 | 3.74 | 291 | 69 |
| DJ Baxendale R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.68 | 18.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .355 | 5.84 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 49 | +2.16 | 2.81 | 426 | 68 |
| Nick Hull R 2025 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.93 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 268 | 68 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .336 | 4.33 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 110 | +0.16 | 3.46 | 572 | 67 |
| Ben Lively R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.82 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 4.2% | .312 | 3.15 | 20.9% | 12.1% | 77 | -1.67 | 3.15 | 1,049 | 67 |
| Heath Holder R 2025 · 3.12 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.12 | 21.9% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .263 | 5.32 | 19.8% | 4.9% | 85 | +2.20 | 2.74 | 367 | 67 |
| Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 67 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 67 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 66 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 66 |