Jose Montilla (P, Mississippi Braves) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jose Montilla P Mississippi Braves

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 235 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.59

FIP4.59

K%19.4%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP48

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	19	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	16	12	52	219	26	13	2	75%	3.3	8.1%	7.4%	0.7%	1.3%	3.10	4.06	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	16	12	52	219	26	13	2	75%	3.3	11.9%	5.9%	5.9%	0.9%	3.10	3.35	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	13	13	70	304	53	19	4	100%	5.4	11.9%	7.8%	4.0%	1.8%	4.37	4.10	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	Danville Braves	13	13	70	304	53	19	4	100%	5.4	17.4%	6.2%	11.2%	1.3%	4.37	3.14	—
2019	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	31	0	74	311	63	14	6	0%	2.4	15.0%	5.3%	9.7%	2.9%	3.03	4.13	—
2019	21	A RAW	Rome Braves	31	0	74	311	63	14	6	0%	2.4	20.3%	4.5%	15.8%	1.9%	3.03	3.02	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	3	33	137	28	8	2	15%	1.7	14.7%	6.1%	8.6%	1.4%	2.16	3.42	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	3	33	137	28	8	2	15%	1.7	20.4%	5.8%	14.6%	1.5%	2.16	2.92	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	6	70	297	54	20	8	19%	2.3	14.5%	7.4%	7.1%	4.1%	5.40	5.05	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	6	70	297	54	20	8	19%	2.3	14.5%	7.4%	7.1%	4.1%	5.40	5.05	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	6	70	297	54	20	8	19%	2.3	18.2%	6.7%	11.4%	2.7%	5.40	3.90	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.4%	8.3%	11.1%	3.1%	4.59	4.59	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ATL	44	0	46	195	38	17	6	0%	1.1	19.5%	8.6%	10.9%	3.2%	4.64	4.69	-0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	ATL	41	0	44	184	36	16	6	0%	1.1	19.5%	8.9%	10.5%	3.4%	4.75	4.84	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	ATL	13	0	14	59	12	5	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	8.6%	10.9%	3.2%	4.64	4.69	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	ATL	21	0	22	93	18	8	3	0%	1.0	19.5%	8.9%	10.5%	3.4%	4.75	4.84	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		35	0	37	156	30	14	5	0%	1.1	19.5%	8.8%	10.7%	3.3%	4.71	4.40	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	76	27	0%	1.1	19.5%	8.8%	10.7%	3.3%	4.71	4.40	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		111	34	300	1268	164	87	32	31%	2.7	12.9%	6.9%	6.0%	2.5%	3.81	4.25	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	23	200	845	109	58	21	31%	2.7	12.9%	6.9%	6.0%	2.5%	3.81	4.25	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Montilla (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.59	19.4%	8.3%	3.1%	—	4.76	19.5%	10.7%	90	+0.17	—	—	—
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	85
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	85
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	81
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	79
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	79
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	79
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	79
Donovan Hand R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	27	SW	4.72	12.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.279	4.30	11.1%	6.8%	97	-0.42	4.30	305	78
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	77
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	77
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	76
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	74
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	73
Calvin Drummond R 2016 · 3.55 FIP	26	SW	3.55	16.9%	11.1%	0.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	112	73
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	73
Eddie Bonine R 2009 · 5.60 FIP	28	SW	5.60	13.1%	7.6%	4.8%	.306	4.54	8.6%	2.0%	68	-1.06	4.40	129	73
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	72
Todd Wellemeyer R 2007 · 4.74 FIP	28	SW	4.74	17.0%	10.8%	3.1%	.270	4.86	15.5%	6.4%	373	+0.12	3.35	615	72
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	72
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.65	18.4%	7.3%	248	-0.17	4.29	360	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	19.5%	8.6%	1.25	4.66
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98