Jose E. Martinez prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jose E. Martinez P Springfield Cardinals

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 194 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.41

FIP5.41

K%16.2%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%3.1%

ROS IP38

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 2	13	11	53	218	30	8	1	85%	4.1	9.4%	4.6%	4.8%	0.6%	2.56	3.24	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers 2	13	11	53	218	30	8	1	85%	4.1	13.8%	3.7%	10.1%	0.5%	2.56	2.66	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	11	2	36	143	44	7	1	18%	3.3	20.9%	6.1%	14.8%	1.0%	2.97	2.65	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	Ogden Raptors	11	2	36	143	44	7	1	18%	3.3	30.8%	4.9%	25.9%	0.7%	2.97	1.61	—
2019	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	16	126	510	115	33	9	59%	4.7	16.9%	7.6%	9.3%	2.3%	3.28	3.88	—
2019	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	16	126	510	115	33	9	59%	4.7	22.5%	6.5%	16.1%	1.8%	3.28	2.99	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	15	95	449	69	26	9	62%	4.0	12.0%	6.5%	5.5%	2.6%	5.31	4.34	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	15	95	449	69	26	9	62%	4.0	15.4%	5.8%	9.6%	2.0%	5.31	3.70	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	6	61	274	45	32	5	21%	2.2	12.5%	12.3%	0.2%	2.3%	5.16	4.88	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	6	61	274	45	32	5	21%	2.2	16.4%	11.7%	4.7%	1.8%	5.16	4.26	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	59	288	25	46	7	3%	1.9	7.3%	17.2%	-10.0%	2.9%	5.31	6.26	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	59	288	25	46	7	3%	1.9	7.3%	17.2%	-10.0%	2.9%	5.31	6.26	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	1	59	288	25	46	7	3%	1.9	8.7%	16.0%	-7.3%	2.4%	5.31	6.12	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	STL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	16.2%	13.1%	3.1%	3.0%	5.41	5.41	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	STL	35	0	37	156	26	20	5	0%	1.1	16.8%	12.8%	4.0%	3.1%	5.35	5.39	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	STL	13	0	14	59	10	8	2	0%	1.1	16.8%	12.8%	4.0%	3.1%	5.35	5.39	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	10	8	2	0%	1.1	16.8%	12.8%	4.0%	3.1%	5.35	5.01	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	144	115	29	0%	1.1	16.8%	12.8%	4.0%	3.1%	5.35	5.01	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		134	51	431	1882	245	170	41	38%	3.2	13.0%	9.0%	4.0%	2.2%	4.16	4.33	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	24	200	874	114	79	19	38%	3.2	13.0%	9.0%	4.0%	2.2%	4.16	4.33	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose E. Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.41	16.2%	13.1%	3.0%	—	5.39	16.8%	4.0%	37	-0.02	—	—	—
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	80
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	79
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	79
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	78
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	78
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	77
Jon Leicester R 2007 · 4.44 FIP	28	SP-	4.44	11.0%	9.0%	2.1%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	76
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	76
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	75
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	345	75
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	75
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	75
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	74
Chris Jensen R 2018 · 5.31 FIP	27	SW	5.31	12.0%	10.6%	3.4%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	488	74
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	73
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	73
Jared Fernandez R 2001 · 4.66 FIP	29	SW	4.66	8.8%	10.5%	1.8%	.267	3.95	14.0%	5.6%	89	-0.71	3.57	101	73
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	73
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	5.01	15.0%	4.8%	193	+0.58	3.37	401	73
John Richy R 2018 · 6.47 FIP	26	SW	6.47	12.2%	12.9%	5.1%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	313	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	16.5%	13.0%	1.18	5.38
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12