Helcris Olivárez

P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 26 LHP 6'2" / 233 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	AASF	16	5	38	3.79	4.94	27.0%	28.0%	—	K 21.9% · BB 30.8% · FIP 5.49
2025	24	MIX2 levels	34	0	37	3.65	4.10	26.3%	24.6%	—	K 25.6% · BB 22.0% · FIP 3.72
2026	25	AAAKC	24	0	32	7.39	6.45	19.7%	27.4%	—	K 17.0% · BB 24.6% · FIP 5.94
2027PROJ	26	MLBKC	17	0	18	5.67	5.67	20.2%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	27	MLBKC	13	0	14	5.56	5.57	20.5%	19.0%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsAnderson Polanco (age 26) · Graeme Stinson (age 25) · Jacob Kroeger (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125133vR 141

ERA5.67

FIP5.67

K%20.2%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.2%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	18	1	33	141	35	16	0	6%	1.8	16.9%	14.2%	2.7%	0.0%	3.55	3.47	—
2017	16	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	18	1	33	141	35	16	0	6%	1.8	24.8%	11.3%	13.5%	0.0%	3.55	2.43	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	13	55	220	60	26	1	100%	4.2	18.5%	14.8%	3.8%	0.6%	2.30	3.75	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	13	13	55	220	60	26	1	100%	4.2	27.3%	11.8%	15.5%	0.5%	2.30	2.57	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	3	3	14	55	21	7	0	100%	4.7	26.0%	15.9%	10.1%	0.0%	0.64	2.92	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	3	3	14	55	21	7	0	100%	4.7	38.2%	12.7%	25.5%	0.0%	0.64	1.60	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	22	21	100	453	112	68	10	95%	4.5	19.0%	17.3%	1.8%	2.3%	6.05	4.93	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	22	21	100	453	112	68	10	95%	4.5	24.7%	15.0%	9.7%	2.2%	6.05	4.20	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	1	2	6	1	0	0	100%	2.0	16.7%	0.0%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	1.69	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	1	1	2	6	1	0	0	100%	2.0	16.7%	0.0%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.10	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	16	5	38	189	51	53	1	31%	2.4	21.9%	30.8%	-9.0%	0.6%	3.79	5.49	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	16	5	38	189	51	53	1	31%	2.4	21.9%	30.8%	-9.0%	0.6%	3.79	5.49	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	16	5	38	189	51	53	1	31%	2.4	27.0%	28.0%	-1.1%	0.5%	3.79	4.94	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	37	175	46	43	0	0%	1.1	25.6%	22.0%	3.6%	0.0%	3.65	3.72	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	37	175	46	43	0	0%	1.1	25.6%	22.0%	3.6%	0.0%	3.65	3.72	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	37	175	46	43	0	0%	1.1	26.3%	24.6%	1.7%	0.0%	3.65	4.10	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	24	0	32	157	31	43	3	0%	1.3	17.0%	24.6%	-7.7%	2.1%	7.39	5.94	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	24	0	32	157	31	43	3	0%	1.3	17.0%	24.6%	-7.7%	2.1%	7.39	5.94	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	24	0	32	157	31	43	3	0%	1.3	19.7%	27.4%	-7.6%	1.9%	7.39	6.45	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	KC	17	0	18	76	15	15	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	20.0%	0.2%	2.5%	5.67	5.67	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	KC	31	0	33	138	28	26	4	0%	1.1	20.5%	19.0%	1.5%	2.6%	5.56	5.57	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	KC	13	0	14	59	12	11	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	19.0%	1.5%	2.6%	5.56	5.57	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	12	11	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	19.0%	1.5%	2.6%	5.56	5.19	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	158	29	0%	1.1	20.5%	19.0%	1.5%	2.6%	5.56	5.19	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		131	44	310	1396	279	275	16	34%	2.4	20.0%	19.7%	0.3%	1.2%	4.41	4.54	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	28	200	901	180	177	10	34%	2.4	20.0%	19.7%	0.3%	1.2%	4.41	4.54	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Helcris Olivárez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.67	20.2%	20.0%	2.5%	—	5.57	20.5%	1.5%	33	-0.10	—	—	—
Anderson Polanco L 2019 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	18.9%	16.3%	2.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	74
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	73
Jacob Kroeger L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	24	SU	5.71	20.1%	34.0%	0.0%	.346	4.20	19.1%	6.7%	141	-1.51	3.94	154	73
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	72
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	72
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	71
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	70
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	69
Matthew Spann L 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SW	5.15	15.1%	16.9%	2.2%	.375	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	173	69
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	69
Bryan Warzek L 2022 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	22.1%	15.0%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	1.91	138	69
Dan Meyer L 2007 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	13.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.316	4.35	20.6%	11.8%	86	-0.41	3.73	112	68
Cody Beckman L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	26	SU	5.27	19.3%	14.9%	3.5%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	189	68
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	68
Chandler Jozwiak L 2024 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	16.9%	15.3%	3.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	161	68
Seth Clark L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	18.9%	16.2%	3.9%	.267	4.56	17.7%	-2.7%	32	-1.10	4.23	128	67
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	67
Adam Scott L 2022 · 5.27 FIP	26	SW	5.27	21.1%	13.5%	4.1%	.317	4.65	16.1%	-1.2%	46	-0.62	4.17	315	66
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	66
Joey DeNato L 2017 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.3%	15.1%	1.4%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	2.90	167	66

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	20.4%	19.4%	0.99	5.60
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
John Parrish ('10)	1.4	46	17.6%	14.8%	0.88	4.51
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*